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The Presidency of Donald J. Trump: No smocking guns. The Presidency of Donald J. Trump: No smocking guns.

08-10-2018 , 10:57 AM
One of the basic misunderstandings about illegal immigration is that the people who are working in the kitchen or cutting lawns are doing that because they are blocked from meeting their potential contribution. The idea that the next generation is injected with first world anabolic steroids and American influence is why they achieve so much lore than their parents is not true. I know lawyers who work the line in restaurants because that is what they are relegated to when they get here. If we allowed people to contribute more, they would.
08-10-2018 , 10:57 AM
you don't have to be a citizen to collect social security right now. You just need to work a certain amount and you get benefits just like a US American.
08-10-2018 , 10:57 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tutejszy
re earlier discussion, I just wanted to point out that EU has essentially open borders inside (completely open in Schengen zone) and it never caused any troubles, unless you are far right and think that "damn foreigners taking our jobs" is a real thing.

Economical differences between wealthiest and poorest members of EU are pretty similar to ones between US and Mexico, though admittedly there is a bit of a geographical segregation, with wealthiest EU members to the West.
Regarding your second paragraph, immigration with Mexico is close to zero now. Most of these people are coming from Central America now.
08-10-2018 , 11:01 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SenorKeeed
you don't have to be a citizen to collect social security right now. You just need to work a certain amount and you get benefits just like a US American.
Right, but they have to be lawfully in the US, which is basically the same kind of thing that I was contemplating when I talked about having a path to some legal status. The idea is that the path would be much more open than it is now, since the current system imposes pretty strict limits on how many people can achieve that status. But it still wouldn't necessarily be automatic for anyone who crosses an open border.
08-10-2018 , 11:02 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by zikzak
Nice to see you guys walk straight into a tarp and earnestly debate completely open borders.
They tricked us into talking about socialized medicine and free college too. People are even talking about just handing out free UBI monies.
08-10-2018 , 11:14 AM
Is it shocking or not that some of the people here least worried about hordes of immigrants are me, goofyballer, champstark and markksman from CA, NY and TX - states with huge foreign born populations?
08-10-2018 , 11:16 AM
^^ Florida Man REPRESENTIN
08-10-2018 , 11:21 AM
In more News That Does Not Matter, Gina Haspel lied under oath, no actionable intel produced by her torture camp

yawn
08-10-2018 , 11:25 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by microbet
Is it shocking or not that some of the people here least worried about hordes of immigrants are me, goofyballer, champstark and markksman from CA, NY and TX - states with huge foreign born populations?
I live in a country with triple the per capita immigration of the US and where only half the population has two parents both born here. I think you are out of your mind if you think the US could absorb 130 million people in the course of a few years.
08-10-2018 , 11:26 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by OmgGlutten!
i'm curious what open borders would look like in the USA. it seems like you would end up with tons of tent cities, no? how would the public schools accommodate it?
I feel like the answer to these questions are obvious once you straighten out how you think an economy works at the most basic level, or what you actually think an economy is. When you say that adding tens of millions of people to the country would necessarily result in tent cities with zero education for children, you're implying that the average person is a net drain on the economy. And if the average person is a net drain on the economy, then how does the whole thing work in the first place? The population of the US increases every year, why does the real gdp per capita of the US also increase (almost) every year? Sure, if 140 million extra people materialized here tomorrow, we'd have problems, but like, it takes six months to build a house, what exactly are we worried about here?
08-10-2018 , 11:28 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by microbet
Who is exporting workers? Honduras exports unemployed people and we import workers.
The idea that you can fix unemployment by exporting unemployed people is just the inverse of the idea that immigrants will take your jerbs.
08-10-2018 , 11:30 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by zikzak
Nice to see you guys walk straight into a tarp and earnestly debate completely open borders.
+1
08-10-2018 , 11:31 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
I live in a country with triple the per capita immigration of the US and where only half the population has two parents both born here. I think you are out of your mind if you think the US could absorb 130 million people in the course of a few years.
I think you're out of your mind if you think 130 million would come in a few years. Migration with Mexico is close to zero. There are only 30 million people in El Salvador, Honduras, and Guatemala as it is.

How do you reconcile the fact that immigration from Mexico completely dried up during the recession and the panic that open borders means everyone comes here? People come when they don't have jobs at home and we have demand here.
08-10-2018 , 11:35 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
The idea that you can fix unemployment by exporting unemployed people is just the inverse of the idea that immigrants will take your jerbs.
You mean that immigrants taking your jobs is false and exporting unemployed people lowers unemployment is true? And I'm not suggesting importing or exporting anyone, just freedom.

I'm thinking the economy in the gang controlled neighborhoods of San Salvador isn't really your concern here.
08-10-2018 , 11:37 AM
Showing Nunberg how to properly Nunberg

08-10-2018 , 11:40 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by microbet
I think you're out of your mind if you think 130 million would come in a few years. Migration with Mexico is close to zero. There are only 30 million people in El Salvador, Honduras, and Guatemala as it is.
Tons of Euros itching for freedom from healthcare ldo.
08-10-2018 , 11:41 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrWookie
Tax the rich more (remove the cap on payroll taxes) and say you have to be here N years before you're eligible? Like, this isn't a hard problem.

