Alabama Special Election (Roy Moore diddles, GOP thumbs up, Mr. Jones goes to Washington) - Page 65 - Politics and Economics

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Alabama Special Election (Roy Moore diddles, GOP thumbs up, Mr. Jones goes to Washington)

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12-12-2017 , 09:11 AM

#1601

dth123451

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Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 15,502

Nothing on earth more reliably tilts me than interviews with Alabama voters.

12-12-2017 , 09:12 AM

#1602

phillydilly

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Quote:

Originally Posted by dth123451

Nothing on earth more reliably tilts me than interviews with Alabama voters.

in that case, if you haven't seen it yet, avoid the luntz/vice Alabama voter group at all costs.

12-12-2017 , 09:18 AM

#1603

dth123451

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Oh saw that already. Suffered through 20 mins of NPR deplorables this morning.

12-12-2017 , 09:24 AM

#1604

Kafja

adept

Join Date: Dec 2013 Posts: 941

predictions?

I've got Moore winning by 6 points, because the world is bad and nothing good ever happens, especially in Alabama. also hoping by being as pessimistic as possible I can somehow reverse-jinx a miracle.

12-12-2017 , 09:26 AM

#1605

DTD

veteran

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 2,326

Quote:

Originally Posted by phillydilly

in that case, if you haven't seen it yet, avoid the luntz/vice Alabama voter group at all costs.

Honestly, I watched that before going to bed and got so het up I couldn't sleep for a while. Worst part was that women who wanted to blame Soros somehow for the Moore = sex predator thing.

12-12-2017 , 09:29 AM

#1606

Neuge

veteran

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 3,109

Quote:

Originally Posted by DVaut1

Just waiting for Kayla Moore to break out of the guitar at that presser:

Hanukah is
the festival of lights

Instead of one paid Soros Fake News plant fabricating lies, Roy Moore has eight crazy accusers

Guess who eats together at the Carnegie Deli? George Soros and my jew lawyer

12-12-2017 , 09:56 AM

#1607

Rococo

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Quote:

Originally Posted by PartyGirlUK

My model doesn't make any predictions about "off year" elections. And even if did, it's far better to use actual polling this close to the race. I agree that it's somewhere between a flip and a small edge to Moore. Lean a little closer to flip that most. Since Alabama has basically the same PVI as Tennessee, I'd make a generic Republican a ~2/1 favourite v. a generic Democrat in the current climate. But, Tennessee is significantly more "elastic" than Alabama, which the model doesn't account for. There's no way a generic Republican is only a 2/1 favourite in Alabama.

Alabama is not elastic at all. A generic Republican would be closer to a 15/1 favorite than a 2/1 favorite.

12-12-2017 , 09:58 AM

#1608

Rococo

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I really hope Jones wins, but I know a lot of people in Alabama, and not a single one thinks Jones is a flip.

12-12-2017 , 10:51 AM

#1609

Namath12

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Rococo

I really hope Jones wins, but I know a lot of people in Alabama, and not a single one thinks Jones is a flip.

Same.

If they really elect this clown I've sent my last $ to UA and most likely also stepped foot in the state for the last time...not that I really go up there much anymore anyway.

12-12-2017 , 10:58 AM

#1610

fatkid

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Yes BOYCOTT those backwoods goofs.

12-12-2017 , 10:59 AM

#1611

Namath12

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Gonna LMFAO if Toyota decides not to open their new production facility there. Be a shame if something like that happened.

12-12-2017 , 11:06 AM

#1612

Rococo

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Quote:

Originally Posted by fatkid

Yes BOYCOTT those backwoods goofs.

Exactly the wrong approach.

12-12-2017 , 11:24 AM

#1613

Namath12

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and. here. we. go.

12-12-2017 , 11:24 AM

#1614

dth123451

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Shocking

12-12-2017 , 11:25 AM

#1615

Kafja

adept

Join Date: Dec 2013 Posts: 941

if people could include actual links alongside embedded tweets that would be A+, embeds don't work for me for some reason, and seen other people mention it too.

12-12-2017 , 11:26 AM

#1616

Huehuecoyotl

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Moore has lost the ironic left vote

Quote:

Fox & Friends’s Pete Hegseth is often dispatched to diners across the country to talk to “real Americans,” and the live interviews can sometimes yield amazing results.

After speaking with one very sober and measured Jones voter, Hegseth turned to this story’s hero, a young man by the name of “Webb.”

“If I wasn’t a far left, card-carrying member of the Democratic Socialists of America, I wouldn’t vote for Roy Moore,” Webb told Hegseth.

“Roy is a pedophile, and I don’t think he’s fit to be on an episode of Chapo Trap House, let alone the U.S. Senate.”

“You’re not mincing words,” Hegseth replied.

“Not at all,” our hero confirmed.

https://www.mediaite.com/tv/doug-jon...po-trap-house/

12-12-2017 , 11:35 AM

#1617

Namath12

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Kafja

if people could include actual links alongside embedded tweets that would be A+, embeds don't work for me for some reason, and seen other people mention it too.

I thought Tapataids had solved this but anyway https://twitter.com/BradMGM/status/940597520861888512

12-12-2017 , 11:38 AM

#1618

Kafja

adept

Join Date: Dec 2013 Posts: 941

Quote:

Originally Posted by Namath12

I thought Tapataids had solved this but anyway https://twitter.com/BradMGM/status/940597520861888512

thanks

isn't tapatalk just for mobile? i'm on desktop, in firefox. maybe i'll go ask about it in ATF.

anyway, yeesh. my guess based on my twitter feed was you were referring to this bit of equally heartening news... https://twitter.com/thehill/status/940605090402103297