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Social Security now in the red Social Security now in the red

01-27-2011 , 04:10 AM
http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/...672b960d4096b4


For Pete's sake, just cut the benefits already. People are now getting more than they put in (adjusting for inflation and interest). Also, let younger people opt out of the program altogether.
01-27-2011 , 02:28 PM
if u let the young folks out of the ponzi scheme then the house of cards falls apart. ask bernie madoff. he will tell u.
01-27-2011 , 02:40 PM
Was that loud noise the sound of the sky falling?
01-27-2011 , 03:02 PM
Yes! Cut social security to prevent a cut!
01-27-2011 , 04:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bringmehome
http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/...672b960d4096b4


For Pete's sake, just cut the benefits already. People are now getting more than they put in (adjusting for inflation and interest). Also, let younger people opt out of the program altogether.
The 45 billion that SS will need, in addition to what it pays out this year, is slightly less than 2% of the 2.5+ trillion it is owed from the General Fund.

What the common wage earners (those whose earning are low enough that 100% of it is taxed for SSI) have done over the last 30 years, is supplement the General Fund while the rich, who earn, say 1 million a year, provide a much small percentage of their total income towards the General Fund, since only about 1/10th of their income is taxed for SSI.

It's just another, of many many schemes, in which the rich scam the average joe/jane. Which is why Starbucks saw record profits above expectations last quarter, despite a down ecomony & opened another 500 stores. The largest recession in the history of the United States is not hurting the rich one little bit.

So, raise the cap on SSI, until the rich cut back on the number of 16 oz. $4.50 lattes they buy.

Right now we pay about 13% of our income under 106k to SSI. 6.5% comes from the employer, but it's really the wage earner's money, because, an employer who can afford to pay an employee $15.00 an hr, offers the job at $15.00 pr hr - the 6.5% he has to kick in towards SSI. Another trick of the trade in attempting to fool the general populace.

So, right now, I am paying 13%, or 13k a yr in SSI on my 100k in yearly salary, while Michael Vick, who makes 5 million is paying 26/100% of his 5 million dollar salary towards SSI & he is an ex-con.
01-27-2011 , 04:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by UtzChips
The 45 billion that SS will need, in addition to what it pays out this year, is slightly less than 2% of the 2.5+ trillion it is owed from the General Fund.

What the common wage earners (those whose earning are low enough that 100% of it is taxed for SSI) have done over the last 30 years, is supplement the General Fund while the rich, who earn, say 1 million a year, provide a much small percentage of their total income towards the General Fund, since only about 1/10th of their income is taxed for SSI.

It's just another, of many many schemes, in which the rich scam the average joe/jane. Which is why Starbucks saw record profits above expectations last quarter, despite a down ecomony & opened another 500 stores. The largest recession in the history of the United States is not hurting the rich one little bit.

So, raise the cap on SSI, until the rich cut back on the number of 16 oz. $4.50 lattes they buy.

Right now we pay about 13% of our income under 106k to SSI. 6.5% comes from the employer, but it's really the wage earner's money, because, an employer who can afford to pay an employee $15.00 an hr, offers the job at $15.00 pr hr - the 6.5% he has to kick in towards SSI. Another trick of the trade in attempting to fool the general populace.

So, right now, I am paying 13%, or 13k a yr in SSI on my 100k in yearly salary, while Michael Vick, who makes 5 million is paying 26/100% of his 5 million dollar salary towards SSI & he is an ex-con.

SS isn't a welfare program - it's basically forced savings. That's why a cap makes sense. If you tax high income earners more and use that to fund payouts to lower income individuals, then SS essentially becomes a welfare program. That's not its purpose at all.

The easiest solution for now is to just raise the retirement age.
01-27-2011 , 04:36 PM
"SS isn't a welfare program - it's basically forced savings."

That's what it's suppose to be, but it has given all the money to the General Fund & we can't pay it back, so it has become an addition income tax on the average wage earner.