I don't think it's easy as you make it out to be either. Do you deny healthcare to people who are not yet eligible? Are they also ineligible for child subsidies or any form of welfare payments while unemployed or unable to work?

Quote:
Originally Posted by synth_floyd
Open borders would probably mean anyone can live and work in the US but you would have to meet some kind of requirements to start receiving welfare benefits. That would also create a 2nd tier of people living here, unfortunately (not that there aren't already multiple tiers of people in US society).
Quote:
Originally Posted by Namath12
That's a good question. It seems like the new arrivals would get screwed mightily there.

But I'm not sure how 'open borders' are being framed here. Are we talking about no walls and making it easier for people to come here to work? Or are we talking about granting insta citizenship to anyone who wants to come here to work? Those are very different things.

Quote:
Originally Posted by well named
I'm not sure what people mean, exactly, by open borders, but my presumption has always been that it didn't mean that you just made every one who crossed the border a citizen. Part of the reason I've always thought that it's wrong to say that "you can't have a country without borders" is that you can have open borders but still draw distinctions between citizens and non-citizens for various purposes.

No citizenship, but presumably a path to citizenship. Be allowed to move to the country, take residency, be permitted to work, children allowed to attend school.


Quote:
Originally Posted by well named
And I think that in terms of the maintenance of the welfare state, you would have to make distinctions that limited the availability of at least some public programs (like social security) for non-citizens, probably while having some defined path by which people could apply for various legal statuses (permanent residency, citizenship, temporary worker, whatever) which would grant access to more or all of those programs, tied to people's contributions to them via taxes, or taxes paid by family members.

Note: I'm not really sure I think completely open borders is the best possible position, but I think there are ways to answer these questions.

See my questions above in response to Wookie's post. What happens to people who are not eligible for the welfare state?
08-10-2018 , 12:01 PM
08-10-2018 , 12:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
I live in a country with triple the per capita immigration of the US and where only half the population has two parents both born here. I think you are out of your mind if you think the US could absorb 130 million people in the course of a few years.
Not mentioned here is that the country he is talking about has a population of 40 people.

What does your first sentence mean anyway?
08-10-2018 , 12:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Louis Cyphre
What happens to people who are not eligible for the welfare state?
I'm sure the most honest answer I can give is I'm not sure, and I don't know how large of a problem would be created, or even if there would be a major problem. I'm generally incrementalist about policy precisely out of some sense of epistemic humility, and for that reason alone I probably wouldn't favor moving from our current system to open borders all at once, although I favor pretty substantial changes to our system.

That said, I do think there are empirical reasons to suspect that the large majority of people who arrive as immigrants would be eligible for programs in a reasonable "open borders" system along the lines I proposed. For example, the unemployment rate for immigrants in the US (including the undocumented) was similar or slightly lower than for the native-born population in 2017, and they have a slightly higher labor force participation rate. Clearly the reason the macro-economists think open borders would raise GDP involves the fact that immigrants contribute to the economies of their new countries, which should place some upper bound on the scope of the problem you have in mind. It's also not surprising, people migrate looking for a better life.

It's not clear to me that a more open immigration system would dramatically change the outcomes, although maybe it's possible that too many new, relatively unskilled immigrants arriving in a short period of time would find it difficult to find work. But, I'm with microbet in being skeptical of exactly how large a wave of immigration might occur.

So, to your question, if you can make reasonable assumptions about the economics, then it seems like the answer should be that you can offer some baseline of social welfare programs to immigrants just as you do to the native-born. I think that should minimally involve healthcare and education. My point before was just that opening borders doesn't remove the possibility of making more fine-grained policy adjustments if needed. I presume even if one decided that this was the correct way to move forward on immigration policy that there would arise problems that would have to be addressed, but I'm not able to address them in the hypothetical. I suspect that economic problems would be more likely to occur for large movements of refugees than for immigrants who come seeking work in the first place.
08-10-2018 , 12:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jt217
I feel like the answer to these questions are obvious once you straighten out how you think an economy works at the most basic level, or what you actually think an economy is. When you say that adding tens of millions of people to the country would necessarily result in tent cities with zero education for children, you're implying that the average person is a net drain on the economy. And if the average person is a net drain on the economy, then how does the whole thing work in the first place? The population of the US increases every year, why does the real gdp per capita of the US also increase (almost) every year? Sure, if 140 million extra people materialized here tomorrow, we'd have problems, but like, it takes six months to build a house, what exactly are we worried about here?
Um, of the 4.4 billion people living in developing countries, a whole bunch of them can't afford to 'build a house' in the USA. When we say 'open borders', it means anybody who wants to come can come right? So, you are saying that all the people coming are going to live in "houses"? LOL?

08-10-2018 , 12:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Namath12
Showing Nunberg how to properly Nunberg

Andrew Miller was just held in contempt

Libs status: pwned
08-10-2018 , 12:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by OmgGlutten!
yeah, but i am still curious what open borders would look like.
Like most of US history? We've effectively had them for most of the country's existence.
08-10-2018 , 12:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by danspartan
Melania: illegal immigrant (questionable work visa and overstayed)
Baron: Anchor baby
Her parents: chain migration

Fox News: silent
Attractive, white women and their families aren't the sort of immigrants they have a problem with.
08-10-2018 , 12:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Louis Cyphre
How does social security and medicare work with completely open borders?
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