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official IPL thread? I doubt there is one out there official IPL thread? I doubt there is one out there

05-11-2014 , 05:08 AM
I guess, i am not shocked to not find an IPL thread since its more of an indian thing and we rarely see any indian here but the fact that its got sooo much betting going on, should attract professional gamblers. I mean we are talking about 50 Mil matched each match just on match odds at betfair and thats just 1 site.

anyways, would love to hear from anyone following ipl or betting that sport.
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05-11-2014 , 06:42 PM
Brutal comeback today. I usually play the steam off the coin toss if I feel like watching a match as I can get 5-10 points off the closing line. Playing the props off the toss is also a nice winning strategy although I can now only bet 2 dollars at the one US book that offered them.

It's too much work to cap this or cricket in general, not enough games are played for it to be worth the time.
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05-12-2014 , 10:02 AM
Fair point THE IRS but the ipl goes for about 2 months and every match is crazy... odds are changing dramatically with every balls... look at yesterday... RCB was 1.07/1.08 and 10 mins later They were 3/3.01

My bookie doesn't take any bet smaller than $1000 and thats normal for local bookies here in the country... crazy action
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05-12-2014 , 11:19 AM
Its a huge market for sure the amount of action live in IPL games is insane. Its fun to watch too IMO. And from what I have seen there is some nice edges that can be found in game. But not 100% I am a cricket noob.
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04-25-2015 , 11:08 PM
each IPL match this year is trading at least 50 Million USD just on betfair alone, i just keep wondering how no one here isn't interesting in such a big event?
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04-27-2015 , 09:15 AM
Thats one of the problems.

Betfair isnt accessable from the US .. at least, 'legally'.

Another, is picture delay. Pics in the Uk, are 7-10 secs behind live, so, if u want to micro-trade a game, its tricky, if your bookie bets to a 5-8% over-round(if u lucky), and u want to trade in and out.

Not sure if the pics are even available in the US - internet streams are well delayed, and may need a VPN, to disguise where u are.

its a lot of hassle. I have traded far fewer games than I tght .. am happier with the tests in the Windies - which have been fun.
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04-27-2015 , 10:16 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by The IRS
It's too much work to cap this or cricket in general, not enough games are played for it to be worth the time.
its a lot of time but it is also a lot of money
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04-28-2015 , 11:17 PM
RCB v RR tonight - I am on Bangalore -160

top 3 of Gayle, Kohli, and DeVilliers the best in the comp and Starc starting to assume his world cup form awesome with the ball
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04-29-2015 , 04:09 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by stripsqueez
RCB v RR tonight - I am on Bangalore -160

top 3 of Gayle, Kohli, and DeVilliers the best in the comp and Starc starting to assume his world cup form awesome with the ball
i think this is one of those things that a lot of ppl say so it just becomes generally accepted as truth. gayle, kohli, de villiers the best top 3? gayle screws up as many matches as he contributes in (eg, mumbai chase, almost every match last year), kohli often underperforms in ipl and de villiers may not bat at 3 (hes typically been used in the middle order, including in three of the other four games in which he batted. the one game he did bat 3, they were chasing a very low target and had the chance to improve their net run rate by sending him in early). its easy to look good when youre chasing 90/130 as in the last two matches, but rcbs problem has never been their top order, its been their middle order if early wickets fall, and that middle order has had a chronic lack of match time lately.

starc showing his world cup form? of his six wickets, four were of lower order/tail batsmen trying to get their side to some kind of decent score, only two were of top order batsmen, and one of those was an lbw decision generally acknowledged as incorrect. hes obviously been very good, but his figures have been significantly flattered by match circumstances - similarly to the batsmen, its quite easy to get wickets against tail enders trying to play shots when your death ball of choice is the yorker (three of those four tail enders were out bowled).

dont get me wrong - rcb have some quality players in their squad and are a decent side at times. but short priced favourites in t20 are rarely good bets, and rcb are an especially dangerous choice - massively overrated in betting markets because of their marquee names, they have historically lost money for their backers every single year.
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04-29-2015 , 04:25 AM
btw, a quick look at the outright winner market can demonstrate that rcb are either
-hugely overrated, thus underpriced
-correctly considered huge favourites to win a bunch more matches than avg

if the two options are, the price is wrong, or everyone thinks as you do, then basically both options are "the price is wrong".