It's like when I started saving after my 1st yr of marriage to take my wife to Spain on our 10 year anniversary, didn't leave any wiggle room for unexpected expenses during the decade, had to keep borrowing from the "Spain Vacation Fund" and then when my 10th anniversay came, found I didn't have enough to go. I may have called it my "Spain Vacation Fund" but really it was just an emergency fund.
01-27-2011 , 04:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by UtzChips
"SS isn't a welfare program - it's basically forced savings."

That's what it's suppose to be, but it has given all the money to the General Fund & we can't pay it back, so it has become an addition income tax on the average wage earner.

It's like when I started saving after my 1st yr of marriage to take my wife to Spain on our 10 year anniversary, didn't leave any wiggle room for unexpected expenses during the decade, had to keep borrowing from the "Spain Vacation Fund" and then when my 10th anniversay came, found I didn't have enough to go. I may have called it my "Spain Vacation Fund" but really it was just an emergency fund.

I guess that's a fair point.

Part of the problem with the current structure of the program is that it allows Congress to squander the trust fund and essentially force tax increases in the future.

I suppose the most equitable thing to do would be to cut spending to offset the amount of money given to the trust fund.
01-27-2011 , 05:08 PM
In general, I've found that those proposing extremely simple solutions in complicated matters typically know very little about the matter at hand or the effect their solution would have on it.
01-27-2011 , 05:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Low Key
In general, I've found that those proposing extremely simple solutions in complicated matters typically know very little about the matter at hand or the effect their solution would have on it.
..............but we keep re-electing them anyway.
01-27-2011 , 05:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by UtzChips
"SS isn't a welfare program - it's basically forced savings."

That's what it's suppose to be, but it has given all the money to the General Fund & we can't pay it back, so it has become an addition income tax on the average wage earner.
One of the problems that government sponsored pension plans always have is that their is a lack of clarity about whether the plans are supposed to be self-funded forced savings plans or wealth redistribution schemes. Of course, politicians never have the motivation to be clear because as long as the purposes and function of the plans are obscured then they can play it one way or the other as suits their needs at the moment.

Nonetheless, I think a smart thing to do would be to acknowledge that the current FICA rates are insufficient to provide for projected benefits indefinitely and be specific about how the solution addressess the problem. For example, just raising the earnings cap is not a great way to tackle the problem because for every $1 you gain in FICA taxes you give back some amount (say 50 cents) in benefits to the people you're taxing. They should be way more explicit and do something like this:

- leave the current FICA rates and SS maximum covered earnings unchanged and call this "the base contribution"
- add a second earnings threshold above the current SS max earnings and charge taxes on the gap from the current SS earnings to the second threshold and pay no SS benefits for this, call it "the supplemental contribution"
- adjust the supplemental contribution annually so that the plan is projected to be sustainable

That way the plan objectives are clearly separated - the base rate is supposed to be the self sustaining forced savings plan, the supplemental contributions are the additional wealth transfer to fund the benefits above what can be provided by the forced savings rate. At least this framework is transparent about how much of SS is forced savings and how much is a direct transfer.

Of course they won't do this. They will probably "fix" SS by pushing out retirement age again so that there is no immediate tax increase and the cost is borne by future retirees in the distant future, long after today's politicians are enjoying their Federal government pension plan retirement incomes.
01-27-2011 , 05:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TomVeil
..............but we keep re-electing them anyway.
There's a vast difference between telling the hamsters that hit the vote button that an issue is simple and fixed easily, and actually believing it's true.

I would think the minority of elected officials in office tread very delicately when it comes to legislation that may put a family out on the streets with no food or shelter.
01-27-2011 , 05:38 PM
What is the retirement age in America?

Because im 99% sure the solution is found in that question.
01-27-2011 , 05:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by UtzChips
The 45 billion that SS will need, in addition to what it pays out this year, is slightly less than 2% of the 2.5+ trillion it is owed from the General Fund.
Well the interest payments to trust fund have a line item in expenditures in the Treasury Departments outlays. So the obligation to the trust fund is currently being met.

