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11-29-2011 , 01:12 PM

#26

pokerbobo

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 14,432

Quote:

Originally Posted by DAT MOOSE

pats are 21 point faves vs indy.. never seen a line so high. i know indy is terrible but still..

LOL WTF INDY.

Quote

11-29-2011 , 01:13 PM

#27

Apocalypse Wow

Two Time 3+1 Champion!

Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 1,875

Quote:

Originally Posted by TomG

ok but do we buy through the 21 at 10c per half point or no? maybe i'll just sweetheart tease it to knock it down even more. i'll let everyone know what i did late sunday evening.

This game was originally for Sunday night, right? It's an afternoon game now. No point letting anyone know what you did once the game starts.

Quote

11-29-2011 , 02:00 PM

#28

Apocalypse Wow

Two Time 3+1 Champion!

Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 1,875

I'm going to go ahead and add:

Atlanta -1.5
San Diego -1.5
------
KC +9

Quote

11-29-2011 , 05:05 PM

#29

hotcats

journeyman

Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 214

Anyone like Tennessee against Buffalo? Buffalo's missing their star DT, a few key OL linemen, Fred Jackson is out (and Spiller underachieves), and Chris Johnson is trying again. I think Tenn eats Buffalo alive with their multi-RB approach.

Quote

11-29-2011 , 05:06 PM

#30

hotcats

journeyman

Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 214

Oh, and here's a good link I've been using to figure out what other bettors are thinking:
http://contests.covers.com/Handicapp...&select_type=1

Quote

11-29-2011 , 05:31 PM

#31

KingCong

newbie

Join Date: Jan 2011 Posts: 21

Quote:

Originally Posted by undathesea

LOL. I was just thinking the same thing.

Isn't this supposed to be LiveActionPro's thread?

Sorry I just realize liveactionpro is posting this everyweek. I apologize to him or anybody who is offended.
Anyways my intention was good. Good luck all.

Quote

11-29-2011 , 06:11 PM

#32

JohnnyFondue

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2006 Posts: 17,793

Alright after a quick scan here is what I like, just at a glance:

Seahwawks (+3) at home and under (44)

Dolphins -2.5 - I wouldn't love it at (-3) at (-2.5) its very close

Bengals/Steelers under (44)

Redskins (+3) - Like them at home getting 3 here

Redskins/Jets Over (39) - money in the bank

Lions (+9) Lotta points to give the Lions

Cardinals (+4.5) Like them getting points at home here

I'll probably change my mind back and forth a dozen times on half these before the week starts.

Quote

11-29-2011 , 06:57 PM

#33

illfuuptonight

banned

Join Date: Jul 2010 Posts: 241

Quote:

Originally Posted by Apocalypse Wow

This game was originally for Sunday night, right? It's an afternoon game now. No point letting anyone know what you did once the game starts.

lol owned

Quote

11-29-2011 , 07:10 PM

#34

Tyler Durden

banned

Join Date: Dec 2002 Posts: 15,299

AW, what do you think about this trend in favor of Houston:

Unrested home dogs are 93-46 against the spread off a straight-up road win playing against a team coming off home win.

thanks.

Quote

11-29-2011 , 07:41 PM

#35

hotcats

journeyman

Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 214

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyler Durden

AW, what do you think about this trend in favor of Houston:

Unrested home dogs are 93-46 against the spread off a straight-up road win playing against a team coming off home win.

thanks.

I'm aware your post was directed at AW, but check out this headline that just broke:
http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com...ds-to-houston/

Thank god Delhomme's the backup. I'd much prefer to have Yates at starting QB instead of Delhomme, as Delhomme's only slightly better than Jamarcus Russell.

Quote

11-29-2011 , 07:43 PM

#36

NajdorfDefense

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2003 Posts: 17,679

Quote:

Originally Posted by DAT MOOSE

pats are 21 point faves vs indy.. never seen a line so high. i know indy is terrible but still..

18*-1 wasn't that long ago.

fwiw, I look for PHL to put up one of their rare 'good' games against Tavaris and Co, assuming Vick and Maclin return. PHL -2.5 -115.

Quote

11-29-2011 , 07:46 PM

#37

Poogs

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 4,501

Quote:

Originally Posted by TomG

ok but do we buy through the 21 at 10c per half point or no? maybe i'll just sweetheart tease it to knock it down even more. i'll let everyone know what i did late sunday evening.

lollll gotta fit in right?

I cant wait to parlay this spread (prob will get 21.5) with total with my stable of mouth breathing locals around here.

Quote

11-29-2011 , 08:13 PM

#38

lennytheduck

old hand

Join Date: Oct 2004 Posts: 1,925

Quote:

Originally Posted by unrealzeal

nope...never seen a 21 pt spread in an NFL game and I've been betting on it for 25 years...the highest spread i've ever seen is 20, SF with Steve Young/Jerry Rice vs expansion Carolina...SF covered

Pats were favored by 20 or more 3 times in 2007, including -25 against the Eagles. They went 0-3 ATS.

