Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register
NFL Week 15 Player Props NFL Week 15 Player Props

12-12-2008 , 12:50 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by unrealzeal
Wow MDJ. You have brees under. The chicago secondary is over valued. They get torched tonight. NO +3 is my thoughts on this game. Don't like your plays tonight but GL. Thanks again for posting. Next year I may be interested in buying your picks.
You don't understand the whole home/away thing do you?
NFL Week 15 Player Props Quote
12-12-2008 , 03:20 AM
HEY MDJ, ditto what the other guy said. Ignore these people!!! We love your picks and you are kicking some serious assssssss!!!!!
NFL Week 15 Player Props Quote
12-12-2008 , 03:47 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MYDAYJOB
whatever, I'll let my results speak for me...btw only 6.5 inches...you?
lol azhen
NFL Week 15 Player Props Quote
12-12-2008 , 03:55 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MYDAYJOB
You don't understand the whole home/away thing do you?
That's what my friend said when I plunked down 3 unies each on NO and the over. And yet, your picks are all good anyway (on NO unders), which I was wondering how that could happen if it went over - but then I see the Bear special teams and the turnover machine at QB!

Yeah Brees has been much better at home. Nice picks on NO side of things.

Not sure if I got lucky or was good on my picks but I'll take it and thanks again for picks! Looking forward to sunday.

Last edited by unrealzeal; 12-12-2008 at 04:01 AM.
NFL Week 15 Player Props Quote
12-12-2008 , 12:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by unrealzeal
That's what my friend said when I plunked down 3 unies each on NO and the over. And yet, your picks are all good anyway (on NO unders), which I was wondering how that could happen if it went over - but then I see the Bear special teams and the turnover machine at QB!

Yeah Brees has been much better at home. Nice picks on NO side of things.

Not sure if I got lucky or was good on my picks but I'll take it and thanks again for picks! Looking forward to sunday.

Ya, I took one on the chin last night with most of my props. I don't understand the bears offensive game plan in the 4th quarter. They totally abandoned the run game and put the hands in Kyle beeping Orten. But don't worry, we'll kill it this wkend. Best of luck and thanks for following my plays...you won't regret it.
NFL Week 15 Player Props Quote
12-13-2008 , 04:13 PM
3 and 2 star plays, will post 1 star plays later

***Walter NO TD (-130) Risking $390 to win $300
***Turner NO TD 1ST HALF (+120) Risking $300 to win $360

**LenDale NO TD 1ST HALF (-130) Risking $260 to win $200
**Chris Johnson NO TD (+160) Risking $200 to win $320
**Coles NO TD (-150) Risking $300 to win $200
**Fasano NO TD (-200) Risking $400 to win $200
**Bruce NO TD (-190) Risking $380 to win $200
**Bryant(TB) (-160) Risking $320 to win $200
**S.Moss NO TD (-140) Risking $280 to win $200
**Harrision U 58.5 rec yds (-115) Risking $230 to win $200
**Calvin NO TD (-150) Risking $300 to win $200
**MJD O 98.5 rush + rec yds (-115) Risking $230 to win $200
**VJax U 4.5 catches (+110) Risking $200 to win $220
**Rivers U 2.5 Pass TD (-180) Risking $360 to win $200
**Delhomme U 1.5 Pass TD (-130) Risking $260 to win $200
**D.Graham NO TD (-220) Risking $440 to win $200
**Heath Miller NO TD (-220) Risking $440 to win $200
**FWP NO TD (-150) Risking $300 to win $200
**Warner U 2.5 Pass TD (-185) Risking $370 to win $200
**Shiancoe U 3 catches (-115) Risking $230 to win $200
**Berrian NO TD (-160) Risking $320 to win $200
NFL Week 15 Player Props Quote
12-14-2008 , 03:32 AM
Love the Jones-Drew play. They also had a Fred Taylor o/u rush attempts up at the time this play was up having not realized that he was out for the year. They've since took both plays down obviously realizing the error - so I think 98.5 is tremendous value. As long as Jax gets him at least 20 touches, this play should cash easily.
NFL Week 15 Player Props Quote
12-14-2008 , 04:14 AM
Yeah and GB's defense is much worse than what Jax has seen recently.
NFL Week 15 Player Props Quote
12-14-2008 , 06:26 AM
I'm on the same side as you on all the yards/receptions plays....My books don't have the TD bets...

