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2018 Midterms Gameday Thread UPDATE 15 Mississippi still WOAT 2018 Midterms Gameday Thread UPDATE 15 Mississippi still WOAT

11-07-2018 , 09:59 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by StimAbuser
I felt so defeated for like 30 minutes lol. It was super brutal.

Also mad respect to Jmakin, Cuse, and Sky for their great effort.
ok grunching a bit but this is tilting me because i keep seeing these 3 names pop up

there are LOTS of forum regs who spent considerable amounts of money and time on this election and seeing the praise limited to the couple accounts that were most vocal in the past 36 hours is making me a tad salty
11-07-2018 , 10:04 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Namath12
It does seem...odd

I mean there was very little pushback against 4, not sure a single ad was run against it and there was at least one very good one for it. The only place I saw a recommendation of "no" was on the GOP sample ballot I got in the mail. But yeah, seems really off.
Most of ads were of white guys who had drug problems in their past. They then showed them with their own businesses, picture perfect families, working charity events etc. No black people anywhere to be seen.


There is still a lot of racists in rural Florida. The old south is slowly going away but its still alive.
11-07-2018 , 10:05 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BigRedChief
Clinton victory's in 2016 are not the measuring stick in 2020.
Okay, so seriously, what states are possible Senate pickups in 2020?

I will grant Colorado and Maine right off the bat. After that....?
11-07-2018 , 10:14 AM
So it turns out Ohio is pretty damn deplorable. Shocker.

In addition to electing a republican governor, again, and Balderson winning, again, Issue 1 (reduce sentences for drug offenses, spend savings on treatment) got smoked 2-1. There are just so so many stupid old white racists in this state.
11-07-2018 , 10:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by +rep_lol
ok grunching a bit but this is tilting me because i keep seeing these 3 names pop up



there are LOTS of forum regs who spent considerable amounts of money and time on this election and seeing the praise limited to the couple accounts that were most vocal in the past 36 hours is making me a tad salty


Lol **** off turd ive been posting about my involvement in ca 48 going back at least 8 months. Maybe longer.

Of course there are regs that did a lot
11-07-2018 , 10:20 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by dth123451
So it turns out Ohio is pretty damn deplorable. Shocker.

In addition to electing a republican governor, again, and Balderson winning, again, Issue 1 (reduce sentences for drug offenses, spend savings on treatment) got smoked 2-1. There are just so so many stupid old white racists in this state.
Dude who helped ECOT scam the state out of $600 MILLION dollars got re-elected, whole state is full of dumbasses, basically.
11-07-2018 , 10:28 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wheatrich
Abrams was down a million points and only lost by 2.5-3 in the end. Shame we'll never know how much of that was Kemp riggage.
We should because it is definitely a litmus test for the integrity of our vote. If Georgia can get away with this, you think other states won't try election ****ery themselves?

Quote:
Originally Posted by corvette24
The AP has uncalled TX23 now. Someone wake Gina Ortiz up. There are articles on every Texas newspaper's website about Hurd's victory.
11-07-2018 , 10:29 AM
Got to hand it to North Carolina. Dems get over half the house vote and end up with a quarter of the contested seats. Won their races by an average 45 point margin to the Republican's 11.

A Democrat's house vote in NC is worth less than half that of a Republican, easy game.
11-07-2018 , 10:36 AM
One other horrible change in Florida’s Constitution was made last night. Amendment 6 passed, which among other things ends administrative deference.
11-07-2018 , 10:41 AM
What was the source for the exit poll graphic last night that showed only old whites voting Republican? Have tried unsuccessfully to find it.
11-07-2018 , 10:44 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by goofball


**** white dudes over 45 forever.
Im referring to this. What is the source for this.
11-07-2018 , 10:56 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jmakin
Lol **** off turd ive been posting about my involvement in ca 48 going back at least 8 months. Maybe longer.

Of course there are regs that did a lot
i know you love the attention, but my post wasn't an insult directed towards you so idk why you're all rustled
11-07-2018 , 11:08 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by +rep_lol
ok grunching a bit but this is tilting me because i keep seeing these 3 names pop up

there are LOTS of forum regs who spent considerable amounts of money and time on this election and seeing the praise limited to the couple accounts that were most vocal in the past 36 hours is making me a tad salty
I haven't caught up yet, but thanks for the work you did.
11-07-2018 , 11:16 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cuserounder
I'm pretty tipsy, but Arizona is not looking good is it?

