UK Politics Thread - Page 248 - Politics and Economics

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Page 248 of 486

First

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Last

05-31-2017 , 10:40 AM

#6176

jalfrezi

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 13,693

unfollowed

05-31-2017 , 11:08 AM

#6177

valenzuela

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2004 Posts: 28,092

How legit is that yougov thing saying Tories will lose the outright majority ?

It's a pretty bold prediction.

05-31-2017 , 11:11 AM

#6178

BOIDS

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2017 Posts: 14,149

ask again on the 9th

GBP fell by about 0.4% five seconds after it was published so der markt thinks it has at least a bit of credibility

05-31-2017 , 11:30 AM

#6179

SpinMeRightRound

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2016 Posts: 2,723

Quote:

Originally Posted by BOIDS

gonna look terrible for the tories when may doesn't turn up. still think labour need a couple more mega cockups in their favour before this becomes a proper sweat tho

spoilered for cool story bro content:

Spoiler:

You're still using internet memes and calling other men 'bros' when you're 30+ years old?

Quote:

Originally Posted by valenzuela

How legit is that yougov thing saying Tories will lose the outright majority ?

It's a pretty bold prediction.

Very bold but my instinct tells me it won't happen.

05-31-2017 , 11:39 AM

#6180

tomdemaine

Just tries harder

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 20,065

Quote:

Originally Posted by valenzuela

How legit is that yougov thing saying Tories will lose the outright majority ?

It's a pretty bold prediction.

It would be amazing, a positive surprise on an election night. So 0% chance. If corbyn was a nazi it'd be like 50/50.

05-31-2017 , 11:43 AM

#6181

BOIDS

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2017 Posts: 14,149

Quote:

Originally Posted by SpinMeRightRound

You're still using internet memes and calling other men 'bros' when you're 30+ years old?

awfully sorry about that old bean, one day i'll grow out of it. and then maybe i can join you in the boring wankers club

05-31-2017 , 11:51 AM

#6182

tomdemaine

Just tries harder

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 20,065

Quote:

Originally Posted by BOIDS

awfully sorry about that old bean, one day i'll grow out of it. and then maybe i can join you in the boring wankers club

There's a 10 year waiting list. Even diebitter can't get in.

05-31-2017 , 12:17 PM

#6183

epcfast

veteran

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 2,535

Number One in the charts but the BBC won't play it

05-31-2017 , 12:24 PM

#6184

valenzuela

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2004 Posts: 28,092

Quote:

Originally Posted by BOIDS

ask again on the 9th

GBP fell by about 0.4% five seconds after it was published so der markt thinks it has at least a bit of credibility

I don't read too much into financial markets. They are pretty bad at politics because economists don't actually bother reading a book or two about it and just settle with the editorials of the newspapers which are basically propaganda.

05-31-2017 , 01:04 PM

#6185

S.K

Toffees >> Jellybeans

Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 9,201

Quote:

Originally Posted by epcfast

Number One in the charts but the BBC won't play it

Neutrality - how does it work

05-31-2017 , 01:12 PM

#6186

tomdemaine

Just tries harder

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 20,065

Quote:

Originally Posted by S.K

Neutrality - how does it work

They should be very clear that they don't necessarily endorse the message but they should play it imo.

05-31-2017 , 01:39 PM

#6187

chezlaw

Limey Bastard

Join Date: Jan 2004 Posts: 47,206

Quote:

Originally Posted by BOIDS

ask again on the 9th

GBP fell by about 0.4% five seconds after it was published so der markt thinks it has at least a bit of credibility

Most likely that's because it made a hung parliament seem more likely

05-31-2017 , 01:42 PM

#6188

unwantedguest

Guest

Posts: n/a

Quote:

Originally Posted by epcfast

Number One in the charts but the BBC won't play it

Top trolling.

05-31-2017 , 01:50 PM

#6189

tomj

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jul 2013 Posts: 4,543

Actually feel sorry for Theresa May, spin doctors need sacking for setting her up to fail. Shambolic again today being questioned about TV debate.

05-31-2017 , 02:22 PM

#6190

epcfast

veteran

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 2,535

I'd like to see her asked about her role in allowing the libyan exiles and british born libyans to travel freely to fight Gaddafi in 2011 and if she was the one who approved the lifting of their counter-terrorism control orders.

05-31-2017 , 03:09 PM

#6191

richdog

grinder

Join Date: Apr 2009 Posts: 453

Quote:

Originally Posted by valenzuela

How legit is that yougov thing saying Tories will lose the outright majority ?

It's a pretty bold prediction.

I believe you have to register to vote in the surveys so they are easily exploitable by large groups.

05-31-2017 , 03:13 PM

#6192

richdog

grinder

Join Date: Apr 2009 Posts: 453

This tv debate is a train crash. Everyone shouting over each other and no order.

Jeremy also says the deficit has gone up under the tories so it appears £155B is less than the current £60B deficit. He's been listening to Diane too much.

05-31-2017 , 03:22 PM

#6193

Husker

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 12,929

Quote:

Originally Posted by richdog

I'm never sure when politicians mix up debt and deficit whether they are genuinely thick or deliberately trying to mislead. Either way it's not good.

05-31-2017 , 03:23 PM

#6194

sixfour

should be called sevenfour

Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 74,938

Quote:

Originally Posted by richdog

This tv debate is a train crash. Everyone shouting over each other and no order.

Indeed, it's typical of our political system and why I'm voting independent. Rudd's a particular car crash though

05-31-2017 , 03:39 PM

#6195

Elrazor

losing momentum

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 13,891

I expected more from Rudd. I know Theresa hates Boris, but he's easily the best man for this type of car crash debate.

Farron surprisingly good.

05-31-2017 , 03:39 PM

#6196

richdog

grinder

Join Date: Apr 2009 Posts: 453

Quote:

Originally Posted by sixfour

Indeed, it's typical of our political system and why I'm voting independent. Rudd's a particular car crash though

I'd agree, surprised the conservatives didn't put up David Davis as he seems a much better speaker.

Although there is nothing to be learned from this comedy show as no actual policies are being debated.

05-31-2017 , 03:46 PM

#6197

Husker

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 12,929

Channel 4 fact checker pretty much destroys the SNP's manifesto.

https://www.channel4.com/news/factch...-snp-manifesto

05-31-2017 , 03:54 PM

#6198

GBV

banned

Join Date: Dec 2002 Posts: 1,331

Quote:

Originally Posted by valenzuela

How legit is that yougov thing saying Tories will lose the outright majority ?

It's a pretty bold prediction.

It is one prediction model out of many. It isn't completely worthless because it is a scientific poll, but I wouldn't bet on a single outlier either.

I agree with you about the markets opinion being valueless. In any case, no one ever really knows why market moves, it is just speculation tying that to a poll.