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12-24-2018 , 10:39 AM

Steention

newbie

Join Date: Mar 2018 Posts: 41

What odds will you give me? Vegas only. Must be reputable and willing to escrow. Looking to put about 5k down.

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12-24-2018 , 07:33 PM

Honcho

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 1,671

Well you have 7 posts. I will give you the benefit of the doubt though and ask what are the parameters and specifics to your wager. You think DJT is not going to be POTUS on Jan 1 2020? Lay it out for me

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12-24-2018 , 09:34 PM

Steention

newbie

Join Date: Mar 2018 Posts: 41

I’m sure we have mutual acquaintances if you’re in Vegas. If Trump is not USA president at 12 a.m. EST, January 1, 2020 for any reason, I win. That is the bet I am looking to make.

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12-24-2018 , 09:41 PM

Steention

newbie

Join Date: Mar 2018 Posts: 41

Actually we don’t need to trust each other if someone can provide me liquidity on Fairlay.com

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12-25-2018 , 02:25 PM

NYC_Jon

adept

Join Date: Mar 2012 Posts: 784

If this is just some unconventional marketing for Fairlay, congrats, you got me.

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12-25-2018 , 03:08 PM

banned

Join Date: Mar 2017 Posts: 1,307

lol wtf is this?

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12-27-2018 , 01:36 AM

Steention

newbie

Join Date: Mar 2018 Posts: 41

Nah, I just wanna wager, I already got down the little liquidity they had. There aren't any Trump supporters up in here?

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12-27-2018 , 08:37 AM

Gin 'n Tonic

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 5,533

Quote:

Originally Posted by Steention

Nah, I just wanna wager, I already got down the little liquidity they had. There aren't any Trump supporters up in here?

Why would being a Trump supporter have any relevance to this bet?

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12-27-2018 , 11:36 AM

Steention

newbie

Join Date: Mar 2018 Posts: 41

Oh, I forgot, people are “sharp” here.

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12-28-2018 , 03:03 PM

#10

PokerHero77

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 6,684

I'll offer -5000.

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12-29-2018 , 07:26 PM

#11

banned

Join Date: Mar 2017 Posts: 1,307

what do you want to bet on exactly?

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12-29-2018 , 11:26 PM

#12

Steention

newbie

Join Date: Mar 2018 Posts: 41

I would like to wager Trump exit 2019 at 20:1. My 5k, your 100k.

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12-30-2018 , 12:27 PM

#13

banned

Join Date: Mar 2017 Posts: 1,307

sounds legit. sure lemme tie up 100k for a year, stranger from the internet.

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12-30-2018 , 01:02 PM

#14

Sabaneta

adept

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 1,175

Quote:

Originally Posted by Steention

I would like to wager Trump exit 2019 at 20:1. My 5k, your 100k.

So you want +2000 on something various markets and books have at around -350 on the other side. gl

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12-30-2018 , 02:44 PM

#15

OnTheCharge

newbie

Join Date: Dec 2018 Posts: 23

I was gonna say, in my mind, -300 was probably fair odds at the time of the post. Probably some bias baked into my line there, I think it’s still probable but a bit less likely now after nothing came of the Mnuchin/Powell firing rumors

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12-31-2018 , 09:08 PM

#16

Gin 'n Tonic

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 5,533

Quote:

Originally Posted by Steention

Oh, I forgot, people are “sharp” here.

Bit sharper than your dumb arse.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sabaneta

So you want +2000 on something various markets and books have at around -350 on the other side. gl

Lol

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01-01-2019 , 02:37 PM

#17

PokerHero77

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 6,684

If this random seriously thinks fair odds is +2000 then he's probably worn out his 20th MAGA hat. Or looking to hedge out of some other stupid bet.

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01-01-2019 , 04:33 PM

#18

NajdorfDefense

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2003 Posts: 17,679

Trump still POTUS in 1 year is -350? Lemme go max the sh!4 outta that.

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01-02-2019 , 07:19 AM

#19

somigosaden

adept

Join Date: Dec 2013 Posts: 1,099

Quote:

Originally Posted by NajdorfDefense

Trump still POTUS in 1 year is -350? Lemme go max the sh!4 outta that.

My guess is that it's people getting confused reading a line for something like "Trump to be impeached in 2019," which would just mean that the House of Reps voted to impeach, at which point it would go to the Senate for a vote, where it would almost certainly be quashed.

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01-02-2019 , 11:25 AM

#20

banned

Join Date: Mar 2017 Posts: 1,307

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sabaneta

So you want +2000 on something various markets and books have at around -350 on the other side. gl

Is that right? You can bet that trump will still be the president by 2020 at -350? That seems absolutely ridiculous to me. Where?

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01-03-2019 , 01:35 PM

#21

rainmaker1855

adept

Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 1,031

As an sidebar to this bet - what about setting odds on the reason he would be out of office? Impeachment versus quitting versus some incapacitated etc.

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01-04-2019 , 05:56 PM

#22

NajdorfDefense

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2003 Posts: 17,679

Odds probably less than 1 in 5000 that Trump quits, c'mon.

How many Presidents have quit? Right.

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01-04-2019 , 05:56 PM

#23

NajdorfDefense

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2003 Posts: 17,679

Quote:

Originally Posted by somigosaden

Yeah -350 he's not impeached I can agree with.

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01-04-2019 , 09:36 PM

#24

PokerHero77

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 6,684

Quote:

Originally Posted by NajdorfDefense

Odds probably less than 1 in 5000 that Trump quits, c'mon.

How many Presidents have quit? Right.

+500000 on Trump not being POUSA Jan 1 2020 sounds acceptable to me.

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01-07-2019 , 05:12 AM

#25

PaiDaMorte

adept

Join Date: Jun 2007 Posts: 716

you have -400 in some exchanges but you can only bet a couple hundred.

Intereting fact is that it droped from -350 in the weekend. Who was it ?

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