*Official* New Hampshire Primary Thread - Page 12 - Politics and Economics

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*Official* New Hampshire Primary Thread

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01-08-2008 , 09:26 PM

#276

Leaky Eye

old hand

Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 1,660

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dynasty

Democratic Exit Poll

Republican Exit Poll

Obama: 39.44
Clinton: 38.12
Edwards: 15.72
Richardson: 4.72
Kucinich: 1.43

McCain: 36.32
Romney: 30.32
Huckabee: 12.32
Paul: 10.04
Guiliani: 8.44
Thompson: 1.56
Hunter: 0.56

Edit: This is just % of male and female times reported percent. As has been pointed out it isn't this accurate.

01-08-2008 , 09:28 PM

#277

STA654

Here's some straight talk

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 21,072

How much money would a clinton victory cost you adanthar?

01-08-2008 , 09:28 PM

#278

MrWookie

Don't Call Me Meredith

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 94,159

Doesn't make much sense reporting 4 significant figures on those percentages, given that the poll didn't report any decimal places. Clinton may be closer to Obama than that.

01-08-2008 , 09:29 PM

#279

UATrewqaz

banned

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 9,699

Why am I picturing the vote counting rooms looking something like old Bugs Bunny cartoons:

1 for Hillary, 1 for Obama
2 for Hillary, and 1, 2 for Obama
3 for Hillary, and 1, 2, 3, for Obama

01-08-2008 , 09:29 PM

#280

adanthar

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2004 Posts: 20,109

Quote:

Originally Posted by STA654

How much money would a clinton victory cost you adanthar?

About 3K, but RP's gonna come in well under 13% so the worst I can do on the elections is break even.

01-08-2008 , 09:32 PM

#281

ZBTHorton

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2004 Posts: 19,874

All of the counties I've seen reporting so far are more moderate counties.

I think Obama still wins fairly big.

01-08-2008 , 09:32 PM

#282

NeedsMoreNuts

Tin Foil Prez

Join Date: Jul 2005 Posts: 2,681

OH HEI GUIES THEY SHOWED PAUL ON A PIE CHART ABOUT INDEPENDENT VOTERS, STFU!

01-08-2008 , 09:33 PM

#283

iron81

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 17,730

Quote:

Originally Posted by UATrewqaz

I just saw some numbers saying that so far Hillary had 150 delegates and Obama had 75, out of like 2025 needed to secure the nomination.

How does she have twice as many delegates? She lost in Iowa to Obama and that's been teh only contest?

What am I missing?

The Dems have "Superdelegates" who are basically senior party members that are appointed by some process rather than voted in. My best guess is, that these Superdelegates are not specifically tied to any candidate, but if they come out and support a candidate, CNN will will include that delegate in their totals.

01-08-2008 , 09:34 PM

#284

DVaut1

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2004 Posts: 30,005

Quote:

Originally Posted by ZBTHorton

All of the counties I've seen reporting so far are more moderate counties.

I think Obama still wins fairly big.

Also, there's some internet rumbling that younger voters will showed up later in the day. I buy none of this. I think Obama wins but it's probably within 3 percentage points.

01-08-2008 , 09:37 PM

#285

chokero

newbie

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 37

Quote:

Originally Posted by iron81

Correct, CNN says "These delegate counts represent CNN's most recent total for each candidate and break down pledged delegates and superdelegates, according to CNN’s most recent survey of superdelegates."

01-08-2008 , 09:44 PM

#286

UATrewqaz

banned

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 9,699

The lead is holding steady at 1,800 votes at the moment. I'm not caring about %'s because that's misleading this early.

Is there a place that shows which counties have returned and which hasn't?

I'm guessing the larger more urban and more heavy vote districts favor Obama (more young folk) and that the sticks contains all the senile people who vote Clinton.

01-08-2008 , 09:47 PM

#287

MrWookie

Don't Call Me Meredith

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 94,159

UA,

Posted earlier, but:

http://www.politico.com/nhprimaries/nhmap-popup.html

01-08-2008 , 09:50 PM

#288

chokero

newbie

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 37

CNN shows a 2,600 votes lead for Clinton now, surprising.

01-08-2008 , 09:50 PM

#289

BluffTHIS!

censor stultorum

Join Date: Nov 2004 Posts: 11,707

According to wiki NH has only a 1.29% black population (2005). Good state for WASPs like HC.

01-08-2008 , 09:52 PM

#290

JackWhite

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: May 2005 Posts: 3,784

Quote:

According to wiki NH has only a 1.29% black population (2005). Good state for WASPs like HC.

Couldn't you have said the exact same thing about Iowa?

01-08-2008 , 09:52 PM

#291

ZBTHorton

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2004 Posts: 19,874

Lead upto 3600 votes.

This would be catastrophic for Obama if he doesn't win imo.

01-08-2008 , 09:54 PM

#292

BluffTHIS!

censor stultorum

Join Date: Nov 2004 Posts: 11,707

Quote:

Originally Posted by JackWhite

Couldn't you have said the exact same thing about Iowa?

Nope almost double that at 2.5%

01-08-2008 , 09:54 PM

#293

chokero

newbie

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 37

Looks bad for Obama indeed, would've never expected that.

01-08-2008 , 09:55 PM

#294

DonkJr

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 5,656

I am going on a hunger strike until Obama is on top (for the next 20 minutes or so)

01-08-2008 , 09:55 PM

#295

ProfessorBen

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 9,897

Obama down 3.4k now.

01-08-2008 , 09:56 PM

#296

Francis_MH

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 10,386

Looks like NH voters bowed to a pissed-off Bill Clinton's demands.

01-08-2008 , 09:57 PM

#297

Dynasty

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Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 26,034

23.25% precincts reporting.

Clinton 39.94%
Obama 34.01%

26.24% reporting

Clinton 39.58%
Obama 34.51%

01-08-2008 , 09:58 PM

#298

DVaut1

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2004 Posts: 30,005

Seriously, pretty ridiculous if Clinton wins:

Baffling imo. I still think there's an Obama bounce coming in the actual results.

01-08-2008 , 09:58 PM

#299

MrWookie

Don't Call Me Meredith

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 94,159

Wow, 4.7k now. The gap keeps widening.

01-08-2008 , 09:58 PM

#300

BluffTHIS!

censor stultorum

Join Date: Nov 2004 Posts: 11,707

only 39-36 HC now!!!!!! the worm is turning!!!!!!!

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