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Who Will Be The 2016 Republican Nominee? (It's Donald Trump) Who Will Be The 2016 Republican Nominee? (It's Donald Trump)

02-27-2016 , 02:49 PM
So like, got caught up on a few days of media, who seemed to think the debate CHANGED EVERYTHING like it changes everything, very dramatic. So the media is still pretending this race is a thing, but when Trump wins everywhere but TX (and maybe OK) on Super Tuesday, like the whole charade ends right? I don't Rubio is within 10% in a single state in any poll voting on Tuesday.

Maybe some polls come out on Monday that suggest different outcomes, but Trump seems like just free money on PredictIt and elsewhere right now. He's going to be 90%+ on Wednesday at 9am. Rubio treating endless 2nd place finishes like wins can't be plausible forever. Even the mainstream media is going to have to come to terms with this. I think Tuesday night is reckoning day.
02-27-2016 , 02:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DrawNone
TRUMP just eviscerating RuibiOS right now on all networks
? In some people's minds I guess. Hard to accept that him saying Rubio sweats a lot is a win, but that's the world we live in.
02-27-2016 , 02:51 PM
Trump is always winning in his own mind, and that's good enough for most people.
02-27-2016 , 02:51 PM
Omg this law suit story is boring.
02-27-2016 , 02:53 PM
Seriously, this is the worst speech ever.
02-27-2016 , 02:54 PM
Not one complete sentence.
02-27-2016 , 02:57 PM
it's pretty bad. he seems low energy. i can't blame him. i am exhausted following this race. dude is almost 70.

mcconell today saying maybe run ads against him, assume he will lose. my opinion that Trump's act is already getting stale. Rubio and trump acting so childish...remember what i said...

some chance he has no chance.
02-27-2016 , 02:58 PM
Manson didn't need complete sentences to inspire a lot of followers.
02-27-2016 , 03:01 PM
Lot of wresting fans. More than you can imagine. And not without reason, they know it's an act, but they love the drama, the history, the action. But lots doesn't mean most.
02-27-2016 , 03:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by microbet
? In some people's minds I guess. Hard to accept that him saying Rubio sweats a lot is a win, but that's the world we live in.
"little Marco"
no-show Senator
big ass ears
lolH2O
stole $ from R party
liar
pawn of the establishment

and he's managed to repeat "my father gave me nothing" 5, maybe 10x. TRUMP is worldclass.
02-27-2016 , 03:04 PM
What about Trump University, that can't play a role?
02-27-2016 , 03:08 PM
Oh yeah, he also said something about the ears.

And he said the people with not so much education are his people.
02-27-2016 , 03:09 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DVaut1
when Trump wins everywhere but TX (and maybe OK) on Super Tuesday, like the whole charade ends right?
Cruz will stay in if he wins Texas, so will Rubio if he luckboxes something. The charade will not end until they are both out.
02-27-2016 , 03:13 PM
Big debate going on over on chiefsplanet about whether letting people die in the streets is a) ok, b) not ok, or c) a liberal trick to make republicans looks like they don't care about the sick and poor.
02-27-2016 , 03:16 PM
Midpoint case on Tuesday's results, assuming Cruz wins TX and all three are above 20%:

TRUMP with ~350 delegates, i.e. 430 overall
Cruz with ~180 (but over 100 of them will be from TX)
Rubio with ~160
Kasich/Carson combine for a couple of dozen in the low proportionality threshold states

If Cruz loses Texas:

TRUMP with roughly 400, Cruz with 130

Best Cruz case (above 20% in a few proportional states, holds TX): roughly 200, mostly from Trump

Best Rubio case: definitely not over 200 unless Trump's underperforming his polling by 10%+ across the board (GL)
02-27-2016 , 03:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rococo
It seems likely that you don't know what you are talking about. Private label securities are securities backed by non conforming loans, meaning loans that did not conform to GSE purchasing requirements. Sometimes the loans themselves were referred to as private label. Securities backed by conforming loans are known as agency securities.

