Quote:
Originally Posted by einbert
Gotcha, that's what I thought. I do think it's really important to put this current period of history in context. I can't stress the Compromise of 1877 enough. This REALLY feels like a Compromise of 1877 moment to me.
One other thing that perhaps forestalled for a very long time this sort of reaction (e.g., the great white unwinding of democratic norms) as opposed to when some space alien observer might predict it -- far closer to the original triggers -- in say 1968 or 1973 in the midst of the oil crisis or something, or to have it arrive with Reagan in 1980 -- is the great menace of communism and recent memory of notorious violent left-wing revolutions and purges probably did a lot to keep American elites in check and respecting norms that were ultimately servile to middle class interests. That is to say, lots of elites took some of the big-picture Cold War propaganda to heart and assumed the interests and economic security of the middle class was a buttress against the appeals of communism and violent leftist revolutions, which they could imagine might seep into the American political zeitgeist if they really put the screws to the American middle class. They saw the success of the American middle class as a compromise against strident leftist movements which were upending Asia (e.g., China, Vietnam) and which they had seen go through peaks in the US from the 1880s through WWII. The post-WWII concessions that elites made to labor and the middle class were just as much about what they saw as self-preservation (e.g., keep the communist menace at bay) as it was some sort of operating set of patriotic principles and genuine concern.
The threat of communism is now distant, almost comical. And the nakedly self-serving posturing and political agency of the elites is now basically unbridled. They ain't got much to fear and aren't going to sacrifice much if they can help it.
So we have an example of some outside global forces and phenomenon which perhaps really confuse and muddle the ultimate cause of the unwinding of our political norms. The mass migration of racial minorities (coupled certainly with things like automation, the rise of the economic power of women) triggered whites into reactionary political movements but the system cobbled together a consensus for a long time -- so long as the communist menace cowed the elites into pluralist compromises. Once that went away, so too our consensus. Put simply: The triggers are probably deeper in our collective past but were papered over for a while. I think it's really important to understand that, that revanchist and resentment politics of the white middle class seen all over Fox and in Trump are not at all recent but long gestating and percolating.
I've written about similar phenomenon in history too, where big cultural and social forces would have you predict a big violent fight that was forestalled for generations. That is, white America has been feeling wounded for 50 years but only now are outwardly embracing these super nihilist and revanchist political movements AND elites are playing along. An example I've pointed out is the English Civil War (where ~5% of the English population died and huge atrocities were carried out against the Irish) was basically a very long delayed, long brewing reaction to the English Reformation almost 100 years earlier rather than some sort of nascent, early arriving Enlightenment revolt like the French Revolution. English leadership (e.g., the success of Elizabeth) plus a large, long-lasting economic boon during the late 16th century was able to keep the violence and chaotic disputes in check, but once a bit of that rolled back and you got mediocre leadership instead of great leadership -- the bloodshed arrived.
Last edited by DVaut1; 05-10-2017 at 03:35 PM.