Quote:
What the common wage earners (those whose earning are low enough that 100% of it is taxed for SSI) have done over the last 30 years, is supplement the General Fund while the rich, who earn, say 1 million a year, provide a much small percentage of their total income towards the General Fund, since only about 1/10th of their income is taxed for SSI.
This implies that it was actually necessary for the govt to borrow from the SS Trust fund. The Federal govt didn't have to spend the excess in SS payments. It's really on the politicians, both Republicans and Democrats, who spent the excess.

Quote:
It's just another, of many many schemes, in which the rich scam the average joe/jane. Which is why Starbucks saw record profits above expectations last quarter, despite a down ecomony & opened another 500 stores. The largest recession in the history of the United States is not hurting the rich one little bit.
No, the whole idea of borrowing from the trust fund and issuing non marketable securities is the scam.

Quote:
So, raise the cap on SSI, until the rich cut back on the number of 16 oz. $4.50 lattes they buy.
My understanding is that SS redistribution of income is relatively minor. Without a proportionate increase in benefits ie for people that pay more into it get a proporionatly higher payout at retirement then this will increase the redistribution of income effect. I think this will be part of the "solution" when it comes to pass but let's have some intellectual honesty.

Quote:
Right now we pay about 13% of our income under 106k to SSI. 6.5% comes from the employer, but it's really the wage earner's money, because, an employer who can afford to pay an employee $15.00 an hr, offers the job at $15.00 pr hr - the 6.5% he has to kick in towards SSI. Another trick of the trade in attempting to fool the general populace.
Ok

Quote:
So, right now, I am paying 13%, or 13k a yr in SSI on my 100k in yearly salary, while Michael Vick, who makes 5 million is paying 26/100% of his 5 million dollar salary towards SSI & he is an ex-con.
Assuming you pay the max in SS, you receive about the same benefits.
01-27-2011 , 05:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Low Key
There's a vast difference between telling the hamsters that hit the vote button that an issue is simple and fixed easily, and actually believing it's true.

I would think the minority of elected officials in office tread very delicately when it comes to legislation that may anger one of the pacs that have invested in their campaign
FYP
01-27-2011 , 05:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by UtzChips
"SS isn't a welfare program - it's basically forced savings."

That's what it's suppose to be, but it has given all the money to the General Fund & we can't pay it back, so it has become an addition income tax on the average wage earner.

t's like when I started saving after my 1st yr of marriage to take my wife to Spain on our 10 year anniversary, didn't leave any wiggle room for unexpected expenses during the decade, had to keep borrowing from the "Spain Vacation Fund" and then when my 10th anniversay came, found I didn't have enough to go. I may have called it my "Spain Vacation Fund" but really it was just an emergency fund.
Thanks for making my point about what the scam really is.
01-27-2011 , 05:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by [Phill]
What is the retirement age in America?

Because im 99% sure the solution is found in that question.
It depends on when you were born. For people born after 1960 the plan retirement age is 67.
01-27-2011 , 05:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by [Phill]
What is the retirement age in America?

Because im 99% sure the solution is found in that question.
There are several retirement ages actually. Depending on which you take determines the amount you receive.

IIRC part of the recent deficit reduction commission advocated raising the retirement age for full benefits from 65 to 68 by 2050. Mainly complaints from the left about doing that.
01-27-2011 , 05:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by adios
My understanding is that SS redistribution of income is relatively minor. Without a proportionate increase in benefits ie for people that pay more into it get a proporionatly higher payout at retirement then this will increase the redistribution of income effect. I think this will be part of the "solution" when it comes to pass
I wouldn't say that. The formulas are pretty redistributive in terms of contribution rates and benefit rates are different income levels, although this is partially offset by the fact that richer people collect their monthly pensions longer on average.

