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The Great ObamaCare Debate, Part 237: Back to Court The Great ObamaCare Debate, Part 237: Back to Court

03-12-2014 , 12:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ikestoys
True story, I've done exactly this!
thatsthejoke.jpg
03-12-2014 , 12:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ikestoys
You can keep ignoring the fact that the district changed significantly after redistricting or you can be honest. Feel free to do whatever you want. The water is there, I can't make you drink, nor do I care if you do.
Yeah, that 2013 redistricting sure changed things since the 2012 election.
03-12-2014 , 01:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ashington
Demonstrate how this is a fact.
I already have. McCain beat Obama by 5 points. Obama won in 2012 despite winning by less against the republicans. The district went from R+12 to R+3.
03-12-2014 , 01:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ashington
Never mind, this is a dumb derail and you're obviously never backing down no matter how wrong you're demonstrated to be so it's pointless anyway.
In my tireless effort to remind ikes that literally doing a single second of research before just spouting what he wishes was true would improve his accuracy by infinity percent:

From the FL 13 ballotipedia page:
Quote:
In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Florida's 13th District's partisanship was unaffected by redistricting.[10]
2012: 48D / 52R
2010: 48D / 52R
What is now FL 13 used to be cover much of the territory that was FL 10. In 2008, FL 10 went for Obama 51%-47%.

Last edited by FlyWf; 03-12-2014 at 01:08 PM.
03-12-2014 , 01:15 PM
There were more R's than D's before redistricting.

There are more R's than D's since redistricting.

DEM DID NOT WIN THE DISTRICT LOL OBAMACARE LOL
03-12-2014 , 01:21 PM
UNPOSSIBLE for R to win FL-13 if Obama won the district in 2012 UNLESS OBAMACARE
03-12-2014 , 01:29 PM
looooooooooooooooooooooooool ike

its like he does it on purpose
03-12-2014 , 01:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ikestoys
Your refusal to admit that this is a swing district now is pretty damn funny. Notice how no one is coming to your side? They won't, and it's because you're ****ing wrong.
So does folks coming to post on his side make him right?
03-12-2014 , 01:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Riverman
looooooooooooooooooooooooool ike

its like he does it on purpose
and the fact that he isn't is why it's so hilarious
03-12-2014 , 01:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by neg3sd
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2014...cial-election/

Jolley beats Sink in Florida special election. Sink had a 13 point lead in November. Sink out spent Jolley 4-1 and still lost. Obamacare loses the first battle.
The D's suffered from low turn out.

Quote:
Having now spent 6,000-odd words on the Florida special election, I should admit that smart analysts predicted the result with one number. Two-hundred thousand. If that many ballots showed up in FL-13, Democrats were hitting their turnout models and winning the race. If fewer, they were losing. There were about 180,000 votes cast in the race, and the Democrats lost.
http://www.slate.com/blogs/weigel/20...out_fl_13.html
03-12-2014 , 01:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrWookie
UNPOSSIBLE for R to win FL-13 if Obama won the district in 2012 UNLESS OBAMACARE
Only in imaginary world am I saying this. I'm not saying that FL-13 is a bellweather district that predicts the outcome of a massive win for Republicans in 2014 (there are plenty of other structural things that actually do make that case).

What is absolutely not true is that the Republicans won this district because it is a deep red district. The Democrats funneled resources into this election because it was winnable. They did not win. Simple as that.
03-12-2014 , 02:05 PM
Hahahaha oh wow this special election stuff, ikes just can't help himself

Quote:
Originally Posted by ikestoys
Thanks for the lulz though, it's always fun to watch someone make a fool of themselves.
indeed
03-12-2014 , 02:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ikestoys
Only in imaginary world am I saying this. I'm not saying that FL-13 is a bellweather district that predicts the outcome of a massive win for Republicans in 2014 (there are plenty of other structural things that actually do make that case).

What is absolutely not true is that the Republicans won this district because it is a deep red district. The Democrats funneled resources into this election because it was winnable. They did not win. Simple as that.
No one was saying it was a deep red district. Just that it was a red district and that the outcome of the election was neither the surprise nor the referendum on Obamacare that neg was saying it was. You were goin' hard on behalf of neg.
03-12-2014 , 02:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrWookie
No one was saying it was a deep red district. Just that it was a red district and that the outcome of the election was neither the surprise nor the referendum on Obamacare that neg was saying it was. You were goin' hard on behalf of neg.
You might want to check with ashington on that, so you two can get on message.
03-12-2014 , 02:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ikestoys
Only in imaginary world am I saying this. I'm not saying that FL-13 is a bellweather district that predicts the outcome of a massive win for Republicans in 2014 (there are plenty of other structural things that actually do make that case).

What is absolutely not true is that the Republicans won this district because it is a deep red district. The Democrats funneled resources into this election because it was winnable. They did not win. Simple as that.
Bellwether.

And yes it was winnable. But it wasnt won. It was really close and that Republicans barely won a Republican district is pretty lol.

Quote:
Originally Posted by ikestoys
There absolutely should not be a tort case. Again, who pays is in the post you're ignoring because you don't know what I'm referencing.
If only there was a way to solve this problem.

