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The Great ObamaCare Debate, Part 237: Back to Court The Great ObamaCare Debate, Part 237: Back to Court

07-22-2013 , 04:36 PM
Dude, subsidies. They are a thing.

Last edited by Riverman; 07-22-2013 at 04:36 PM. Reason: Money doesn't grow on trees. I know.
07-22-2013 , 04:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ashington
I really hope I didn't kill Dennis Farina by posting this
07-22-2013 , 04:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Riverman
Dude, subsidies. They are a thing.
No need to address the actual cost of insurance, let's just throw a bunch of money at it. Better yet, we'll just subsidize all of the policies 100% and get the money from China. What could go wrong?

We still have the problem of <250% of FPL gets a great deal and anyone >250% of FPL gets screwed, with those >400% of FPL really getting screwed. Even those in the 300-400% of FPL range may not get a subsidy if the cost of coverage is below 9.5% of income. For example, a family of 4 with income of $90k would qualify for a subsidy, but only to the extent that the policy does not cost over 9.5% of income, or $712/month. If that family is currently paying $400/month, they are still facing an additional cost of over $300/month in the post-2014 era for a plan that probably has a higher annual max OOP than what they already have.

The massive marginal tax for earning one extra dollar and no longer qualifying for a subsidy (rather than using a sliding-scale over 400% of FPL) has also yet to be addressed by Congress, but that's a whole different issue.
07-22-2013 , 04:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wj94
While it's annoying to see someone from the state DOI (a "chief deputy commissioner", which sounds important, whatever that is) provide statements of numbers that seem exaggerated based on cherry-picked data, the plan costs cited in the newrepublic article are still a lot higher than what's available today. Newrepublic is also a liberal blog so I'll take their info with a grain of salt. I just looked on ehealthinsurance.com using zip code 46205 using a 40 year old male and saw the following rates for plans with deductibles similar to what a silver plan will have:

Humana Autograph HSA Plus $3,500 deductible - $200/mo
United Healthcare - HSA 100 $2,500 deductible - $209/mo
Anthem Lumenos HSA $2,500 deductible/100% - $211/mo
Anthem SmartSense 30 $2,500 deductible/70% - $196/mo

So even based on an "average" of $320/mo for a silver plan, those rates are still 50% higher than the rates available today. Note that all of the above HSA plans cover 100% after the deductible is met, so the OOP max is equal to the policy deductible, while a silver plan will have an annual maximum out-of-pocket expense of ~$6,350-6,450 for an individual and $12,700-12,900 for a family (the HSA 100 plan with $2,500 deductible for example would have a $5k annual max OOP for a family).

Factor the extra cost for a family by adding the extra cost for 3-5 people and you are talking hundreds of dollars per month more than the cost of existing plans. Most people have a hard time paying the existing rates, how many are going to rush to sign up for the new, higher rates for plans with more limited networks and higher out-of-pocket maximums? I thought we were all going to save $2,500/year under Obamacare?
How much does it currently cost if I'm a 40 year old male with a pre-existing condition?
07-22-2013 , 05:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Crimson Bear
How much does it currently cost if I'm a 40 year old male with a pre-existing condition?
Depend what the condition is...and that still could have been addressed by creating a national high-risk pool with sliding-scale subsidies based on income, rather than turning the entire individual market upside down and shifting to group health insurance pricing.
07-22-2013 , 05:07 PM
Turning the individual market upside down is the whole ****ing point. Everyone but you, even like blahblah and rara, seems to understand that the individual market is a disaster.

And lol @ your high risk pool endorsement. I can only imagine what you'd be saying about costs had we gone that route. "ZOMG AN INDIVIDUAL POLICY COSTS $1000 PER MONTH AND THE GOVERNMENT IS PAYING ALMOST ALL OF IT. THANKS OBAMA COUNTDOWN TO BUSTO SOMETHING GREECE CHINA OUT!"
07-22-2013 , 05:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Riverman
Turning the individual market upside down is the whole ****ing point. Everyone but you, even like blahblah and rara, seems to understand that the individual market is a disaster.

And lol @ your high risk pool endorsement. I can only imagine what you'd be saying about costs had we gone that route. "ZOMG AN INDIVIDUAL POLICY COSTS $1000 PER MONTH AND THE GOVERNMENT IS PAYING ALMOST ALL OF IT. THANKS OBAMA COUNTDOWN TO BUSTO SOMETHING GREECE CHINA OUT!"
Dude, if you can't write the check, you can't write the ****ing check! Families are NOT going to just pay $1,000/mo for health insurance. About half my business is helping families on COBRA find a way out of paying $1,000+ per month for their COBRA policies by getting something cheaper on the individual market.

The large majority of my clients are seriously worried about the cost of coverage starting next year, while a small portion of them see it as a pot of gold at the end of the rainbow since they will save a ton of money either because of their age or bad health. We can all talk about "fairness" and how everyone should be able to get health insurance, but if the rules put in place make the market unattractive to young/healthy families, it's not going to work. I like how the argument has gone from "we're going to save everyone a bunch of money" to "well you're getting a better policy so of course it's going to be more expensive." Of course, you may not be getting a better policy, and for many people they will see their annual OOP max go much higher (see my example of a silver plan vs. an existing HSA plan) for a higher-priced policy with benefits (i.e. maternity, mental health, pediatric dental care) that most of them will never use.
07-22-2013 , 05:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wj94
Depend what the condition is...and that still could have been addressed by creating a national high-risk pool with sliding-scale subsidies based on income, rather than turning the entire individual market upside down and shifting to group health insurance pricing.
Yes, I'm sure the Tea Party-controlled House of Representatives is chomping at the bit to pass a national high-risk pool with sliding-scale subsidies based on income. I'm sure they'll get to that right after they finish naming an aircraft carrier after Saul Alinsky
07-22-2013 , 07:30 PM


Jagger is still well at 70.
07-22-2013 , 10:59 PM
Is that a tiny camera in his tooth there?
07-23-2013 , 07:00 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wj94
No need to address the actual cost of insurance, let's just throw a bunch of money at it. Better yet, we'll just subsidize all of the policies 100% and get the money from China. What could go wrong?

