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Saddam's WMDs really did go to Syria? Saddam's WMDs really did go to Syria?

04-08-2008 , 02:19 PM
Ike: Why do you take what Lowry says on NR at face value but dismiss out of hand the numerous stories that Cole links to?

Let me guess. Lowry good, Cole bad.
04-08-2008 , 02:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by kurto
I've seen it discussed multiple times and seen plenty of evidence that they were dishonest. I didn't realize there had been some thread that settled it and everyone was comfortable that they were totally honest. Though I'll just mention, I specifically remember that Powell took a stand against the administration and specifically refused to present evidence to the UN because he thought the evidence was crap.

We also had things like the Niger documents which our own Intelligence agencies had deemed likely forgeries. Which when presented to the UN were almost immediately deemed fake.

etc.

But you can pretend that it was all on the up and up. Go with it!
Is this lying or is this trusting bad intelligence?

Any links or further reading on the bold part?
04-08-2008 , 03:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BrunoThePug
Is this lying or is this trusting bad intelligence?
Intelligence did NOT say Iraq was an immediate threat to give its WMDs (if it had them) to terrorists. This was the Administration's leap from "they have them" to "they'll use them against us, oh noes". And the intelligence itself was less than conclusive in assessing Iraq's stockpile. Did Saddam have some weapons? Almost all agreed. The extent and lethality of his remaining weapons was in dispute. Numerous govt agencies provided dissenting opinions in the very NIE report the Administration used to discuss the threat.

Cheney in Aug 2002: "Simply stated, there is no doubt that Saddam Hussein now has weapons of mass destruction. There is no doubt he is amassing them to use against our friends, against our allies, and against us."

This isn't bad intel. THIS IS A LIE. There was doubt. Period. And Cheney knows this as he used the National Intelligence Estimate as part of his case, and there was doubt from several agencies in that very report. There was doubt regarding the lethality of the stockpile, and there was massive doubt about Saddam's intentions even if he had a lethal stockpile. To say there is "no doubt" Saddam was amassing WMDs with the purpose of using them on us is a LIE!!!

Quote:
The public version of the U.S. intelligence community's key prewar assessment of Iraq's illicit arms programs was stripped of dissenting opinions, warnings of insufficient information and doubts about deposed dictator Saddam Hussein's intentions, a review of the document and its once-classified version shows.

As a result, the public was given a far more definitive assessment of Iraq's plans and capabilities than President Bush and other U.S. decision-makers received from their intelligence agencies.

The stark differences between the public version and the then top-secret version of the October 2002 National Intelligence Estimate raise new questions... {Full Knight-Ridder article, Feb 2004}
Take a look at the link, it should be eye-opening if you believe this was just a case of innocent bad intel.
04-08-2008 , 04:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ikestoys
this was pointed out in the OP, but thanks for the groundbreaking observation!
no, you questioned it and I laughed at it
04-08-2008 , 04:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BrunoThePug
Is this lying or is this trusting bad intelligence?

Any links or further reading on the bold part?
The issue was that our intelligence said the information was bad. The Bush administration pushed any and all information that looked bad for Iraq despite analysis from our own intelligence agencies that the 'evidence' was suspect at best.

As I recall, there was even information (I believe relating to the Niger documents about the 'tube') where our own intelligence agency said the information was bad. But they knew that the British were still touting it. So the US statement simply pointed to what the Brits were saying despite knowing that we thought the brits were wrong.

You could also argue that the Administration continually tried to link 9/11 to Saddam so much so that a year later half the country polled thought Saddam did it despite the fact that there was no link.

Finally, the administration repeatedly promised that they had bullet proof evidence to support there assertions which never materialized.

If we were having this discussion a couple of years ago I might have links for ready for you. I'm only going to do so much to rehash this debate. Though I'll drop something...
Here's a link (Note - Drumheller appears in several stories. Search his name and you can find him in association with US papers as well.)
http://www.smh.com.au/news/breaking-...344306427.html

Drumheller, from the article has written the book "On the Brink: An insider's Account of How the White House Compromised American Intelligence"

