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09-28-2009 , 07:11 PM

#26

Mister Havisham

adept

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 935

dolphins +1 +111

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09-28-2009 , 07:40 PM

#27

Vincepcion

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 2,522

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mister Havisham

dolphins +1 +111

i like this bet too

thanks for steering me to bodog, i didnt think about them since they used to not take canadians...ill prob put in a deposit on thursday or fri

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09-28-2009 , 07:59 PM

#28

kdog

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 3,866

Quote:

Originally Posted by Assani Fisher

I got -105 at 5dimes last night:

ticket Accepted Date Risk To Win Status Wager
36855552-1 9/28/09 12:44am $1,050.00 $1,000.00 Pending 10/4/09 1:00pm NFL Football 205 Baltimore Ravens +2½ -105 vs New England Patriots

36855552-2 9/28/09 12:44am $1,100.00 $1,000.00 Pending 10/4/09 4:05pm NFL Football 217 New York Jets +6½ -110 vs New Orleans Saints

Why the rush to take half a point less than a key number on a couple of road teams? You wait, you might find a 3 or a 7 somewhere during the week. If not you don't give up much having to take +2 or +6.

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09-28-2009 , 08:13 PM

#29

shipontilt

self-banned

Join Date: Jun 2008 Posts: 12,209

3.5u on the Jets +6.5 -105

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09-28-2009 , 08:18 PM

#30

MacGuyV

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 22,298

NE is down to -1. I kinda like that.

Agree with NYJ +6.5.

Miami I'm assuming would be around -3 with Penny? Maybe +1 is a good pick there but I have no idea what to make of the Henne factor.

Cincy@Cleveland sounds like a familiar BSP pick.

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09-28-2009 , 11:09 PM

#31

Shoe

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 11,869

Gonna wait to make my bets but Cincy is looking really tempting right now.

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09-28-2009 , 11:23 PM

#32

burkoboy

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 2,160

I'm liking

Cincy (-5.5) vs Clev
Giants (-9) vs KC
Bucs (+7) vs Redskins (this line just screams stupid)
Saints (-6.5) vs Jets

haven't booked any yet... however, these are listed in the order in which i feel confident about the bets

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09-29-2009 , 03:07 AM

#33

Shoe

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 11,869

I am making the following bet:

CIN -5.5

I plan to make more bets as the week goes on but still researching.

YTD: 10-3-0

Week 2 (4-2-0)
Week 3 (6-1-0)

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09-29-2009 , 04:46 AM

#34

Infinite Greed

banned

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 1,080

Cincy should be 10 to 13 point favorites. Am I missing something?

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09-29-2009 , 06:08 AM

#35

Vincepcion

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 2,522

booked cincinnati for 1u and feeling like i need a shower

Quote

09-29-2009 , 07:51 AM

#36

chucky

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 4,998

Quote:

Originally Posted by Infinite Greed

Cincy should be 10 to 13 point favorites. Am I missing something?

Fading road favs for the overall period of last 25 years plus has been blindly profitable.

Quote

09-29-2009 , 12:42 PM

#37

Will.

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2004 Posts: 2,230

Quote:

Originally Posted by Infinite Greed

Cincy should be 10 to 13 point favorites. Am I missing something?

I don't see how you can say this, when just 3 weeks ago the Vikes were only 3.5 point favorites in the dog pound. I think that Cincy is overrated after a couple lucky wins.

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09-29-2009 , 12:48 PM

#38

Will.

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2004 Posts: 2,230

anyone else like the 9ers -10?

Quote

09-29-2009 , 03:13 PM

#39

T$ Make$

stranger

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 11

did everyone overlook that fact that pennington is out for mia and chad henne couldn't couldn't hit the broad side of a barn? I took the bills -1 as my lock of the week

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09-29-2009 , 05:35 PM

#40

shipontilt

self-banned

Join Date: Jun 2008 Posts: 12,209

I'm taking the Jets +6.5 as my lock of the week but do not pay any attention to me because I am super biased and think 6.5 is way too many points for the third ranked defense in football which has given up 2 touchdowns in 3 games to Houston, New England and Tennessee.

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09-29-2009 , 06:14 PM

#41

SnakeEyes

centurion

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 150

TB +7.