Quote

11-29-2011 , 08:31 PM

#39

loodachris99

veteran

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 2,865

i dont think i could ever lay 21 points in an nfl game, but with orlovski starting at qb for indy i find it hard to believe the pats wont smack em around

Quote

11-29-2011 , 09:29 PM

#40

i am run

veteran

Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 2,308

Quote:

Originally Posted by loodachris99

i dont think i could ever lay 21 points in an nfl game, but with orlovski starting at qb for indy i find it hard to believe the pats wont smack em around

This.
Which is why I'll take my chances betting the quarters and halves instead.

Quote

11-29-2011 , 10:18 PM

#41

chucky

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 4,998

Quote:

Originally Posted by Apocalypse Wow

I'm going to go ahead and add:

Atlanta -1.5
San Diego -1.5
------
KC +9

Are you getting these at -110? Because they are not widely available at -110 or -105 juice.

Quote

11-29-2011 , 10:28 PM

#42

loodachris99

veteran

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 2,865

Quote:

Originally Posted by chucky

Are you getting these at -110? Because they are not widely available at -110 or -105 juice.

i got sd at -1.5 ev...and i dont line shop or any of that so pretty sure it is most def available somewhere at -110

Quote

11-29-2011 , 10:45 PM

#43

silviodante1

veteran

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 3,045

I have a new strategy, I've been asking a very unlucky friend of mine for picks and taking the opposite.
Here's the picks he's gave me since I've used this strategy:

Dal -7 > Miami
Over 55 GB/Det
Det +6 > GB....HE TOLD ME TAKE THE MONEY LINE ON DETROIT.
Pitt -9 > KC
NYG +7 > NO

0-5 for those counting.

Have yet to ask him this week,
I'm leaning on Chi -7 vs KC and NYG +8 vs GB

Last edited by silviodante1; 11-29-2011 at 10:46 PM. Reason: Forgot CHI lost Cutlah, now im only leaning on NYG.

Quote

11-30-2011 , 12:45 AM

#44

GoCubsGo

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 4,447

Quote:

Originally Posted by Apocalypse Wow

Well just in case it sticks around.

YTD: 51-21-4

Kansas City +9
Denver pk

Thinking I like Browns +7, Cinci +7 and San Diego -1.5

Seems like you pick Cleveland and Cincinnati fairly often. Any idea what your record is on these teams?

Quote

11-30-2011 , 02:20 AM

#45

sterlingd95

centurion

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 107

where'd you find kc +9....everywhere i saw, including vegas casinos saw @ highest +8. this was monday afternoon. sure where u found it, it has now dropped like everywhere else. just curious

Quote

11-30-2011 , 02:25 AM

#46

GoCubsGo

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 4,447

It's still +9 at some shops but -130 or smth.

Quote

11-30-2011 , 09:13 AM

#47

undathesea

grinder

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 455

Quote:

Originally Posted by hotcats

Oh, and here's a good link I've been using to figure out what other bettors are thinking:
http://contests.covers.com/Handicapp...&select_type=1

Not necessarily a bettors consensus. Anyone with an internet connection can click a link to say who they think will cover the spread. Don't put too much weight on this.

Quote

11-30-2011 , 09:24 AM

#48

undathesea

grinder

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 455

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyler Durden

AW, what do you think about this trend in favor of Houston:

Unrested home dogs are 93-46 against the spread off a straight-up road win playing against a team coming off home win.

thanks.

LOL! Unrested? Are the Texans going out to party all night before the game? Some noobs never learn.

Here's a better trend:
ATL are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games.

Your trend covers 67%.
My trend covers 69%.

If you fade Atlanta in this situation you'll fall victim to one of the classic blunders - The most famous of which is: Never get involved in a land war in Asia - but only slightly less well-known is this: Never go against a Matty Ice when money is on the line.

Quote

11-30-2011 , 11:19 AM

#49

Broke___Joke

journeyman

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 215

Quote:

Originally Posted by undathesea

LOL! Unrested? Are the Texans going out to party all night before the game? Some noobs never learn.

Here's a better trend:
ATL are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games.

Your trend covers 67%.
My trend covers 69%.

If you fade Atlanta in this situation you'll fall victim to one of the classic blunders - The most famous of which is: Never get involved in a land war in Asia - but only slightly less well-known is this: Never go against a Matty Ice when money is on the line.

For one, Tyler is a good contributor to this forumn and to call him a "noob" isn't right.

2nd - He quoted Walter, who is definately not a "noob"(losing this season unfortunately)

3rd - Unrested doesnt mean partying the night before, noob...it means not coming off a bye, or a longer stretch between games Ie:thurs then palying the following sunday.

Quote

11-30-2011 , 11:27 AM

#50

Apocalypse Wow

Two Time 3+1 Champion!

Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 1,875

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyler Durden

AW, what do you think about this trend in favor of Houston:

Unrested home dogs are 93-46 against the spread off a straight-up road win playing against a team coming off home win.

thanks.

I think their QB situation has to trump any trend.

Quote

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