No. Not even close. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/...ehind-clinton/

I don't understand the new Michigan poll.

C 42
T 38
Aleppo 5

So 15% are either undecided or are abstaining from Presidential voting?

F Dilbert.

15% Giant Meteor

Not sure this changes many outcomes though, just 1. forum shop, 2. sort by conservative/liberal circuit, 3. profit

Of course they'll stop allowing circuit and appellate court nominees a hearing as well

Seriously I am going to explode if trump wins.

No. I didn't comment on him at all. I'm just saying that "moderate" is a relative term and everyone's center depends on their ideology.

I think he is moderate, but I view myself slightly right of center and I'm sure most of you would see me as hard core right wing based on where you sit ideologically.

Pretty sure he is going to leave the country.

What was this Bret Baier thing?

The main cause of my worry was how far would Hill fall with this FBI stuff. The 5 ppp's, the close GA polls, the 3 trackers and even ras, the +8 VA, the Lorus +6 WI, all say that the bleeding has stopped, and it even looks to be trending Hill right now.

Sure a +4 MI poll or some close NH aren't great or Trump +6 CNN NV...but that's polling what can u do.

I think Johnson and stein are going to under perform in most cases. I don't see them being a real factor. They aren't even third or fourth thoughts at this point.

Betting markets swinging towards Hilary today (about 24% Trump aorn), but Nate up to 35% Trump - not sure how shook I should be here.

Is this really a thing though? Figured Berniebros spite-endorsing Trump were all trolling

http://www.politico.com/blogs/on-med...-report-230743

Like Einbert has said before, Fox just throws out inuendo and intentional lies all the time, so the derposphere can run wild with it, issue a meek apology a day later when it already has been spread 100.000 times through social media. They put **** out there knowing they can't undo the conspiratorial damage afterwards. It's their modus operandi.

We got a ground game, grind some clock, no more phantom PI calls, and ship it.

538 ticks up 1.2 points in Trump's favor, based on:

I'd prefer Jay-Z and Beyonce were in D-town not OH, but w/e.

jesus ****ing christ twitter is a bigger cesspoll than CP

and James Woods actually makes Scott Adams look sane and reasonable

rcp holding back the ppp cuz they do things like that based on observations and no real evidence but they do! imo.

hmm i wonder who keeps pushing the boundaries of obstructionism. it's almost like it's the same side every time. but nope must just be the NEW NORMAL, who can say who's at fault really, lol politicians amirite.

it's a bad poll

in the wasteland of bad polls, PPP and Quinnipac have been the only oases for weeks

Senate has moved a ton, more in line with Upshot now. 58%ish for Dems now...

Okay, these idiots talk bs all the damn time so i was not aware they would actually backtrack on anything. Its good that they do but its just the top of the iceberg.

The best thing was then fox and friends had trump on and he suddenly started talking smack about this beauty contest woman just out of nowhere and continued for minutes without anyone saying anything. They were all sitting there looking down into the ground. Just tells me a few things about the spines they have.

I mean, if i sat there and one of my favorite politicians came on and suddenly started talking really unfair smack about someone i would call him out on it in a heartbeat.

When a man who doesn't understand why we can't use nukes is within striking distance of becoming the most powerful person in the world, it's hard to stay calm.

Agreed. I would really like some quality polling out of Michigan as I have decided it is the most likely dark horse major upset Trump could pull off.

What % do you assign to a Trump win in Michigan?