I'm loving the value on the MJD play....Obviously someone goofed on that line....
NFL Week 15 Player Props Quote
12-14-2008 , 08:46 AM
* star plays...played these late yesterday afternoon; hopefully line value is still there for you guys. Order random in terms of perceived value.

*AJohnson O 6.5 catches (-115) $115 to win $100
*Slaton No TD (+140) $100 to win $140
*Gage No TD (-180) $180 to win $100
*LenDale U 57.5 rushing (-115) $115 to win $100
*TJones U 2.5 catches (+110) $100 to win $110
*TJones O 97.5 rushing (-115) $115 to win $100
*Favre U 21.5 completions (-105) $105 to win $100
*Reed(BUF) U 46.5 rec yds (-115) $115 to win $100
*Evans U 4.5 catches (-115) $115 to win $100
*SJax TD YES (+115) $100 to win $115
*Roddy U 93.5 (-115) $115 to win $100
*Dunn U 58.5 (-115) $115 to win $100
*Thigpen TD PASS before INT (-120) $120 to win $100
*V.Jackson NO TD (-140) $140 to win $100
*LT NO TD (+170) $100 to win $170
*S.Smith NO TD (-120) $120 to win $100
*S.Smith U 98.5 (-115) $115 to win $100
*DeAngelo NO TD 1ST HALF (+105) $100 to win $105
*DeAngelo O 1.5 catches (-115) $115 to win $100
*Marshall NO TD (-140) $140 to win $100
*Marshall U 87.5 rec yds (-115) $115 to win $100
*Heap O 2.5 catches (-105) $105 to win $100
*Flacco U 1.5 TD PASSES (-170) $170 to win $100
*Holmes U 60.5 rec yds (-115) $115 to win $100
*Faulk U 4.5 catches (-130) $130 to win $100
*Shiancoe NO TD (-220) $220 to win $100
*C.Taylor U 2.5 catches (Even) $100 to win $100
*C.Taylor U 55.5 Rush + Rec yds (-115) $115 to win

Should have some more plays regarding SNF and MNF games as I am capping those now. Best of luck today every1
NFL Week 15 Player Props Quote
12-14-2008 , 09:53 AM
adding:
*McNabb U 1.5 PASS TD (+125) $100 to win $125 This play would be 19-8 over last two yrs; which would normally make this at least a ** play...however given situations(@home,opponent,MNF) makes this just a 1star play for me.

*Baskett U 2.5 catches (-130) $130 to win $100 Would be ** but Curtis Q status in which Hank would start limits this just to a *

That should be all my plays
NFL Week 15 Player Props Quote
12-14-2008 , 11:58 AM
Dude, you must not be able to sleep Saturday nights with all that action pending. Great stuff, again.
NFL Week 15 Player Props Quote
12-14-2008 , 12:08 PM
Wow, bodog just took the MJD prop down just as I was trying to get in.
NFL Week 15 Player Props Quote
12-14-2008 , 12:29 PM
Total Passing Yards – Tyler Thigpen
(6299) Over vs. (6300) Under Over 219½
Not sure why he didnt have more yards last week against Denver. Still he is against SD and at home.

Total Receiving Yards – Tony Gonzalez
(6301) Over vs. (6302) Under Over 65½
SD is among worst in league against TEs. 6 of last 8 games he has topped 66.

Total Receiving Yards – Isaac Bruce
(6179) Over vs. (6180) Under Over 57½
Hill loves him targetting him 27 times the last 3 weeks. Hasnt had less than 67 yds over that time frame.

Total Passing Yards – Shaun Hill
(6177) Over vs. (6178) Under Over 219½
Dolphins allow 235 yds passing per game, he averages 225, Slight edge here.

Total Receiving Yards – Steve Smith
(6446) Over vs. (6447) Under Under 50½
3rd reciever with Toomer and Hixon or Moss starting. Dallas is pretty decent against the pass. Has topped this number twice all season.

Total Receiving Yards – Antonio Gates
(6295) Over vs. (6296) Under Under 55½
Must not be healthy cause he has been brutal lately.


37-29 YTD +5.16units
NFL Week 15 Player Props Quote
12-14-2008 , 12:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Porkchop Express
Total Passing Yards – Tyler Thigpen
(6299) Over vs. (6300) Under Over 219½
Not sure why he didnt have more yards last week against Denver. Still he is against SD and at home.