Here's the description from Amazon.com:
Quote:
Drumheller is the first high-ranking CIA "insider" to write extensively on how supposed intelligence failures led to the war in Iraq, which he clearly feels has damaged national interest. He retired from the agency in 2005, spent more than 25 years as an intelligence operative, and served as chief of clandestine operations for Europe from 2001 to 2005. Although his high position in the agency certainly makes his account worthy of close attention, it is not clear how directly Drumheller was in the loop as decisions to take military action were made. Still, his assertions are certainly disturbing. While Bush defenders consistently have blamed intelligence failures for the phantom weapons of mass destruction, Drumheller credibly claims that the administration pressured the agency to make the case that the weapons existed and any reports that contradicted that view were ignored. In particular, the treatment of an Iraqi defector who refuted the claims of advanced weapons programs now seems both outrageous and tragic. In a broader context, Drumheller reveals an erosion of the political independence and professionalism of the agency over several decades as successive administrations tried to manipulate and distort intelligence to serve political and ideological ends. Sure to engender intense debate.
You can also research the whole Plame affair. If I remember correctly Wilson had presented evidence that the administration knowingly exxagerated claims about the Niger documents relating to Uranium acquisition. His investigation for the CIA found that Iraq had not attempted to purchase uranium.

Of course we all know what happened when he brought this forward.

Anyhoo... I'm not going to spend hours going over this. I'm fairly confident that Ike is part of a select minority who, despite all the contrary evidence (from PNACs plans to invade Iraq years before to the testimony of people within the Bush administration sayins on 9/12 they were planning on how to turn this as justification to go to Iraq) some will choose to believe it was all on the up and up. Its like arguing against someone's religious faith. non productive.
04-08-2008 , 05:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by kurto
The issue was that our intelligence said the information was bad. The Bush administration pushed any and all information that looked bad for Iraq despite analysis from our own intelligence agencies that the 'evidence' was suspect at best.
which is why every other country out there came to the same conclusion right?
Quote:
You could also argue that the Administration continually tried to link 9/11 to Saddam so much so that a year later half the country polled thought Saddam did it despite the fact that there was no link.
Recent report showed links between AQ and Iraq, but not in 9/11. Also, please show the poll, because it does not exist
Quote:
Finally, the administration repeatedly promised that they had bullet proof evidence to support there assertions which never materialized.

If we were having this discussion a couple of years ago I might have links for ready for you. I'm only going to do so much to rehash this debate. Though I'll drop something...
Here's a link (Note - Drumheller appears in several stories. Search his name and you can find him in association with US papers as well.)
http://www.smh.com.au/news/breaking-...344306427.html

Drumheller, from the article has written the book "On the Brink: An insider's Account of How the White House Compromised American Intelligence"

Here's the description from Amazon.com:
Drumheller doesn't make the case that Bush lied.
Quote:
You can also research the whole Plame affair. If I remember correctly Wilson had presented evidence that the administration knowingly exxagerated claims about the Niger documents relating to Uranium acquisition. His investigation for the CIA found that Iraq had not attempted to purchase uranium.

Of course we all know what happened when he brought this forward.
Nothing, there was no criminal action, the person who leaked was never charged for a variety of reasons. No one thought armitage was trying to take down wilson or plame.
Quote:
Anyhoo... I'm not going to spend hours going over this. I'm fairly confident that Ike is part of a select minority who, despite all the contrary evidence (from PNACs plans to invade Iraq years before to the testimony of people within the Bush administration sayins on 9/12 they were planning on how to turn this as justification to go to Iraq) some will choose to believe it was all on the up and up. Its like arguing against someone's religious faith. non productive.
You don't know or refuse to accept basic facts on the matter, but I'm the one arguing on religious faith? I don't get it.
04-08-2008 , 06:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ikestoys
Recent report showed links between AQ and Iraq, but not in 9/11. Also, please show the poll, because it does not exist
It's true. It doesn't exist.

http://www.usatoday.com/news/washing...oll-iraq_x.htm

That one shows 70%, though.

And from JUNE OF THIS LAST YEAR, 41%

http://rawstory.com/news/2007/Poll_4...ddam_0624.html

Last edited by TomVeil; 04-08-2008 at 06:30 PM. Reason: Another poll
04-08-2008 , 06:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ikestoys
which is why every other country out there came to the same conclusion right?
every country did not come to the conclusion that the US did. As you may recall the UN security council believed that the inspections were working and did not want to go to war. You may also recall that Bush said he would abide by the decisions of the council. Only when they didn't vote to go to war did Bush decide that he had to go anyways.

So wrong again.

Quote:

Recent report showed links between AQ and Iraq, but not in 9/11. Also, please show the poll, because it does not exist
Honestly... do you know you're wrong and just say the opposite anyways? I'm starting to be skeptical that you're really this out of the loop or just so partisan that you post stuff you don't believe in.

This poll was all over the place.

http://www.usatoday.com/news/washing...oll-iraq_x.htm

So you're wrong again.