Gonna stick with what's been working - fading Washington as somewhat heavy favorites. As bad as Tampa is, they've been forced to abandon their running game each week due to large deficits early. TB has the 2nd fewest attempts in the league, albeit at a respectable 4.3 ypc (similarly, Wash D yields 4.4 ypc). I can't see Washington jumping out to a two TD lead by halftime in this one, thereby needing to rely on (groan) Josh Johnson to win the game for them. TB should be able to give Cadillac and Ward 35+ carries without having to abandon the run after a quarter and a half, and they keep this one close.

GL to all.

Last edited by SnakeEyes; 09-29-2009 at 06:25 PM.

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09-29-2009 , 06:24 PM

#42

SnakeEyes

centurion

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 150

Quote:

Originally Posted by Will.

I don't see how you can say this, when just 3 weeks ago the Vikes were only 3.5 point favorites in the dog pound. I think that Cincy is overrated after a couple lucky wins.

Hmm. I actually think going into last week they were underrated due to a fluky loss in Week 1. I would not consider winning in Lambeau and beating Pittsburgh at home as "lucky" wins. Their game-winning drive against Pitt showed alot of heart (although shoddy clock management almost killed the comeback). After last week though, they appear to be properly "rated".

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09-30-2009 , 02:03 AM

#43

Infinite Greed

banned

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 1,080

Quote:

Originally Posted by Will.

I don't see how you can say this, when just 3 weeks ago the Vikes were only 3.5 point favorites in the dog pound. I think that Cincy is overrated after a couple lucky wins.

And they won by 14 points. Since then, Cleveland has absorbed two blowout losses and is the consensus worst team in the NFL. You're also conveniently forgetting Cincy's very unlucky loss in week 1. I think they are getting the reverse Patriots treatment, where because they've sucked for so long people aren't buying them even though they're clearly a better team than the past few seasons.

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09-30-2009 , 05:42 AM

#44

Vincepcion

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 2,522

Quote:

Originally Posted by Will.

anyone else like the 9ers -10?

i actually like the rams but not enough to bet on the game

keep in mind gore is likely out and the rams just got an upgrade at QB

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09-30-2009 , 06:54 AM

#45

chucky

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 4,998

Quote:

Originally Posted by Vincepcion

i actually like the rams but not enough to bet on the game

keep in mind gore is likely out and the rams just got an upgrade at QB

Rarely has Kyle Boller been considered an upgrade in anything.

Standard comment that almost all rbs dont really matter as effectiveness is fairly primarily determined by line play. (See FO for this analysis).

Btw wash/tb is o/u 39. Given wash's abysmal off play and an inexperienced qb for tb (+ their overall bleh play). Doesnt this game play out as 13-9/16-10 a bunch of the time.

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09-30-2009 , 07:51 AM

#46

stressed

old hand

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 1,409

I also like the under on the Washington game. Jason Campbell hasn't really developed at all, kind of reminds me of Vince Young. Started out like a stud, done nothing recently.

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09-30-2009 , 10:11 AM

#47

Rapidtransit

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2006 Posts: 285

Anyone have any reads on BAL NE this weekend? Missed out at BAL+3 and wondering if we'll see any movement back in that direction. I think NE will struggle against Baltimore's defense/efficient offense from Flacco should result in low scoring game. Also weighing ML versus points? I'm kind of new to this and thought I'd gauge your thoughts.

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09-30-2009 , 10:39 AM

#48

Scruffs Mcguff

old hand

Join Date: Apr 2009 Posts: 1,367

Quote:

Originally Posted by Vincepcion

i actually like the rams but not enough to bet on the game

keep in mind gore is likely out and the rams just got an upgrade at QB

And a downgrade at WR. Laurent Robinson out for the year. who does boller even throw to now? Donnie Avery annnnd?

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09-30-2009 , 12:26 PM

#49

zram21

grinder

Join Date: Dec 2003 Posts: 651

Quote:

Originally Posted by Vincepcion

i actually like the rams but not enough to bet on the game

keep in mind gore is likely out and the rams just got an upgrade at QB

While I agree Boller would be an upgrade at QB, it is not even certain Bulger is going to be out this week.

Quote

09-30-2009 , 02:19 PM

#50

Vincepcion

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 2,522

Quote:

Originally Posted by chucky

where do u see 39? it opened at 37.5 and everywhere i see is 37.

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