Total Receiving Yards – Tony Gonzalez
(6301) Over vs. (6302) Under Over 65½
SD is among worst in league against TEs. 6 of last 8 games he has topped 66.
I liked basically all the overs for the KC passing attack, but it supposed to be a little windy in KC today. Not sure if that might slow them down....
NFL Week 15 Player Props Quote
12-14-2008 , 01:09 PM
MYDAYJOB....what kind of record do you have betting this many props on one day like this?
NFL Week 15 Player Props Quote
12-14-2008 , 01:10 PM
Maurice Jones-Drew over 95.5 rushing and receiving yards at -115 for 1 unit (Bodog). Clearly, the line did not factor in Fred Taylor's injury and I managed to grab this before it got taken down. Nonetheless, a big number to lay for an unpredictable Jaguars offense and I'm hesitant to bet more than one unit.

Philip Rivers under 259.5 passing yards at -120 for 1 unit (Bodog). LOL windaments in Kansas City. The Chiefs aren't good against the pass but they're equally dreadful against the run.

Kevin Faulk under 72.5 rushing and receiving yards at -115 for 1 unit (Bodog). Got burned on this two weeks ago but it does appear that Sammy Morris is the main back again. The Raiders are also way stronger against the pass than the run, which suggests fewer 3 WR sets (when Faulk tends to be in).
NFL Week 15 Player Props Quote
12-14-2008 , 02:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atrainpsu
I liked basically all the overs for the KC passing attack, but it supposed to be a little windy in KC today. Not sure if that might slow them down....
Agreed. Didnt hear about the weather until after the bet.
NFL Week 15 Player Props Quote
12-14-2008 , 09:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by agdci981
MYDAYJOB....what kind of record do you have betting this many props on one day like this?
cleared min of 60k each of last 6yrs (about 25% of that each year comes from playing 6max 50nl)
NFL Week 15 Player Props Quote
12-15-2008 , 06:54 PM
*DeSean Jackson U 62.5 rec yds (-115) BODOG $115 to win $100 Just 2 many options for philly right now; he likely will only get 4-5 targets; so unless he gets one deep, some value here. Proper O/U here should be 45-50

*Browns will ever have lead in game NO (Even) Via Sportsbook $100 to win $100 Predicting a blowout/noncompetitive game here. Philly D will simply overwhelm Dorsey. So unless the browns receive opening kickoff and return it around midfield or philly turns the ball over early...some value lies here. Proper line should be around -140. Possible sort of +ev hedge here with taking Browns at +180 to score 1st (Bodog).

Was looking at a possible play with Heiden having more catches than LJ Smith...but waited too long and not willing to lay the -145.
NFL Week 15 Player Props Quote
12-15-2008 , 09:33 PM
Brian Westbrook under 34.5 receiving yards at +180 for 1 unit (Bodog). This is certainly worse than a coin-flip, but I also think that the odds justify a bet -- Cleveland has allowed over 30 receiving yards to only one RB this season. Obviously, Westbrook's game includes a lot of pass-catching but I do think that the current odds are over-weighing his performance last week.

David Akers under 8 points at +120 for 1 unit (Bodog). Coin-flip IMO. His chances of hitting two or more FGs should be less than 50 percent, though obviously Cleveland's chances of giving up 5 TDs or more is non-negligible.
NFL Week 15 Player Props Quote
12-15-2008 , 09:35 PM
adding from bodog
*westy U 34.5 rec yds (+180) $100 to win $180
*heidan more catches than LJ Smith (-130) $130 to win $100
NFL Week 15 Player Props Quote
12-16-2008 , 12:19 AM
I assume Westbrook isn't coming back into the game.

This week: 3-4, -0.83 units
YTD: 57-41-1, +9.68 units
NFL Week 15 Player Props Quote
12-16-2008 , 11:34 AM
Weekly Totals *** 1-1 $0 ** 16-9 +$990 * 28-19 +$800
W-L 45-29 Total Profit $1790

YTD Totals (Just 2 weeks posting on this site)
*** 3-3 $0 ** 32-14 +$3590 * 52-37 +$1715
W-L 87-54 Total Profit $5305
NFL Week 15 Player Props Quote

      
m