Is there some point where you're shown wrong enough times that you ever revise your opinion?

Quote:
Drumheller doesn't make the case that Bush lied.
I see. Misrepresenting the evidence isn't lying? I'm sorry that you have your own definition of what constitutes a lie.

As I said, having this conversation with you is a waste. I'll let others read what Yossarian has posted, what Drumheller has said, the Plame Case, etc. and come to their conclusions. One thing we're clear on re: is you're consistantly wrong.

Quote:
Nothing, there was no criminal action, the person who leaked was never charged for a variety of reasons. No one thought armitage was trying to take down wilson or plame.
Jeez. You're ridiculous. Nothing happened? An undercover CIA agent was ousted. All of which is beside the point... the point is that our intelligence agency knew that the Niger evidence was a deadend. Because the CIA (Wilson) had reported as much in their internal investigations. But that didn't stop the Bush administration for using the Niger information in the drumming for war.

Quote:
You don't know or refuse to accept basic facts on the matter, but I'm the one arguing on religious faith? I don't get it.
Yes. Your listing of facts was impressive. Particularly like denying the poll that's been listed multiple times in this thread.
04-08-2008 , 06:58 PM
Kurto-
-The UNSC never said that Saddam had no WMDs. Furthermore, the UNSC didn't approve the Iraq war because of Russian and French veto threats, not a lack of plurality.
-I was wrong about the poll, but you did not address the fact that there was/is an AQ-Iraq link.
-Fitzgerald found that no crime was committed.
-The Niger Uranium story was not a major part of our case on Saddam's WMD at all.
04-08-2008 , 07:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ErikTheDread
Ike: Why do you take what Lowry says on NR at face value but dismiss out of hand the numerous stories that Cole links to?

Let me guess. Lowry good, Cole bad.
Is this a serious question? The arguments Ike always uses are the same arguments he clambers on about other people using. "Debating" Ike is a frustrating experience to say the least. Even if you show him EVIDENCE of him being wrong it'll just be "strawman, hyperbole...or LOL at that source!?!?"
04-08-2008 , 07:22 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ikestoys
which is why every other country out there came to the same conclusion right?
Ike, I already addressed this point.

Iraq has some WMDs != Iraq is amassing WMDs to use against the United States

Cheney and the Administration in the run up for war were very clear in stating that our intelligence left "no doubt" that Iraq had WMDs and was ammassing them to threaten our allies or ourselves. This was a lie. The NIE estimate from 2002 very clearly had mixed opinions and loads of doubt as to what Iraq was up to, and what state its arsenal was in. And senior intel officials expressed skepticism (and in some cases, flat out denial) at the assertion that Saddam would give a WMD to a terrorist group.

So, continuing with this story that all the administration was just echoing an intelligence consensus is flat out dishonest.

Again I'll ask you: Saddam had chem/bio weapons for 20+ years before we invaded. Why didn't he ever give them to a Palestinian or other terrorist group to attack his arch rival Israel in all that time if his intent was to give terrorists WMDs? The issue isn't whether he ever had them, it's whether he was a threat. So let's avoid this tangential b.s. It's telling that your arguing technicalities in kurto's post in this thread and avoided my very direct posts to you and Bruno in which I already spelled this point out.
04-08-2008 , 07:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cpitt398
this is so ******ed bc its not like people on here are dismissing smoking gun evidence, bc there isnt any. But keep it up, sounds good
Maybe not, but they're still distorting the truth. Saying "Bush lied" is just plain ignorant. As such, I see no reason they wouldn't distort a "smoking gun" any way they could as well.
04-08-2008 , 07:41 PM
Saddam's FBI interrogator.

Quote:
"He told me that most of the WMD had been destroyed by the U.N. inspectors in the '90s. And those that hadn't been destroyed by the inspectors were unilaterally destroyed by Iraq," Piro says.

"So why keep the secret? Why put your nation at risk, why put your own life at risk to maintain this charade?" Pelley asks.

"It was very important for him to project that because that was what kept him, in his mind, in power. That capability kept the Iranians away. It kept them from reinvading Iraq," Piro says.

Before his wars with America, Saddam had fought a ruinous eight year war with Iran and it was Iran he still feared the most.

"He believed that he couldn't survive without the perception that he had weapons of mass destruction?" Pelley asks.

"Absolutely," Piro says.

"As the U.S. marched toward war and we began massing troops on his border, why didn't he stop it then? And say, 'Look, I have no weapons of mass destruction.' I mean, how could he have wanted his country to be invaded?" Pelley asks.