We still have the problem of <250% of FPL gets a great deal and anyone >250% of FPL gets screwed, with those >400% of FPL really getting screwed. Even those in the 300-400% of FPL range may not get a subsidy if the cost of coverage is below 9.5% of income. For example, a family of 4 with income of $90k would qualify for a subsidy, but only to the extent that the policy does not cost over 9.5% of income, or $712/month. If that family is currently paying $400/month, they are still facing an additional cost of over $300/month in the post-2014 era for a plan that probably has a higher annual max OOP than what they already have.

The massive marginal tax for earning one extra dollar and no longer qualifying for a subsidy (rather than using a sliding-scale over 400% of FPL) has also yet to be addressed by Congress, but that's a whole different issue.
This nails it. ACA is nothing more than a huge wealth redistribution system (with a little health care thrown in). All these people receiving subsidies are receiving them from the more affluent.
07-23-2013 , 08:13 AM
rara, do you think healthcare should be a right for US citizens? Or do you think if you can't afford healthcare then just too bad - don't get sick?
07-23-2013 , 08:58 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Benholio
rara, do you think healthcare should be a right for US citizens? Or do you think if you can't afford healthcare then just too bad - don't get sick?
Was health care available when the constitution was written? Of course it was, did the framers include it as a right? No.

Before the gov got involved (including medicare/medicaid), private entities and charities took care of providing it for the masses.

Last edited by raradevils; 07-23-2013 at 09:01 AM. Reason: tweeks
07-23-2013 , 09:00 AM
Did you answer my question? I guess you're saying no?
07-23-2013 , 09:06 AM
Yeah, healthcare in the 1800's was a great example of charities taking care of the poor.

Quote:
The parochial, anti-scientific, and highly commercial atmosphere that prevailed in the nineteenth century was a major factor in ******ing American medicine and contributing to the decline of the profession. As the social status of doctors deteriorated, so too did their political clout. They were not wanted on the local Boards of Health, or as city inspectors. Nor did the few aware of public health concerns have any power to change American attitudes to poverty and disease. The public envisioned poverty as the cause of disease and not disease the result of poverty and poor living conditions. Political leaders believed that low morals predisposed people to bad health; thus the poor were responsible for their own sicknesses. In such a climate, little could be done to help the denizens of the urban slums that lacked clean water or means of disposing of waste products. The rich refused to spend money that might alleviate the awful living conditions and halt the spread of contagious diseases.
We've come a long way.
07-23-2013 , 09:12 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by raradevils
Was health care available when the constitution was written? Of course it was, did the framers include it as a right? No.

Before the gov got involved (including medicare/medicaid), private entities and charities took care of providing it for the masses.
Why are people getting bankrupted by medical costs and going without healthcare today? Private entities and charities still exist AFAIK.
07-23-2013 , 09:17 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by raradevils
This nails it. ACA is nothing more than a huge wealth redistribution system (with a little health care thrown in). All these people receiving subsidies are receiving them from the more affluent.
Is this a big A-HA! reveal? I don't think anyone (in this forum, at least) was confused about this.
07-23-2013 , 09:18 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Benholio
Yeah, healthcare in the 1800's was a great example of charities taking care of the poor.



We've come a long way.
Yeah this is kind of a dumb post, unless you think that a heavier reliance on charity directly led to beliefs like "low morals => bad health."
07-23-2013 , 09:36 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LetsGambool
Why are people getting bankrupted by medical costs and going without healthcare today? Private entities and charities still exist AFAIK.
Do people really go without healthcare or do people go without health insurance?

No matter what we do, people will still be going bankrupt. Do you think people having to pay 5-10k deductible, out of pocket expense yearly is sustainable?
07-23-2013 , 09:37 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by pvn
Yeah this is kind of a dumb post, unless you think that a heavier reliance on charity directly led to beliefs like "low morals => bad health."
Fair enough. I just wanted to dispel the notion that everything was fine until the government got involved.
07-23-2013 , 09:44 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by raradevils
Do people really go without healthcare or do people go without health insurance?

No matter what we do, people will still be going bankrupt. Do you think people having to pay 5-10k deductible, out of pocket expense yearly is sustainable?
People go without healthcare.
07-23-2013 , 09:44 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Benholio
Fair enough. I just wanted to dispel the notion that everything was fine until the government got involved.
I never said it was fine. ACA doesn't really fix the problem, I don't think it was intended to do that.
07-23-2013 , 09:58 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by raradevils
I never said it was fine. ACA doesn't really fix the problem, I don't think it was intended to do that.
ACA doesn't fix every problem. Fewer people will go without healthcare than before we had it, though.

Forgive me if you've answered this before, but I don't remember - how do you feel about single-payer? I'm just curious and I don't want to assume one way or the other.
07-23-2013 , 11:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Benholio
ACA doesn't fix every problem. Fewer people will go without healthcare than before we had it, though.
Does this mean we all have better health care?


Quote:
Originally Posted by Benholio
Forgive me if you've answered this before, but I don't remember - how do you feel about single-payer? I'm just curious and I don't want to assume one way or the other.
What are the benefits? What are the draw backs? I'm not for the gov taking over health care, that is were this country is headed. In the long run we are headed for diminished health care for the masses for the benefit of a few.
07-23-2013 , 11:11 AM
single payer >>>> ACA >>>> pre-ACA regulatory dumpsterfire

      
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