And no, a doctor making a mistake should obviously be a tort. Its the textbook example of a tort.
03-12-2014 , 02:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ikestoys
You might want to check with ashington on that, so you two can get on message.
Yeah, I read his post. Longtime red is not the same as the deep red strawman you created, and as everyone has been saying, the most telling datum from the 2012 election was the margin of victory for the republican, +16, not the margin of victory for Obama.
03-12-2014 , 02:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrWookie
Yeah, I read his post. Longtime red is not the same as the deep red strawman you created, and as everyone has been saying, the most telling datum from the 2012 election was the margin of victory for the republican, +16, not the margin of victory for Obama.
Right, not the same thing. Which is why he went bananas when that was my main contention. Try again.
03-12-2014 , 02:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by [Phill]
If only there was a way to solve this problem.
Read the post phill. Damages to people from vaccines are all paid from a fund.
Quote:
And no, a doctor making a mistake should obviously be a tort. Its the textbook example of a tort.
No it's not phill. Again, you're equating mistakes with negligence. They aren't the same ****ing thing. You are, otoh, doing a great job of illustrating why our current tort system is so ****ed, because it conflates the two.
03-12-2014 , 02:33 PM
Making a mistake doesnt stop it being tort. Unless America has crazy different tort laws to Britain (ie the correct law).

Professionals are held to a high standard, by design, and making mistakes* are and should be reflected with damages payouts to make the victim whole.

FTR I dont care if it is paid by doctors or a central fund. Just that victims are paid. But forcing doctors and hospitals to pay into a central fund instead of using an insurance system wont change the cost of doing so.

* unless the mistake is a specific exception such as being the industry standard or its a known complication like a brain surgery having a high risk of death on the table
03-12-2014 , 02:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by [Phill]
Making a mistake doesnt stop it being tort.
Correct. However, it is not sufficient to make it a tort either.
03-12-2014 , 02:52 PM
Quote:
FTR I dont care if it is paid by doctors or a central fund. Just that victims are paid. But forcing doctors and hospitals to pay into a central fund instead of using an insurance system wont change the cost of doing so.
This is probably a better idea, but we would inevitably get doctors complaining that they were paying too much because of other doctor's negligence and that's NOT FAIR, etc etc etc

But more importantly, as ikes reminded us above, if it comes to it they will literally reject the jury system. It's not ****ing principle with these people, it's grasping entitlement. There's no there there.
03-12-2014 , 02:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FlyWf
This is probably a better idea, but we would inevitably get doctors complaining that they were paying too much because of other doctor's negligence and that's NOT FAIR, etc etc etc

But more importantly, as ikes reminded us above, if it comes to it they will literally reject the jury system. It's not ****ing principle with these people, it's grasping entitlement. There's no there there.
Oh horse**** fly. You dumped on the jury system what, one month ago? Juries make ****ing stupid decisions regarding if it's murder to fire a bunch of bullets into a car. You really think they are capable of making decisions about what constitutes negligence in any medical case? Really?!?!

Regardless, ikestoys system that he's copied from other people and other systems already in place in the united states.

1) Immunity for anyone reporting a medical mistake within a certain timeframe (short)
2) Cases are reviewed by a panel of experts
3) Victims are paid out fund paid for by the medical industry
4) Information gathered by the system is made public, allowing for better procedures to be made.

Rough outline obviously, but this is 1000000x better than the current system.
03-12-2014 , 03:18 PM
No, I dumped on a specific jury. That isn't a difficult distinction to grasp. Well, not difficult for people like me lol.

Quote:
You really think they are capable of making decisions about what constitutes negligence in any medical case? Really?!?!
Yes. Obviously? It's the bedrock foundation of our entire justice system.

ikes, what other professions need special coddling from the legal system, including granting them BLANKET IMMUNITY FOR NEGLIGENCE and also EXEMPTION FROM TRIAL BY JURY?!?!?!

To phrase that a different way, can you name a SINGLE PROFESSION that you are not personally part of that should receive this extraordinary protection from the government?

You expect us to believe a man so staggeringly incurious that he apparently doesn't even understand that redistricting involves redrawing maps has just independently found this great new system that P.S. involves him personally getting favorable treatment? "Really?!?!?!"

There's always Door Number 2: grasping entitlement by a spoiled brat. Tough call.
03-12-2014 , 03:20 PM
By the way, this absolutely does tie into the Great Obamacare Debate. Just like ikes has no sincere principled policy views re: tort reform, he has no sincere principled policy views re: insurance of people with pre-existing conditions.

Ikes, your super moderate upbringing has permanently robbed you of the ability to meaningfully participate in the great American experiment of representative democracy. What a tragedy.
03-12-2014 , 03:33 PM
Let's go to the tape.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ashington
You do realize that seat has been held by a Republican for like the last 40 years right?
Quote:
Originally Posted by ikestoys
You do realized that seat was recently redistricted right?

District was won by Obama in 2012, it was won by McCain by 5 points in 2008.
Yeah, I'd say Ashington is aware that that district had been redrawn ~4 times over the timeframe to which he was referring. Somehow, it's been red every single time it's been redrawn. Furthermore, we have more relevant recent data:

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ashington
Yeah. And there was also a congressional election held there in 2012 (after redistricting). If only there was a way to determine who won that seat in 2012..
And then out of the blue you accuse him of intellectual dishonesty for citing the most recent congressional election in that district as evidence that FL-13 was not a surprise R victory and that redistricting, which was performed by Rs, was not done so to place that seat as a likely gain for Ds. We have an easy measurement of how easy that seat should be for a D congress candidate to win: R+16.

Quote:
Originally Posted by ikestoys
Come on man, have a smidgen of god damn intellectual honesty for once in your life. This was not a hard red district. This was a district Obama won in 2012.
You want to cite Obama's numbers in that district while categorically ignoring the recent house data, and then accuse Ash of intellectual dishonesty? Ash didn't say a single thing that was untrue about the nature of the district, but you invent the notion that he's implying that the district is "harder red" than a R+16 victory and 40 continuous years of R occupancy would imply.

      
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