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Who Will Be The 2016 Republican Nominee? (It's Donald Trump) Who Will Be The 2016 Republican Nominee? (It's Donald Trump)

02-20-2016 , 11:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by domer2
I can guarantee you will have at least 5 new "sore loser" laws passed between now and November if he really tries this, if not many more.
Fair point.
02-20-2016 , 11:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
Will TRUMP run third party?

One of my theories on the nomination has been that at a contested convention, TRUMP would threaten to run third-party if he is not given the nomination. I knew that filing deadlines in some states might have passed, but I expected TRUMP to run anyway, as a write-in candidate. Having looked into it more, the road for a third party TRUMP run is rockier than I thought.

Texas and South Dakota

According to Ballotpedia: Sore loser laws:



Clearly TRUMP is already seeking the GOP nomination, so this suggests he cannot run third party in TX or SD under any circumstances.

Nevada, Oklahoma and Georgia

These states PROHIBIT write in votes and have filing deadlines prior to the Republican Convention:

EventDate
NevadaJuly 8
GeorgiaJuly 12
OklahomaJuly 15
RNCJuly 18-21

Thus, unless TRUMP files as an independent prior to the convention, people will be unable to vote for him in these states.

North Carolina, Illinois, Indiana, New Mexico, Delaware, Florida, South Carolina, Michigan

All these states have filing deadlines prior to the conclusion of the Convention (Michigan is July 21, the last day of the convention). TRUMP would have to be a write-in candidate in these states.

TLDR

TRUMP is already blocked from running third-party in two states and if he goes to the convention seeking the GOP nomination, he will be blocked from three more. Worse, they are all states he would have hoped to win in a general election. But TRUMP is a narcissist and may choose to run anyway.
Quote:
Originally Posted by domer2
I can guarantee you will have at least 5 new "sore loser" laws passed between now and November if he really tries this, if not many more.
I don't know why we're even analyzing this. It's pretty obvious third party candidacies are completely hopeless due to the two party duopoly ballot access mumbo jumbo (*I realize TRUMP plays by no rules so I mean who knows, maybe 3rd party Trump wins by 101% somehow).

Trump runs third-party to troll the GOP, presumably for vindictive purposes. In that sense ballot access is almost irrelevant, he's just going to get in the debates and carpet bomb people or poop whatever random stuff pops into his head on twitter.
02-20-2016 , 11:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Trolly McTrollson
Bro, your PM literally ****ed a pig.
McTrolled.
02-20-2016 , 11:56 PM
Ikes,

Are you happy??
02-20-2016 , 11:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by [Phill]
I know its gonna be hilarious when Ike's gets banned but seriously you guys the rest of the world is pretty appalled you might nominate Trump to go heads up for essentially the president of most of the world.
It doesn't help that when we look at the other main candidates we can't decide if they would be better or worse than Trump! It's mighty scary stuff that we know one of them will be heads up.
02-21-2016 , 12:30 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by domer2
Rubio won 3 delegates tonight, thwarting Trump's sweep

edit: conflicting information on this...Rubio camp saying they won it, but others not so sure
It's too early to cap but even if true lol 3 delegates
02-21-2016 , 12:43 AM
serious question, how do you even write-in a vote for president? Technically you're voting for electors, do you have to write in a name for each elector position the state has? I'm guessing most state election commissions just throw away write-ins anyway so they've never bothered to think about this.
02-21-2016 , 12:47 AM
I assume in the case the write-in candidate wins, the election commission would contact the candidate and they would choose their electors.
02-21-2016 , 01:08 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by synth_floyd
I assume in the case the write-in candidate wins, the election commission would contact the candidate and they would choose their electors.
seems like a recipe for a lawsuit
02-21-2016 , 01:13 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DVaut1
I don't know why we're even analyzing this. It's pretty obvious third party candidacies are completely hopeless due to the two party duopoly ballot access mumbo jumbo (*I realize TRUMP plays by no rules so I mean who knows, maybe 3rd party Trump wins by 101% somehow).

Trump runs third-party to troll the GOP, presumably for vindictive purposes. In that sense ballot access is almost irrelevant, he's just going to get in the debates and carpet bomb people or poop whatever random stuff pops into his head on twitter.
Yeah but I think it matters whether it's obvious to your average GOP voter that he's just trolling/sabotaging the GOP. Him not being on the ballot in like 15 states would make that pretty clear.
02-21-2016 , 01:14 AM
Write in votes can count legitimately, whether they do so varies by state. In my state, you have to file papers before the election certifying that you are eligible to hold the office.
02-21-2016 , 01:45 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LostOstrich
I'm IRATE because the POTUS is the most powerful position in the world and a significant % of the US electorate either don't realise or don't care how much damage Trump could do to the world if elected. Good to hear you're having fun though! Ignorance is bliss I guess!
Is it damage to twiddle ones thumbs while East Ukraine and Iraq get taken over by barbarians?

