His pick distribution is ackward compared to other pools. Only two others have NOR available, and one of those also has KC and is strong in the coming weeks.

Is 18 left. 5 have only KC as a 5pt+ favorite this week. 2 have only KC + NE and are likely to keep NE. 1 has BAL + KC and is likely to keep BAL. Is one other that might pick KC too. So looking at at least 7 IMO and as many as 9 others on KC, where NOR is going to be 0-2 others with him guaranteed.

Thanks for your help Prop, I’ll be locking in NO. I’m hoping it is only split 10 ways or less at the end.

1 Nitrogen chopped HU
2 other Nitro on New Orleans

1 chopped pool. Playing for 2,500. Oakland vs his San Fran

4 left for 195,000. Someone through with Baltimore. My partner and I deciding on Green Bay or Seattle. Most likely taking Seattle. Looking at Denver or Indianapolis in that one in 16


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

If New Orleans wins, I’ll be HU & 4-handed in Nitrogen

Still 4-handed in big one

Im still left on NO with 2 eliminated who took SF and OAK

Is anyone 4956500 on Nitrogen here. If New Orleans wins tomorrow, we’ll be HU. Interested in a deal if NO wins?


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

I'm out in the .0025 at Nitrogen. I took Oakland. everyone picked exactly what I expect them too. I waited till 90 minutes before game time and KC and OAK had 5.7% difference in win percentage and i knew another player would be on KC and I'd be alone on them. Was questionable but I wanted to gamble. It didn't work out.

Rooting for you guys on NO now. i wouldn't have been if OAK won.

GLA

Week 16 time.

https://easyupload.io/0a2r0g

Thats whats happening. Only 2 eliminated.

Im assuming KC is my best option followed by DEN, ATL and IND.

Do you agree Prop?

2 Pools Remaining-

100K- 17 entries left, I have 1 entry- 5 left have SEA.

I will be on SEA on this one.



50k 2nd chance- 18 entries left, I have 3 remaining, no one else has > 1 entry.

Since it's 2nd chance, the remaining are more varied. Only 5 have used SEA. I am the only one with NE remaining though and have them on 2 entries. I have one of the two entries with GB remaining as well. 10 have DAL,16 have LAR.

I have left:

#1- SEA/NE/GB/LAR

#2- SEA/NE/LAR

#3- SEA/DAL/LAR

Estimate that this week will go: 10 SEA, 1 BAL, 2 SF, 2 IND/ATL/DEN, my 3. Could be less on SEA for others gambling with separation picks.

I am thinking about shoving on SEA and then doing a hedging bet on AZ ML.

If I advance then will have a random option for 17 in the 100k. In the 50k will have GB/NE/LAR, NE/LAR, DAL/LAR.

Or should I be diversifying with something like one on SEA, one on NE, one on ATL/DEN/IND in week 16 50k?

What do you guys think?

So this is the "Last Fan Standing" pool here in Reno. Pays $25k. Last year I chopped it 4 ways. Each entry is double elimination. You can pick a team as often as you like, no point spread.

There are 195 entries left, of which 40 have no losses. I have 7 entries left, 5 with no losses.

At some point I need to go contrarian. The Ravens are off the board this week, and Seattle seems like the lock/public play.

Thoughts?

This is a lot harder to figure the best way to go with so many of the top teams still available.

If New England wins Saturday, they'll be a great team to have in 17 - unless the Chiefs lose. In that case they're locked into the 2.

If New England loses Saturday, they're an amazing team to have in 17.

How many have New Orleans and & Green Bay? You'll be wanting to full FADE Dallas in 17 obviously. I'd setup for a Green Bay, New Orleans and New England split in 17

Taking New England in 16 would be nice separation, but it depends how much you'll be dipping down in 17 in order to do so. They're going to load up on Seattle. FADE them for sure. Lots and lots of 6.5 to 7.5 favorites. Pick the ones you think will be LEAST picked by the others = print EV

Thanks!

NO is dead for everyone, GB I have 1 of the 2 entries they are remaining for and NE I have the 2 of 2 entries they are left in.

I understand why you would fade SEA in this spot for sure but having GB and NE potentially available when no one else has them in 17 was what had me considering going conservative with them instead in those two entries. Then I am in such a good spot vs. people in #17 picking the same teams as lesser favorites.

Or maybe:

Entry 1: NE/GB
Entry 2: SEA/NE
Entry 3: -6.5 to -7.5 fave/non DAL/LAR fave

I'm taking ATL in the Rookie Pool (.0025 buyin) on Nitrogen.

I locked in DEN. Figured ATL will be highest percent pick this week.

5 left I was only one who had seattle left.

1 through with SF
2 on Den
1 on Indy

Denver in the big one. Up against Atlanta, Kansas City & Seattle

Seattle in 2 Btc pools. Up against Atlanta HU and 2 Atlanta & 1 other Seattle in the other


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

sad I didnt take ATL. Only 4 on ATL out of 16.

Nice. More people eliminated this week in my survivor.

Split was: 5 KC, 4 SEA, 4 ATL and 3 DEN. Hopefully KC finds a way to lose tonight. I’ll be the only person with KC for week 17. Would be nice to take it down fully.

Thank you sir.

I am through with all three entries here on IND/DEN/NE.

Half the field eliminated so I now have 3 of the 9 left, one solo GB, one solo NE, and likely DAL with 2 others entries. Other players will be on KC/PHI/LAR.

Taking Green Bay in 17

Will be up against New England & Kansas City or LAR

This pool goes to the playoffs. In the playoffs, you can take each team 2x TOTAL. If you didn't take Baltimore in regular season, you can take them 2x in the playoffs.

No deal made yet in this one. 195,000 up top

So 3 left BJ?

Yes. The guy that hadn’t wanted to make a deal. I don’t blame him. I wouldn’t have either in his position. Had Baltimore in 15. New England in 17.

He was only one who had LAC available. He went Chiefs instead so I go to go to a chiefs watch party Sunday night & “root” for the chiefs

I'm HU in this .0025 and this other guy somehow hasn't used NE yet so I'm gonna need a lot of luck to win or a little luck to chop.

Locking in KC w/11 others. I’m the only person with KC and 5 have Rams. Nobody else has an option above -5 spread I believe with TEN.

Wish me luck that lots get cut down!