Read what I wrote above.

Republicans can say what they want and democrats can say what they want about numbers. But the real number that matters that shows how horrible the economy really is is the fact that the Fed CAN'T even raise interest rates a minuscule 1/4th of 1 single point.

We are in the biggest bubble in human history. Sure things might SEEM alright, but when the monetary heroin stops and this bubble pops it will be absolute mayhem. You can't have interest rates suppressed at 0% for almost a decade and not have it end in economic disaster.

Heck, Obama and company have done the same thing as Bush except on a bigger level than Bush. Bush blew up a big bubble with 1% interest rate, and its popping resulted in 2008 crisis, and Obama is blowing it up even bigger than Bush with 0% interest rates and the resulting fallout will be much worse than 2008 crisis.

Oh, go away.

People against QE have been proven wrong many times. There was no massive inflation. The Dollar didn't drop by 20%, but actually got stronger. I doubt there is a bubble.

Not that QE won't cause problems--it might. But recessions aren't "cures." The great recession was an enormous overreaction--more like undergoing chemo for a sunburn.

What poll has him down 15 in Pa?

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...tein-5964.html

or 5 in NC?

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...nson-5951.html

or 5 in NV?

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...nson-6004.html

But the only thing that matters is how much I have to pay in taxes!

This time 4 years ago Obama was losing in the rcp average. Hillary is up by nearly 3 pts.

Well, the thing about QE is that once you start you can't stop. So when they launch QE4 the junkie will get its high and things will seem ok temporarily but things are really continuing to get worse. The economy isn't going to die from the disease but from the drugs administered to treat the disease. When we inevitably have a currency crisis you will then realize that all that QE was a bad idea and didn't work.

And the thing about inflation is you don't have it until you do.

Rara, the Penn poll is a Franklin and Marshall poll released today.

It's over, don't bedwet about one tracking poll.

Obama losing on November 1 is surprising. I can recall giving up hope on Romney well before Election Day. Could have been Nate/forum analysis that convinced me that it was over a month out.

state poll data is like a week old on average or something like that. the national numbers are recent and if they move then the individual states will too.

Probably said the same thing in 2006.

The article doesn't state why he was assaulted or what lead to it.

Paging adanthar/goofball----

Someone explain the difference between a tracking poll and a "normal" poll.

Is a tracking poll what the LA Times does? Where it has the same group of voters and continues to re-evaluate their opinions over a course of time? So if the initial group of voters is "off" the entirety of the data may be confounded?

My only opinion of that ABC News tracking poll is this; when it began it started with HRC + 12 and I was, nope. And now it's Trump + 1. I will sleep in the bed that I started with, and continue to say, nope. There's no scenario for HRC (or Trump for that matter) has done anything to cause a 13 point swing. It's just cannot be correct.

Again, it was a poll released today and all the calls were from the last 3 days. The NC and NV numbers are based off early voting. It is over. It's been over a while. Still gotv and don't be complacent tho.

Have there been any polls taken after the FBI's re-opening the investigation?

I'm legit worried about North Carolina, polls there be damned

https://thinkprogress.org/north-caro...80d#.1tu2qarwr

The North Carolina GOP, by way of various county election supervisors, is working overtime to suppress the black vote. Various (mostly black ldo) NC counties have seen early voting drop from between 50% and 85% (!). NAACP is threatening to sue but whatever happens it won't happen fast enough to change the election outcome.

People really need to get rid of the idea that these born again Christians are good people. Many became born again after living a very ****ty existence and the only thing that has kept them from killing themselves in one way or another is Jesus Christ Amen. Their underlying character traits did not change, therefore it's really no surprise to me that many support Trump.

You would be correct. These polls routinely find these sorts of swings, which anyone with common sense can see is garbage.

Rara, lots of polling done over the weekend including trump down double digits in Pennsylvania

Yup they are fighting back the only way they know how. By suppressing the democratic process. And it appears to very much be working.

So much this. Here in Alabama, calling yourself a Christian really just means "I don't care to be a social pariah." It has absolutely no meaning beyond that.

And that's just a little bit more than the law will allow.

Wouldn't Hillary being ahead in early voting despite this be a good or very good thing though?

Washington post tracking poll today has Trump +1

I think that point is obv good-to-very-good, but considering that GOP tends to vote more on election day than in early voting and she needs to be like way ahead to counteract whatever happens on election day.

Also a lawsuit isn't going to help people who have been voting for decades, show up to vote and voila! they've been purged from voter rolls and oh but you can't re-register this close to election day sorry bout your luck br0s