"He didn't. But he told me he initially miscalculated President Bush. And President Bush's intentions. He thought the United States would retaliate with the same type of attack as we did in 1998 under Operation Desert Fox. Which was a four-day aerial attack. So you expected that initially," Piro says.

Piro says Saddam expected some kind of an air campaign and that he could he survive that. "He survived that once. And then he was willing to accept that type of attack. That type of damage," he says.
04-08-2008 , 07:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by yossarian lives
Ike, I already addressed this point.

Iraq has some WMDs != Iraq is amassing WMDs to use against the United States

Cheney and the Administration in the run up for war were very clear in stating that our intelligence left "no doubt" that Iraq had WMDs and was ammassing them to threaten our allies or ourselves. This was a lie. The NIE estimate from 2002 very clearly had mixed opinions and loads of doubt as to what Iraq was up to, and what state its arsenal was in. And senior intel officials expressed skepticism (and in some cases, flat out denial) at the assertion that Saddam would give a WMD to a terrorist group.

So, continuing with this story that all the administration was just echoing an intelligence consensus is flat out dishonest.

Again I'll ask you: Saddam had chem/bio weapons for 20+ years before we invaded. Why didn't he ever give them to a Palestinian or other terrorist group to attack his arch rival Israel in all that time if his intent was to give terrorists WMDs? The issue isn't whether he ever had them, it's whether he was a threat. So let's avoid this tangential b.s. It's telling that your arguing technicalities in kurto's post in this thread and avoided my very direct posts to you and Bruno in which I already spelled this point out.
I'm still gathering some sources to counter your argument, which seems to be supported by one quote from Cheney and an article from commondreams.org which isn't exactly what I would call an unbiased source.
04-08-2008 , 07:47 PM
While you wait, enjoy this video...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B25jjXgzx78
04-08-2008 , 07:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by AlexM
Saying "Bush lied" is just plain ignorant.
It may not be productive, but it isn't ignorant. I don't know your standards, but claiming there's "no doubt" about something when your own intel sources are raising numerous doubts, and claiming there's agreement amongst intel analysts when there isn't, is lying to me and most people.

Quote:
The public version of the U.S. intelligence community's key prewar assessment of Iraq's illicit arms programs was stripped of dissenting opinions, warnings of insufficient information and doubts about deposed dictator Saddam Hussein's intentions, a review of the document and its once-classified version shows. [full story, 2004]
Quote:
But [the public NIE report] fails to mention the dissenting view offered in the top-secret version by the State Department's intelligence arm, the Bureau of Intelligence and Research, known as the INR.

That view said, in part, "The activities we have detected do not, however, add up to a compelling case that Iraq is currently pursuing what INR would consider to be an integrated and comprehensive approach to acquire nuclear weapons. Iraq may be doing so, but INR considers the available evidence inadequate to support such a judgment." [full story, 2004]
Quote:
Chief of CIA Europe Division on 60 Minutes, Apr 2006:

BRADLEY: So, in the fall of 2002, before going to war, we had it on good authority from a source within Saddam’s inner circle that he didn’t have an active program for weapons of mass destruction?

DRUMHELLER: Yes.

BRADLEY: There’s no doubt in your mind about that?

DRUMHELLER: No doubt in my mind at all.

BRADLEY: It directly contradicts, though, what the President and his staff were telling us.

DRUMHELLER: The policy was set. The war in Iraq was coming, and they were looking for intelligence to fit into the policy, to justify the policy. [link]
Bush, Mar 2003: "Intelligence gathered by this and other governments leaves no doubt that the Iraq regime continues to possess and conceal some of the most lethal weapons ever devised. . . . The terrorists could fulfill their stated ambitions and kill thousands or hundreds of thousands of innocent people in our country or any other."

Cheney, Aug 2002: Simply stated, there is no doubt that Saddam Hussein now has weapons of mass destruction. There is no doubt he is amassing them to use against our friends, against our allies, and against us. And there is no doubt that his aggressive regional ambitions will lead him into future confrontations with his neighbors -- confrontations that will involve both the weapons he has today, and the ones he will continue to develop with his oil wealth.

There are numerous examples of these shenanigans, like Bush saying in 2002 "according to the British government, [Saddam] could launch a biological or chemical attack in as little as 45 minutes after the order is given" AFTER this information was already ruled by our own intelligence sources (and briefed to the administration) as bogus. But, ah, Bush said "according to the British government" so technically didn't lie, right? Depends on what your definition of is is.
04-08-2008 , 07:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BrunoThePug
I'm still gathering some sources to counter your argument, which seems to be supported by one quote from Cheney and an article from commondreams.org which isn't exactly what I would call an unbiased source.
One quote from Cheney?