rcb are 4.5, having played 6 with 6pts. the two teams below them are both on 6pts having played 7. their odds are 21 and 22 respectively. even if we award rcb an extra pt for their strong nrr, that seems a huge difference, and thats even before we compare to rajasthan, who have played 8 and have 11pts. their odds are between 7 and 8, so basically, even if rcb win their next two matches, they will have one pt less than rr, and yet they have nearly double the chance of winning the tournament?
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04-30-2015 , 10:20 PM
todays games I capped DD at just under even money so on them at $2.30 - late game I make RR a significant favourite so taking the $1.98 at pinny
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04-30-2015 , 11:27 PM
am i the only person who deosnt know what IPL is?
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04-30-2015 , 11:42 PM
indian cricket tournament

google is hard though
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05-01-2015 , 04:45 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by stripsqueez
todays games I capped DD at just under even money so on them at $2.30 - late game I make RR a significant favourite so taking the $1.98 at pinny
RR are a bet every game they play imo, invariably overpriced. id also be on DD at that price, id personally make them the other side of evens (Iyer shows promise but hes young and poss overhyped on the back of one or two good looking innings, Agarwal plays every ball like his only options are six or out, Yuvraj and Mathews are in shocking/mediocre form respectively - yuvi has done three things which in isolation would be stupid and combined made me seriously wonder if hes somehow been got to, Duminy is definitely a class player but theyve essentially stayed in contention bc of their strong, in-form bowling attack, basically like SRH in 2013), but its somewhat of a moot point since its a bet either way. im just hoping for rahane runs since i backed him and dwayne smith for top runscorer at the beginning of the tournament and frustratingly hes lost his last two innings to rain, allowing the chasing pack to close.

Last edited by validand notinuse; 05-01-2015 at 05:04 AM.
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05-01-2015 , 05:58 PM
WHo is betting these games? UK? I saw some the of match yesterday, couldn't believe my eyes at the massive stadium packed to the rafters.
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05-02-2015 , 11:52 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Donkson
indian cricket tournament

google is hard though
I'd rather ask my fellow man. I keep it old school. It's a long lost art to get information. and i really only asked if i was the only one who didn't know what it was. not what it is...
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05-04-2015 , 05:34 AM
2 games tonight - RCB v CSK I capped at about the current market - at $2.20 I prefer RCB but it is a no bet for me - SH v KKR in the late game I capped KKR as big favourites and have taken them at $1.72 but I think it is marginal - in part I took a bet because I found $1.72 which was slightly off market

I don't fancy the SH batting - Warner is plainly a gun and Dhawan can hold a innings together as he has done several times in the tournament but after that the batting stocks look fragile to me - Henriques and Morgan holding up the middle order - not something I would want to rely on...
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05-04-2015 , 06:02 AM
rcb v csk is a def pregame swerve bc odds should change significantly based on team news (does ashwin play?) i think theres value in csk in >1.8 if he does play, though - awesome home record, tendency to bounce back well from losses.

srh v kkr has my head screwed trying to figure out who i should want to win (big green rr and dd suggests srh win better bc they have a potential 4pter v dd and kkr winning puts them three pts clear of both with two home fixtures to come, but rahane top runscorer bet obv benefits from srh/warner not progressing to KO rds). as far as match odds though it looks priced about right, so ill just be hoping srh bat first and warner gets a duck so i can go do something else with my afternoon.
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05-04-2015 , 10:17 AM
Fact that rr odds are unchanged by rcb loss is an indication of how badly wrong the ipl outright market can get mid tournament.
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05-13-2015 , 12:34 AM
RCB v K11P tonight - been told more than once to be wary of backing a favourite in 20/20 cricket but I am falling for it once again taking RCB at a very short $1.48 with the rent money

RCB batting super strong with the top 3 all in form and capable of winning the game by themselves and the middle order form looking good too - Starc has done the right thing by my earlier call and demonstrated he is the bowler of the tournament

whilst Miller is in form for K11P in my view the only real threat to an RCB cakewalk is the Show suddenly turning his poor tournament around - batting at 4 with the top 3 slow and getting out a heap tempted to take the $5.00 for him to topscore for K11P
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05-13-2015 , 06:15 AM
have to concede that rcb have performed to general publics expectations (and therefore way above my own) in recent matches, and punjabs price has held up more than id expected in their recent matches (1.67 away to kkr, 1.8 away to srh both looked a little optimistic). ive def seen worse 1.48 shots and i expect they will win, but it being away from home, punjabs slight upward trend in recent games and the general unpredictability of betting games where one side is no longer competitive in the tournament (sometimes they stop trying, sometimes the chance to screw over a side that still is competitive motivates them, sometimes they blood youngsters or experiment with batting order, sometimes they stay rigidly to formula that got them where they were) might be of enough concern to swerve such a short price. i think csk were a near identical price to beat dd yesterday and that went pretty badly wrong for money buyers. that said, def not opposed to trying to get on rcb inrunning once we have more info available.
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05-22-2015 , 10:50 AM
mumbai indians 6/4 for the final is huge even with the likely fixed final
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