Quote:
Originally Posted by LetsGambool
Gamblor, can you tell us what acceptable actions could have been taken/unacceptable actions have been taken so far?
The strategic goal should be twofold: The first goal is to give comfort to existing allies (protectorates, the Gulf countries) - in particular those for whom the United States has guaranteed security - that aggression against their interests will be defended vigorously. The second goal is to put Iran on notice that this aggression will not stand, man.
The tactical methods for achieving these goals, imo, might be as follows:
1) The White House should have immediately assured the Marshall Islands - and in doing so, the rest of its allies - that it would vigourously honour its agreement to protect their commercial activities from aggression in the Straits of Hormuz. The White House should call immediately for the release of the ship, and announce that it will be prepared to enforce UNCLOS, even if Iran hasn't signed on.
Grade: F
2) Authorize escort through the Straits of Hormuz for any commercial ship with an allied flag that so requests. The White House did send the USS Farragut to sail aimlessly in circles, that is a good start, but it's just sabre-rattling that will just keep the Revolutionary Guard laughing. I want US and her allies to be able to sail freely in the Straits of Hormuz without worrying about Iran.
Grade: B-
3) The White House should have put Iran on notice. The White House should have sent notice that any future
military interference with the commercial interests of the US or her allies or protectorates will be considered an act of war. Period. The Pentagon called the seizure a "provocation". Appropriate, but empty words.
Grade: C+
4) In the grand scheme of things, any relations with Iran should be halted and boycotted until an apology is issued.
Quote:
This certainly strikes me as a situation worth watching, but we are far from anything like the Tanker War given what has happened so far. The most likely outcome is that the ship is sent on its way without further incident.
I agree that this isn't the Tanker War. But 24+ hours in international shipping is a lot of money lost.
And, in particular in this thread, it is obvious to any citizens of American allies: if we are promised protection by the US, and we get pushed around, Americans will plainly tell us to go get ****ed. The Ukrainians learned it. Syrians have learned it (RED LINE). And now everyone else has learned it. Isolationism is back, baby.