Are you really denying that the Administration said there was no doubt about Iraq's capabilities and intentions? This was the principal issue which justified the war, for chrissakes.

And the article was only reposted on that site. It's a Knight-Ridder article as I stated in the post (K-R was a major media player that was since bought out). What exactly are you going to counter anyway?

A) That there really was no doubt about Iraq's capabilities and intentions? Good luck since everything we've learned since the invasion has shown there was way MORE uncertainty than we ever realized.

OR

B) That the administration warned us that there was considerable dissent (or at least doubt) in the intel community regarding Iraq's intentions and capabilities. I'm really looking forward to seeing that.
04-08-2008 , 07:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by yossarian lives
It may not be productive, but it isn't ignorant. I don't know your standards, but claiming there's "no doubt" about something when your own intel sources are raising numerous doubts, and claiming there's agreement amongst intel analysts when there isn't, is lying to me and most people.
I don't mean it's ignorant necessarily because he didn't lie but because if he did, well pretty much every politician in D.C. was lying to us, including the previous Democratic candidate, and laying it all at Bush's feet is ignorant.
04-08-2008 , 07:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by AlexM
I don't mean it's ignorant necessarily because he didn't lie but because if he did, well pretty much every politician in D.C. was lying to us, including the previous Democratic candidate, and laying it all at Bush's feet is ignorant.
Which other group of politicians argued that there was no doubt Saddam's threat was so imminent that we must invade first?

You really want to say "every politician" made this claim?

Again, saying Saddam has WMDs is not equivalent to Saddam has WMDs, is increasing his stockpile, and is amassing them to give to terrorists so they can use them against you! And soon!
04-08-2008 , 08:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by yossarian lives
Again, saying Saddam has WMDs is not equivalent to Saddam has WMDs, is increasing his stockpile, and is amassing them to give to terrorists so they can use them against you! And soon!
Please quote Bush saying the second thing.
04-08-2008 , 08:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by yossarian lives
Which other group of politicians argued that there was no doubt Saddam's threat was so imminent that we must invade first?
Isn't this a bit of a different issue than whether or not bush lied? If we're just trying to determine if bush lied about the threat, I don't think we should include his view on what the next step would be.
04-08-2008 , 08:28 PM
I don't think this will help Bush even if true. Does anybody think Syria having WMDs is much better than Iraq having them? Basically, the the criticism will go from "we had no reason to go in" to "once we got in you messed up so badly as to make the war useless."

(I am not necessarily saying that Bush or the military messed up as maybe it would be really hard to prevent Saddam from giving them to another country, but that should have been factored in when he decided to go to war.)
04-08-2008 , 08:48 PM
From Bush's War:

Quote:
Vice Pres. DICK CHENEY: ["Meet the Press," September 14, 2003] The Czechs alleged that Mohammed Atta, the lead attacker, met in Prague with a senior Iraqi intelligence official five months before the attack, but we've never been able to develop any more of that yet.

RICHARD CLARKE: I remember vividly, in the driveway outside of the West Wing, Scooter Libby grabbing me - from the vice president's office - and saying, "I hear you don't believe this report that Mohammed Atta was talking to Iraqi people in Prague." And I said, "I don't believe it because it's not true." And he said, "You're wrong. You know you're wrong. Go back and find out. Look at the rest of the reports and find out that you're wrong."

And I understood what he was saying, which was, "This is a report that we want to believe, and stop saying it's not true. It's a real problem for the vice president's office that you, the counterterrorism coordinator, are walking around saying that this isn't a true report. Shut up!" That's what I was being told.
04-08-2008 , 10:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by AlexM
Please quote Bush saying the second thing.
Are you saying my paraphrasing in A is vastly different than Cheney's actual quote in B?

A: Saddam has WMDs, is increasing his stockpile, and is amassing them to give to terrorists so they can use them against you! And soon!

B: Simply stated, there is no doubt that Saddam Hussein now has weapons of mass destruction. There is no doubt he is amassing them to use against our friends, against our allies, and against us. And there is no doubt that his aggressive regional ambitions will lead him into future confrontations with his neighbors -- confrontations that will involve both the weapons he has today, and the ones he will continue to develop with his oil wealth.
04-08-2008 , 10:29 PM
"If true, it would finally shut up the 'Bush lied, people died' people"

But Bush said we already found the WMDs.

      
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