Down .7% with 61% in, but Pima County (Tucson) is 96% in, Santa Cruz County (Tucson area) is 100% in, Coconino (dunno, it's blue) is 100% in and Maricopa (Phoenix) is 84% in and going for Sinema by 1.1%. Unless the outstanding vote in Maricopa is from good precincts, we're toast. Everything else is red.
****ing Green party
11-07-2018 , 11:17 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by master3004
Wow wa-8 up 6 with 30 left. District hasn't gone D in decades
So sick Wenatchee Went blue? Lol
11-07-2018 , 11:18 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by uDevil
I haven't caught up yet, but thanks for the work you did.
i mean its crazy there are 2+2ers who actually ran for office and i didn't even know about it. some old school MTT reg Dcal Zone (?) and apparently even Parlay Slow's wife won something or another.

i'm not looking for any personal thanks, i just wanted to point out that the collective effort here was strong and that maybe what we're doing does actually matter a little bit.
11-07-2018 , 11:35 AM
If Mueller doesn’t indict Rohabacher what are we even doing here anymore?
11-07-2018 , 11:36 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jmakin
I think as they count the provisionals he's gonna pull away more and more. It's looking really, really good to me.

I will probably die of happiness. my hatred for dana can't be understated. He's EASILY one of the most compromised GOP members in our entire government, trump included.

Rouda was a tough vote for me in the primary - he's a centrist, and I loved his opponent a lot, who was a professor at UCI, where I am an alumn. But I thought Rouda had a better chance at winning this district. I think I made the right choice.
Point and a half is a huge margin there. Well played by Rouda. **** Dana with all the things
11-07-2018 , 11:44 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cuserounder
By the way, healthcare is the Dems silver bullet to win the white working class in the deep red Trump states. Jon Tester may hang on, and he should be their model candidate in the Dakotas, Wyoming, the Deep South, etc, but a little more progressive than him. Run progressive white men who spend 80% of their time talking about healthcare, 15% about wages/jobs/middle class tax cuts/etc, and 5% talking about their deep home grown (insert state here) roots. If they're asked about immigration, immediaty pivot to healthcare.

Q: Caravan blah blah?

A: What people in (state) are really worried about is healthcare, that's why I support Medicare for All.

Q: But what about guns?

A: People are really focused on healthcare, Medicare for All will save them so much money.

Q: What did you think of Kanye, Nunes and Trump having an orgy in the Oval while watching Russian golden shower tapes and calling Barack Obama a Kenyan?

A: I'm really glad you want to talk more about healthcare and my support of Medicare for All...

That's how we swipe a couple of those Senate seats. At least, it's our only shot. Literally aim to get mocked for being a healthcare talking point robot because even if they mock you they just parrot your healthcare talking points.
I've come all the way around on health care as an election issue. I never thought it was trivial, but I now think it is absolutely critical as a theme, especially in key states.
11-07-2018 , 11:46 AM
Coastal Orange County being red is/was gross. The Central Valley being red? Well, that's the way rural America is. It's gross still, but that's their culture. The rich South OC Republicans are just bastards. 30 miles away in rich LA County beach cities Ted Lieu won by 36 points.

Good first step if OC gets rid of Rohrbacker.
11-07-2018 , 11:50 AM
Nelson called for a recount. Doubt it helps. But fak it.
11-07-2018 , 11:52 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rococo
I've come all the way around on health care as an election issue. I never thought it was trivial, but I now think it is absolutely critical as a theme, especially in key states.
Yeah healthcare is huge which was also one of the disappointing things with Gillum, he came out the gate supporting medicare for all and then backtracked to the centrist position of affordable healthcare.
11-07-2018 , 11:58 AM
I get why the general public is writing off 538 for their real time forecast last night but I expected 2+2ers to be more sophisticated consumers of data.

Someone mentioned this earlier, but it's clear to me that they're (1) pretty damn good, maybe best in class, at projecting elections in advance, and (2) awful at projecting real time on election night.

#2 is really tough and I don't think anyone public-facing is doing it well. The NYT messed this up badly last time, right? I think they had Hillary 98% to win around 9:00 eastern in 2016. I mean, even a quick glance at 538's methodology could have told you their real time figures were worthless.

If you extrapolate incompetence at #2 into implied incompetence at #1, you're telling on yourself. The "OMG ILL NEVER TRUST NATE AGAIN" takes are silly.
11-07-2018 , 11:59 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by +rep_lol
i know you love the attention, but my post wasn't an insult directed towards you so idk why you're all rustled
Lol you literally mentioned me by name in your whiny ass post
11-07-2018 , 12:03 PM
538 swung from 90% Dem win to 60% GOP win at one point. It doesn't seem like it really adds any value or predicative capability to the conversation. It's like people saying "Oh it's at x% on predictit." Well predictit doesn't mean jack **** either.

      
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