Ages ago I did some analysis on this and posted it here in the forum if you can dig it up.
01-27-2011 , 05:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by adios
There are several retirement ages actually. Depending on which you take determines the amount you receive.

IIRC part of the recent deficit reduction commission advocated raising the retirement age for full benefits from 65 to 68 by 2050. Mainly complaints from the left about doing that.
I think Phil would have been referring to the date at which you can take an unreduced pension. This used to be 65 but is being phased in to 67 for people born after 1960. You're right that people can go earlier, but if they do so their pensions are reduced.
01-27-2011 , 08:57 PM
nb4 trust fund
01-27-2011 , 09:23 PM
Quote:
"I've received the lash from those who say, 'Well, you shouldn't have to cut Social Security because there are trillions of dollars of assets,'" said Sen. Kent Conrad, D-N.D., chairman of the Senate Budget Committee. "It is true there are trillions of dollars of assets. It is true that they're backed by the full faith and credit of the United States. It is also true that the only way those bonds get redeemed is out of the current income of the United States."

Other lawmakers said Social Security's financial problems are not that urgent.

"In the last 75 years, in good times and in bad times, Social Security has paid out every nickel owed to every eligible beneficiary at a relatively modest administrative cost," said Sen. Bernie Sanders, who organized the first meeting of the Senate Social Security caucus Thursday.

"We are getting very tired about hearing our Republican and right wing friends telling us about how Social Security is collapsing when the reality is, Social Security today has a surplus of $2.6 trillion," Sanders said. "Social Security can pay out every benefit owed to every eligible American, for the next 27 years."
How can both of these people be among the top 100 lawmakers in the country? It totally baffles me how such a huge segment of people cannot grasp the issue. A huge pile of IOUs does not equal a surplus. Paying interest on a debt with IOUs is ludicrous. Any citizen who attempted to sell such an investment would spend the rest of their life in jail to "protect society". Most of the MSM reports don't even mention the $100+ billion per year in interest "payments" made to the system in the form of IOUs.
01-27-2011 , 09:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by adios
Well the interest payments to trust fund have a line item in expenditures in the Treasury Departments outlays. So the obligation to the trust fund is currently being met.



This implies that it was actually necessary for the govt to borrow from the SS Trust fund. The Federal govt didn't have to spend the excess in SS payments. It's really on the politicians, both Republicans and Democrats, who spent the excess.



No, the whole idea of borrowing from the trust fund and issuing non marketable securities is the scam.



My understanding is that SS redistribution of income is relatively minor. Without a proportionate increase in benefits ie for people that pay more into it get a proporionatly higher payout at retirement then this will increase the redistribution of income effect. I think this will be part of the "solution" when it comes to pass but let's have some intellectual honesty.



Ok



Assuming you pay the max in SS, you receive about the same benefits.
Excellent post and to those who believe Social Security should be cut or ended altogether, you should research history a bit, the horror stories of the lives of older people pre SS are simply horrible. And to younger people who want to do away with it, you should remember that when Gramma comes to live with you because she is destitute, either that or you should just set her out on an ice floe to wait for the seals.
01-27-2011 , 10:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SpaceGhost
Excellent post and to those who believe Social Security should be cut or ended altogether, you should research history a bit, the horror stories of the lives of older people pre SS are simply horrible. And to younger people who want to do away with it, you should remember that when Gramma comes to live with you because she is destitute, either that or you should just set her out on an ice floe to wait for the seals.
it's interesting that there are other developed countries that have developed retirement schemes that aren't based on models that land private citizens in jail when they duplicate them.

Last edited by riverfish1; 01-27-2011 at 10:16 PM. Reason: fixed
01-27-2011 , 10:14 PM


Quote:
Originally Posted by riverfish1
it's interesting that there are other developed countries that have developed retirement schemes that aren't based on models that land private citizens in jail when they replicate them.


"land private citizens in jail when they replicate them" HUH?

      
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