Quote:
Originally Posted by goofyballer
idk if 2016 Trump vote share vs. 2018 Trump approval rating is a super useful comparison.
Does anyone know how well Presidential approval ratings correlate with voting results?
I didn't see a great summary on initial Googling, but I did look up a few numbers:
Nov 2012
Obama approval rating (Gallup): 52
Obama popular vote percentage: 51.1
Nov 2004
Bush approval rating (Gallup): 48
Bush popular vote percentage: 50.7
Nov 1996
Clinton approval rating (Gallup): 54
Clinton popular vote percentage: 49.2% (3-way race)
Does anyone have any good info on this?