I will take $25k worth of action that McCain wins.... - Politics and Economics

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I will take $25k worth of action that McCain wins....

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07-29-2008 , 05:52 PM

OneTimeDealer!!

banned

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 81

I will bet 5 people who are willing to bet $5k that McCain beats Obama. Obama will win the popular vote, but lose the electoral. We can hold money in escrow. PM me if interested. I am obv taking McCain.

07-29-2008 , 06:10 PM

Case Closed

self-banned

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 19,112

Even money I assume? What happens if McCain wins electoral and popular?

07-29-2008 , 06:12 PM

adanthar

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2004 Posts: 20,109

hmm...nah, I'd only make 30% if I hedged it, I can do better

07-29-2008 , 06:14 PM

OneTimeDealer!!

banned

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 81

I am only betting on who becomes president.

07-29-2008 , 06:16 PM

timotheeeee

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 3,861

Quote:

Originally Posted by OneTimeDealer!!

Lol, take that money to intrade, where you'll get a bunch of odds. Obama is 63-35 favorite over there.

If I had the money, I'd bet you 25k that Obama wins at even money, then I'd put another 25k on McCain on intrade for a tasty freeroll.

07-29-2008 , 06:18 PM

OneTimeDealer!!

banned

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 81

Obama loses Ohio and Florida

07-29-2008 , 06:20 PM

adanthar

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2004 Posts: 20,109

Quote:

Originally Posted by timotheeeee

Quote:

Originally Posted by adanthar

hmm...nah, I'd only make 30% if I hedged it, I can do better

^^^

07-29-2008 , 06:22 PM

timotheeeee

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 3,861

Quote:

Originally Posted by adanthar

^^^

My pony too slow.

I just got into this kind of betting, so I was giddy that I actually noticed the opportunity.

Ya I'm lame.

07-29-2008 , 06:37 PM

snagglepuss

banned

Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 7,268

ill take the full action 25k on obama, we can obv escrow on either stars or ftp with any of the respected highstakes nl people who have escrowed in the past. i am sure many will be willing to do it for me

07-29-2008 , 06:43 PM

#10

OneTimeDealer!!

banned

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 81

If you can do the whole 25 yourself, would you like to bump up the bet?

07-29-2008 , 06:50 PM

#11

zasterguava

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 4,414

You should bet on Obama. If he loses you always have tax cuts to fall back on and if Obama wins at least you can stand the tax hikes having just won 25k.

Fool-proof logic, amirite?

07-29-2008 , 07:15 PM

#12

General Tsao

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 30,575

Quote:

Originally Posted by snagglepuss

Quote:

Originally Posted by OneTimeDealer!!

If you can do the whole 25 yourself, would you like to bump up the bet?

07-29-2008 , 07:18 PM

#13

OneTimeDealer!!

banned

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 81

I have $92k I can wager, willing to wager it all. ( Bankroll management FTMFW )

07-29-2008 , 07:20 PM

#14

General Tsao

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 30,575

Quote:

Originally Posted by OneTimeDealer!!

I have $92k I can wager, willing to wager it all. ( Bankroll management FTMFW )

I don't know much about 2+2 betting history, but would this be one of the larger wagers?

07-29-2008 , 07:23 PM

#15

thesnowflake

banned

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 1,501

i'd like to bet on obama being assassinated by some untraceable person at 500-1

07-29-2008 , 07:29 PM

#16

not a model

adept

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 1,192

so you are offering free money to anyone with an account on a trade site that offers mccain at like 2:1? ok.

07-29-2008 , 07:36 PM

#17

JohnEPark

grinder

Join Date: May 2005 Posts: 598

Quote:

Originally Posted by OneTimeDealer!!

Obama loses Ohio and Florida

I hope you're aware that it's quite possible, should Obama lose Ohio and Florida (Ohio being the only real question mark here as Florida ain't voting for Obama), that he will win the election anyway.

07-29-2008 , 07:40 PM

#18

OneTimeDealer!!

banned

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 81

you will all realize just how racist america is come november.....and half of obamas supporters wont show up to ****ing vote anyways

07-29-2008 , 07:43 PM

#19

zasterguava

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 4,414

Quote:

Originally Posted by OneTimeDealer!!

you will all realize just how racist america is come november.....and half of obamas supporters wont show up to ****ing vote anyways

Wait, it's racist not to vote for a black guy?

07-29-2008 , 07:52 PM

#20

General Tsao

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 30,575

we prob shouldn't influence the action, guys. maybe we should save all comments for after the wager is totally booked.

07-29-2008 , 07:55 PM

#21

jimmytrick

banned

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 770

Frankly, I agree with him.

07-29-2008 , 08:05 PM

#22

snagglepuss

banned

Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 7,268

i pm'd him and received no response

i am also willing to wager much more than 25k if this guy is legit and escrowed, but that isn't seeming to be the case

*edit* also browsing his posting history it seems he plays 10 dollar sngs, so it is likely this was either a lame trolling attempt, or an attempt to set up a potential scam.

that said, if he turns out to be legit i will obv wager as ive stated in the past. i currently have about 10k in action on the election, and am willing to book up to 100k more. if anyone else is interested in any 1k+ wager, pm me

07-29-2008 , 08:08 PM

#23

OneTimeDealer!!

banned

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 81

I replied in this thread. I'm not dodging you. Just PM me and tell me how it works, and I will confirm the holders of the money with my friends ( they will know the person holding the $$$$ )....how about 50k?

07-29-2008 , 08:14 PM

#24

MrWookie

Don't Call Me Meredith

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 94,159

Snaggle,

Please let me know either in this thread or by PM if OTD doesn't come through or is unreliable in any way about this so I can lock/infract/ban him as appropriate for clogging up the forum.