Quote:
Originally Posted by General Tsao
I found the bet:
Are you saying the 2 maps weren't there when the bet was agreed to?
Was popular vote map specified in some other conversation?
Feel free to take this to PM IMO.
Plurality of delegates map is definitely newer, but neither map was up yet back in August 2011. Here was the last update:
August 31st, 2011 Version
However, the 2008 primaries had one map that declared the winner of each state.
Edit: I think the states carried is the most relevant section of the Wiki page, and I think most of the value on the Paul side of the bet was in something like this happening. Certainly there was little reason to suspect back then that he could come as close as he did to winning the popular vote in Iowa. I'd want to read all the related posts before the bet, and if the spirit was like yeah Paul has a great chance to win the popular vote in Alaska, Maine, Iowa, North Dakota, or wherever then I'd award the bet entirely to Max. If the spirit of the bet was more Max saying there's no way Ron Paul will win a state, I'd award it to Fermion/Tsao. Just looking at the odds that were being laid I'd suspect it's closer to the latter.
Last edited by Scary_Tiger; 05-13-2012 at 09:30 PM.