The GSEs did not "originate" private label MBS, or insure such securities. For starters, asset backed trusts "issue" securities. They don't originate them. And securities backed by conforming loans are, by definition, agency securities, not private label. Private label securities were sometimes "wrapped" (ie insured) by bond insurers like MBIA, which was one of the various techniques for obtaining a AAA rating for the top tranches of securities in securitizations. Wrapping was one of many forms of credit enhancement.

I'm not going to post further on this topic in this thread because it's a derail.
If you want to quibble over a label that didn't matter or the technical meaning of the word of "originate" until the crisis hit... sure, GSEs did not originate any "private label".

Their influence was still pervasive. As a factual matter, they did purchase and insure MBS issued by private banks, a lot of it, partly driven by affordability mandate and partly driven by the need to grow profits.
02-27-2016 , 03:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by vaya
I mean it makes sense that a company may have sufficient capital and licensure to originate loans, but just not want to be in the loan servicing business but that's just a guess.


it's basically a different business, and definitely a separate one, so like most industries, you're not bringing it in house until you've got scale and even then you have to find someone to run it for you.

(and of course, since you're not servicing the loans, you can increase your volume risk-free)




Quote:
Originally Posted by Shark Sandwich
Robert Gates the latest to buy himself a ticket on the cattle cars (we'll let him take the Acela)
this is over the line, even for Politics... the analogy, not the sentiment
02-27-2016 , 03:35 PM
Because he compared Trump to Hitler? I think he's doing it in a complimentary way, though.
02-27-2016 , 03:39 PM
He needed a reply to Gates that wasn't beta (IE - addressing anything Gates said or trying to make a counter-point).
02-27-2016 , 03:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by adanthar
Midpoint case on Tuesday's results, assuming Cruz wins TX and all three are above 20%:

TRUMP with ~350 delegates, i.e. 430 overall
Cruz with ~180 (but over 100 of them will be from TX)
Rubio with ~160
Kasich/Carson combine for a couple of dozen in the low proportionality threshold states

If Cruz loses Texas:

TRUMP with roughly 400, Cruz with 130

Best Cruz case (above 20% in a few proportional states, holds TX): roughly 200, mostly from Trump

Best Rubio case: definitely not over 200 unless Trump's underperforming his polling by 10%+ across the board (GL)
Interesting, how would the breakdown of %s to win the nomination look like iyo at least given the first example of cruz holding TX?
02-27-2016 , 03:40 PM
describing it from other perspective makes it different

you can talk about der Trumpenfuhrer all day
02-27-2016 , 03:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by 13ball
Because he compared Trump to Hitler? I think he's doing it in a complimentary way, though.
Quote:
Originally Posted by five4suited
describing it from other perspective makes it different

you can talk about der Trumpenfuhrer all day
99.5% sure Shark Sandwich is another /pol/ denizen (reached that conclusion weeks ago, nothing to do with this latest post). He's been fairly well-behaved and obviously has more history here than the other guy, but hopefully TPTB will keep a short leash.
02-27-2016 , 03:49 PM
Cruz winning TX with a plurality seems like a good result for Trump, gives Cruz a reason to stay in the race for OH and FL.
02-27-2016 , 03:51 PM
Say that TRUMP wins every state on Tuesday, though (dunno how likely it is) - at that point, can anything stop the TRUMPmentum?? He'll be WINNING so hard that even getting the campaign HU might be fruitless.
02-27-2016 , 03:54 PM
Jeff Bezos is Trump's latest target

The Republican presidential candidate bashed the Amazon CEO at a rally in Fort Worth, Texas today for his decision to buy the Washington Post three years ago. Trump said he “has respect” for Bezos, but added that “he bought the Washington Post to have political influence.”

“He wants political influence so that Amazon will benefit from it — that’s not right,” Trump said in a video posted by CNBC. “And believe me, if I become president, oh, do they have problems. They’re going to have such problems.”

      
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