Quote:
Originally Posted by synth_floyd
I assume in the case the write-in candidate wins, the election commission would contact the candidate and they would choose their electors.
Good thing the one plausible write in man is easy to spell. Imagine the recount lawsuit over ballots with KAYSICK
02-21-2016 , 01:53 AM
Best troll would TRUMP going on TV every day for 6 weeks before the election telling his supporters not to vote at all.


Even a 2% reduction in GOP turnout flips a ton of carefully gerrymandered House seats.
02-21-2016 , 02:31 AM
Met a TRUMP supporter tonight. Seemed like a very normal guy all night until a politics discussion broke out in the other room and his wife told him to quit the game we were playing and go join in. Turns out he is a ~30 year old bro who has never voted republican but likes TRUMP. Doesn't seem to fit the racist bill since his wife is MUSLIM and doesn't really check other boxes of being mad about the GOP or government since he said he thinks Obama has been a pretty good president but the two democrats are a socialist and an "uninspiring moderate" while all the other republicans are "crazy."
02-21-2016 , 02:47 AM
I'm on my phone but can someone please please post the Carson fb post. It's so perfect
02-21-2016 , 02:56 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BigPoppa
Best troll would TRUMP going on TV every day for 6 weeks before the election telling his supporters not to vote at all.


Even a 2% reduction in GOP turnout flips a ton of carefully gerrymandered House seats.
I've wondered if he would be capable of this as well. If he really wanted to screw over the GOP, he could urge his supporters to do a protest vote and just sit this one out to punish the gop. Running a half ass'd third party doesn't hurt them down ballot, convincing some % of them to stay home might do some damage though.
02-21-2016 , 03:01 AM
PW 54/42/2/2

Cruz tied with Kasich
02-21-2016 , 03:18 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CalledDownLight
Met a TRUMP supporter tonight. Seemed like a very normal guy all night until a politics discussion broke out in the other room and his wife told him to quit the game we were playing and go join in. Turns out he is a ~30 year old bro who has never voted republican but likes TRUMP. Doesn't seem to fit the racist bill since his wife is MUSLIM and doesn't really check other boxes of being mad about the GOP or government since he said he thinks Obama has been a pretty good president but the two democrats are a socialist and an "uninspiring moderate" while all the other republicans are "crazy."
The one openly pro Trump supporter I've met IRL was a Samoan/Hawaiian looking 30 something bro at a poker table who seemed to align mostly with the badass alpha-ness of Trump or something.

Last edited by Cuban B; 02-21-2016 at 03:26 AM.
02-21-2016 , 03:23 AM
Quote:
With only three states casting votes for the Republican presidential nomination, Dr. Ben Carson stands as one of only five candidates remaining of the original 17, and received as many delegates in South Carolina as all other candidates but the winner. Dr. Carson is humbled by the support and donations from hundreds of thousands across the country who look to him as their voice for change in a system that has left “We the People” behind. His consistent message of faith, integrity and common sense solutions has resonated with the people; he continues to be viewed more favorably than any other candidate and routinely polls as the most honest and sincere person in the race. And a poll out today confirmed he would beat Hillary Clinton in a head-to-head race.
"Thank you to my many supporters and volunteers in South Carolina and around the country,” said Dr. Carson. “While professional politicians have long written off our efforts to return the government to the people, we remain undaunted. We’ve barely finished the first inning, and there’s a lot of game left. I look forward to carrying on to the Nevada caucuses, sharing my message to “Heal, Inspire, and Revive” this great nation. As more Americans have their say, they will see the true strength of our movement."
- Larry Ross, Communications Director
It's a 5-way tie for 2nd place everybody!
02-21-2016 , 03:25 AM
Ponied on FB post.
02-21-2016 , 04:10 AM
The 17 saddest moments of Jeb Bush's campaign

Quote:
Jeb Bush launched his presidential campaign's exploratory committee on December 16, 2014, the presumptive Republican nominee. He ended his campaign on February 20, 2016, a broken man.
I hadn't heard of all of these, a lot are pretty hilarious
02-21-2016 , 04:50 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cuban B
The one openly pro Trump supporter I've met IRL was a Samoan/Hawaiian looking 30 something bro at a poker table who seemed to align mostly with the badass alpha-ness of Trump or something.
Aligning mostly with the badass alpha-ness of Trump summarises this election process beautifully.
02-21-2016 , 04:53 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by goofyballer
The 17 saddest moments of Jeb Bush's campaign



I hadn't heard of all of these, a lot are pretty hilarious
I hadn't heard that seatfillers at town hall demanding to get paid story. That's some sad ****, or sad and cold if indeed Marco
02-21-2016 , 05:38 AM
Is it possible or legal for candidates to remove themselves from ballots in selected states? Like could Rubio remove himself from the Texas ballot and tell supporters there to vote Cruz to try to get Cruz over 50% and block Trump from getting delegates? Seems like the optimal play for Cruz and Rubio now is to coordinate to make sure Trump gets as few delegates as possible and just play for a brokered convention.
02-21-2016 , 07:17 AM
Jeb!? does come across as a decent sort by the way, not that it matters.

      
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