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The Presidency of Donald J. Trump: No smocking guns. The Presidency of Donald J. Trump: No smocking guns.

07-11-2018 , 12:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sighsalot
yay some good news. Do our resident pollsters agree with nate here?
Within 12 hours, articles from solid outlets had articles proclaiming zero chance of senate changing hands, and a decent chance of changing hands. I'm not a huge proponent of generic-ballot polling for actual elections.

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07-11-2018 , 12:51 PM

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/...88833890942981
07-11-2018 , 12:55 PM
rofl their
07-11-2018 , 12:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by realDonaldTrump

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/...86416176730112
"it would be soooo simple to fix"

I believe in the past typically Presidents would lay out their plans to Congress, not just tell them it's easy.
07-11-2018 , 01:01 PM
Build a giant wall and throw out the brown people is pretty simple, tbh.
07-11-2018 , 01:03 PM
https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1017068015135940608
07-11-2018 , 01:04 PM
Russia spends 10% as much on their military as the US and maybe 25% of what the EU spends. It's insane for anyone in NATO to be spending 2% of their GDP on the military.
07-11-2018 , 01:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FlyWf
LOL Wittes allegiance to a fellow rich white is making him write a fantasy where Kavanaugh's 1990s-era belief that the President should be prosecuted is evidence that he thinks that the President can be prosecuted, despite a 2009 article saying otherwise.

(Kavanaugh was part of the Ken Starr prosecution of Clinton but then worked under Bush and he's a die hard partisan)

Wittes literally doesn't understand the game that is being played to imagine that someone will ****ing shame Kavanaugh into ruling that Trump isn't immune to indictment by pointing out "ah sir in 1998 you wrote something that implied otherwise!!?!?!?!". If that **** worked Merrick Garland would be on the ****ing court!
You may be right. I just generally find Wittes to know wtf is happening. He’s the “boom” guy on twitter and is decidedly anti-Trump.
07-11-2018 , 01:08 PM

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/...93020783710209
07-11-2018 , 01:16 PM
the current president of the united states struggles with their/they’re
07-11-2018 , 01:17 PM
When a Mafia don becomes President.
07-11-2018 , 01:22 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sighsalot
yay some good news. Do our resident pollsters agree with nate here?
our resident pollsters suck, so default with nate
07-11-2018 , 01:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by alazo1985
You may be right. I just generally find Wittes to know wtf is happening. He’s the “boom” guy on twitter and is decidedly anti-Trump.
you and wittes are making the mistake of assuming republicans are more likely to be logically consistent than nakedly partisan
07-11-2018 , 01:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ScreaminAsian
https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1017068015135940608
Good times being a spiritual advisor and being that ignorant on the alleged plight of Jesus.
07-11-2018 , 01:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by microbet
Russia spends 10% as much on their military as the US and maybe 25% of what the EU spends. It's insane for anyone in NATO to be spending 2% of their GDP on the military.
And as someone previously noted, perhaps you, the most likely outcome of a real world war would involve nuclear weapons. Conventional weaponry is pretty much the domain of third world country insuregdncies and United States led invasions. If we would stop attacking and invading places that were zero threat to us there would be very little need for most of the military in the world.

It is like we pretend we don’t pour hundreds of billions of dollars into paying contractors for almost any engagement anyways and it makes no sense why we anyone to maintain an absurdly expensive standing army AND massively supplement that by duplicating everything with super expensive third party contractors.

Plus lol at NATO paying for all the engagements that are unilateral US attacks. NATO members have spent much more supporting the US in the last forty years than Vice versa.
07-11-2018 , 01:54 PM
Study: biggest predictor of attitudes on immigration is economic anxiety racial resentment

Quote:
Miller essentially ran a number of statistical tests to determine how white Americans' economic and racial attitudes correlated with their immigration beliefs: Does being unemployed make white voters more or less likely to support decreasing immigration? What about belief in the strength of the economy? As respondents' racial resentments increase, what does that do to their views on immigration?
Let's find out!



LOL TRUMP SUPPORTERS

Bonus:

Quote:
The racial resentment questions ask only about attitudes toward black Americans. They don’t mention Hispanic immigrants at all. And yet, Miller found, white Americans' attitudes toward blacks were a powerful predictor of how they felt about immigration. “The familiar racial resentment toward African-Americans is part of a bigger syndrome in which ethnicity/race filters perspectives toward policy, more broadly,” he writes.
07-11-2018 , 02:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by alazo1985
https://www.lawfareblog.com/brett-kavanaugh-and-mueller-investigation-what-do-his-writings-really-say

Wittes is generally solid, and apparently he knows Kavanaugh well, so if he isn’t scared maybe it’s not panic time yet
I didn't find Wittes' argument entirely convincing. It seems like he's nearly contradicting himself. First he writes:

Quote:
Now let’s turn to the dreaded four pages of Kavanaugh’s 2009 Minnesota article. These pages nowhere suggest that he has rethought his view of the law. They nowhere suggest that he has come to believe in some constitutional defect in the structure he proposed in 1998, under a close cousin of which Mueller currently serves.
But then later:

Quote:
Kavanaugh and I talked at some length about these ideas at the time he gave that speech and wrote that article. I had written a book about the Starr investigation, a number of years earlier, in which Kavanaugh is quoted. So we had a shared interest in the subject of how investigations of the president should and should not take place. His point was in no sense to create an imperial presidency that was above the law. His concern, rather, was that his experience with Bush had taught him that Starr’s disabling of the Clinton administration was not worth it. This was about humility. “Looking back to the late 1990s,” he writes, “the nation certainly would have been better off if President Clinton could have focused on Osama bin Laden without being distracted by the Paula Jones sexual harassment case and its criminal-investigation offshoots.”
Which rather gives the impression that maybe he has changed his views, at least somewhat. I mean I agree that it's too much to try to extrapolate his ruling on some hypothetical case out of what he wrote in 2009. The Mueller investigation is certainly qualitatively different from the investigation into Clinton in a bunch of ways. Nevertheless, I don't think Wittes' provides convincing evidence that Kavanaugh wouldn't apply his thoughts in that article to the Mueller investigation, although he may be right to doubt that he'd see it as equivalent.
07-11-2018 , 02:56 PM
Odds this guy decided on this research project because he was annoyed about sharing a name with the racist advisor in chief?

Quote:
...according to a working paper by political scientist Steven V. Miller of Clemson University.
07-11-2018 , 03:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by well named
Odds this guy decided on this research project because he was annoyed about sharing a name with the racist advisor in chief?
07-11-2018 , 03:24 PM
07-11-2018 , 03:39 PM
Lol I just watched all of office space the other day again. Such a great movie.
07-11-2018 , 03:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Namath12
This basically says it all
07-11-2018 , 03:56 PM
07-11-2018 , 03:58 PM
What are they looking at? Or did the photographer just say "look up to your left" and Trump doesn't know left from right?
07-11-2018 , 04:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ScreaminAsian
https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1017068015135940608
She's a couple of towns over from me. A while back her church had an ad on Zip Recruiter for an accounting position, minimum bachelor's degree required, offered a cool $27k in salary.

Also she's now married to Jonathan Cain, the keyboardist from Journey, thus ensuring that I can no longer enjoy Don't Stop Believin'

      
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