And Here. We. Go. 2012 Presidential Election: Obama v. Romney - Page 1021 - Politics and Economics

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And Here. We. Go. 2012 Presidential Election: Obama v. Romney

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10-23-2012 , 10:23 PM

#25501

Ineedaride2

Politics Court Jester

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 25,080

****. There went my free Christmas money.

10-23-2012 , 10:24 PM

#25502

TalkingDonkey

RIZZAHHHHHH

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 17,137

Obama back up to 51.9% in OH

10-23-2012 , 10:25 PM

#25503

DVaut1

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2004 Posts: 30,005

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riverman

I mean it is like 100% certain that there are smart people locking in a risk-free 8-10% profit RIGHT NOW. It's pure insanity.

I'm actively trying to get money on Intrade now so I don't miss this **** again.

10-23-2012 , 10:25 PM

#25504

peetar69

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 1,553

It's funny you guys don't get it.

Obama has had "soft" support through the summer. Most people don't want him to be Pres.. Mitt will win pretty big.....and you folks will cry. .LOL

10-23-2012 , 10:25 PM

#25505

Trolly McTrollson

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 38,349

10-23-2012 , 10:26 PM

#25506

prana

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2005 Posts: 8,094

Quote:

Originally Posted by DVaut1

I'm actively trying to get money on Intrade now so I don't miss this **** again.

me too. didn't realize the hoops they had.

Intrade Ohio now:

Obama 51.9
Romney 51.4

10-23-2012 , 10:26 PM

#25507

big gilute

banned

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 1,193

Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul McSwizzle

it's unbelievable how little a huge majority of people care about anything factual when it comes to politics. like, how is this real life right now?

eta: not referring to intrade, but the state of the election itself. how are real american people out there honestly thinking voting mitt in is going to be a good thing for them/the country/anyone other than mitt or tagg

I have no idea, i really don't understand it.

10-23-2012 , 10:26 PM

#25508

anatta

diamond sharp wisdom

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 35,729

mitt fans still scared and think we are 12 imo

10-23-2012 , 10:27 PM

#25509

El Rata

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 31,720

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riverman

I think its safe to say something fishy is going on on intrade.

You're a typical liberal and just can't fathom Romney winning!

Spoiler:

10-23-2012 , 10:27 PM

#25510

Big Man

veteran

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 2,439

This is like Trading Places when Valentine and Winthorpe wait to corner the market.

10-23-2012 , 10:27 PM

#25511

prana

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2005 Posts: 8,094

Quote:

Originally Posted by prana

Intrade Ohio now:

Obama 51.9
Romney 51.4

Intrade Ohio now:

Obama 52.5
Romney 47.6

10-23-2012 , 10:28 PM

#25512

Tom1975

arbitrary and capricious

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 17,723

Quote:

Originally Posted by UFO1947

Wow, is the trump thing really gonna be that bad?

My leading contenders:

- Kenyan birth certificate found
- photo of prayer rug in oval office
- bin laden still alive

10-23-2012 , 10:28 PM

#25513

DVaut1

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2004 Posts: 30,005

Quote:

Originally Posted by prana

me too. didn't realize the hoops they had.

Intrade Ohio now:

Obama 51.9
Romney 51.4

man sucks I'm missing this

10-23-2012 , 10:29 PM

#25514

steelhouse

banned

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 6,109

Quote:

Originally Posted by DVaut1

Obama back up to 55. Spread won't last long. Markets efficient after all.

Markets are not efficient, especially in political betting. In football yo have a lot of info. In politics most people don't do any of their own polling and stats.

10-23-2012 , 10:30 PM

#25515

big gilute

banned

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 1,193

Quote:

Originally Posted by prana

Intrade Ohio now:

Obama 52.5
Romney 47.6

looks like there getting back to where they should be.

10-23-2012 , 10:30 PM

#25516

mrmarky

adept

Join Date: Sep 2010 Posts: 1,072

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riverman

I think its safe to say something fishy is going on on intrade.

people are betting on intrade that mitt romney will win? You really bring nothing to this discussion.

that being said i will probably figure out a way to bet on Pres Obama despite being a huge mitt fan.

10-23-2012 , 10:31 PM

#25517

Trolly McTrollson

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 38,349

Quote:

Originally Posted by steelhouse

Markets are not efficient, especially in political betting. In football yo have a lot of info. In politics most people don't do any of their own polling and stats.

STIHL HAÜS!

10-23-2012 , 10:32 PM

#25518

peetar69

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 1,553

I was really going to hold my breathe and wait for election night to reappear, but I had to piss on your bonfire tonight,:........ because you guys have some really flawed logic.

10-23-2012 , 10:32 PM

#25519

ikestoys

banned

Join Date: Nov 2006 Posts: 94,424

You're missing it guise, people are trying to massively change perceptions through intrade.

10-23-2012 , 10:33 PM

#25520

JoltinJake

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: May 2004 Posts: 5,236

I am baffled about Intrade. Is there any good reason why Intrade would move so much but not the other books? It seems to me that if you had enough to significantly affect Intrade prices, you wouldn't just be shoving it all on Intrade. You would take the time to get it in on the book with the best price.

Market manipulation is certainly possible -- the argument for trying to produce a self-fullfilling prophecy is pretty strong IMO -- but again, why choose only Intrade when you have to assume that sharps will arbitrage the price back up quickly?

10-23-2012 , 10:33 PM

#25521

big gilute

banned

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 1,193

Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmarky

are you a gop fan or a mitt fan? tell me, how does someone become a mitt fan? do you like the fact that he doesn't stand a position? what makes someone like a guy liek mitt, im genuinely curious. thanks in advance

10-23-2012 , 10:34 PM

#25522

mrmarky

adept

Join Date: Sep 2010 Posts: 1,072

nm i guess i am too late. But if i can get close to even money on Pres Obama i will bet him pretty hard (if ohio continues to look how it is).

10-23-2012 , 10:35 PM

#25523

El Rata

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 31,720

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jake (The Snake)

Because Intrade gets quoted on CNN, Pinnacle doesn't. That would be my best guess.

10-23-2012 , 10:36 PM

#25524

Trolly McTrollson

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 38,349

Probably just some drink/rich guy trolling us and laughing his nuts off atm.

10-23-2012 , 10:36 PM

#25525

anatta

diamond sharp wisdom

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 35,729

yeah intrade has the rcp tab right there on front page. it only takes what a 100 grand to make this happen? what is that to sheldon addleson. and u dont even lose that u get stock.

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