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10-09-2008 , 12:23 AM

#26

Post-Oak

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2004 Posts: 7,340

The latest news is that Kuo should be on the roster, but that Saito will probably be left off! Rosters are due 10:00 AM tomorrow.

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10-09-2008 , 02:27 PM

#27

MyTurn2Raise

Drug Free MVP

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 40,622

Bodog coming through again

skip the Dodgers winning 4 to 0

Dodgers win series 4 to 1 +500
Dodgers win series 4 to 2 +400
Dodgers win series 4 to 3 +600
Either team sweeps-'YES' +450

Balancing this adds up to a better series price than the Dodgers are currently at plus you get the Phillies sweeping the series

In addition, you can find some better prices for some of the outcomes at other books

ty Bodog

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10-09-2008 , 02:28 PM

#28

MyTurn2Raise

Drug Free MVP

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 40,622

just to illustrate, if you put one unit down on each of those 4 possibilities without any other considerations, you have the Dodgers (plus a Phillies Sweep) at a minimum of +125
which is widely arbable with Phillies prices everywhere

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10-09-2008 , 02:37 PM

#29

MyTurn2Raise

Drug Free MVP

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 40,622

ummm.... apparently, you can do this at quite a few sportsbooks

for example, 5dimes has
either team sweep at +590
Dodgers 4 to 1 +575
Dodgers 4 to 2 +475
Dodgers 4 to 3 +470

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10-09-2008 , 02:53 PM

#30

Thremp

banned

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 36,452

Recheck your math.

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10-09-2008 , 03:06 PM

#31

Rustjive

old hand

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 1,311

Scalpulator Results:

Bet 1: $100.00 @ +125
Bet 2: $32.61 @ +590
Bet 3: $33.33 @ +575
Bet 4: $39.13 @ +475
Bet 5: $39.47 @ +470

Total Investment: $244.55

Total Return: $225.00

Edit: Errr, well I read your Phillies price wrong, but it doesn't seem arbable even with my crappy reading skillz.

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10-09-2008 , 03:14 PM

#32

MyTurn2Raise

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Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 40,622

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thremp

Recheck your math.

ummmmm.... if you put 1u down on each of the bets I listed for 5dimes, you have a 4u risk that will return at least 5.7u for the Dodgers to win the series.... right?

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10-09-2008 , 03:21 PM

#33

MyTurn2Raise

Drug Free MVP

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 40,622

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rustjive

what's with bet 1????

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10-09-2008 , 03:29 PM

#34

n2p

grinder

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 681

Quote:

Originally Posted by MyTurn2Raise

ummmmm.... if you put 1u down on each of the bets I listed for 5dimes, you have a 4u risk that will return at least 5.7u for the Dodgers to win the series.... right?

its returning tht much but you arent winning that much since you will lose 3 of these.

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10-09-2008 , 03:29 PM

#35

funkytown

Guest

Posts: n/a

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atmosphere

A "hot" team doesn't mean anything.

Personally, I have to disagree with that. Momentum means quite a bit during the stretch run - like the Giants last year going in to the Super Bowl.

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10-09-2008 , 03:32 PM

#36

MyTurn2Raise

Drug Free MVP

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 40,622

oops.... my brain is fried today

ty Thremp for not letting me flush money down the toilet

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10-09-2008 , 03:34 PM

#37

n2p

grinder

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 681

Quote:

Originally Posted by funkytown

Personally, I have to disagree with that. Momentum means quite a bit during the stretch run - like the Giants last year going in to the Super Bowl.

meh.. the rockies last year going into the world series?

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10-09-2008 , 04:48 PM

#38

MyTurn2Raise

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Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 40,622

someone should delete my last few posts so that others don't follow my crappy logic

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10-09-2008 , 05:11 PM

#39

funkytown

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Posts: n/a

Quote:

Originally Posted by n2p

meh.. the rockies last year going into the world series?

exactly - they got there didn't they? got beat too by a team that was hotter.

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10-09-2008 , 05:25 PM

#40

crockpot

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jul 2003 Posts: 5,163

Quote:

Originally Posted by funkytown

exactly - they got there didn't they? got beat too by a team that was hotter.

wat

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10-09-2008 , 05:44 PM

#41

Rustjive

old hand

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 1,311

oh i see we have finally entered that parallel universe where winning 3 in a row is hotter than winning 7 in a row

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10-09-2008 , 06:22 PM

#42

Atmosphere

journeyman

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 339

Quote:

Originally Posted by funkytown

Personally, I have to disagree with that. Momentum means quite a bit during the stretch run - like the Giants last year going in to the Super Bowl.

The Patriots had 18 game momentum

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10-09-2008 , 06:37 PM

#43

funkytown

Guest

Posts: n/a

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atmosphere

The Patriots had 18 game momentum

And they got beat by a team that got red hot - just like Philadelphia will have happen to them.

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10-09-2008 , 06:41 PM

#44

funkytown

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Posts: n/a

http://www.sportsline.com/mlb/story/11016134

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10-10-2008 , 11:12 AM

#45

Rustjive

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Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 1,311

Let me get this straight...if you are red hot, you can beat any team, except for hotter teams. How do we find out if a team is hotter than another? If one beats the other, that team is hotter.

Ok, I got it.

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10-10-2008 , 11:34 AM

#46

funkytown

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Posts: n/a

Seemingly this would be a question of semantics, but perhaps I'm thinking of teams that are starting to "peak" at the right time. The Dodgers played quite marginally the first half of the season and of late, they've gotten it together.

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10-10-2008 , 11:50 AM

#47

CardSharpCook

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Join Date: Dec 2004 Posts: 12,341

Does this actually seem like a "question of semantics" to you?

What the hell does, "seemingly this would be a question of semantics" mean anyway? I know what all those words mean, but strung together like that it looks like garbage. GARBAGE, SAYS I!

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10-10-2008 , 02:18 PM

#48

gmcarroll33

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Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 6,761

Brett Myers u6 K's (-115) .575u to win .5u

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10-10-2008 , 06:38 PM

#49

hedgie43

old hand

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 1,308

Quote:

wat

You don't remember? The layoff killed the Rockies' hotness LDO. This allowed Boston to load up on very hot sauce from a local Taco Bell and counter the Rockies' regular hot sauce.

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10-11-2008 , 11:06 AM

#50

funkytown

Guest

Posts: n/a

Quote:

Originally Posted by CardSharpCook

Try reading it again. This time, don't move your lips when you're reading and take your finger off of the text as you go across the screen.

Now that the Dodgers, my "peaking" team, are losing two to zip, I'll figure out a way to get my other foot in my mouth when/if they drop 2 more games.

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