ND VS Michigan
09-12-2009
, 12:27 AM
not betting it, but as a UM fan, i'm glad it's his 'lock of the week'...makes me feel pretty good about tomorrow.
LOL at tate not being able to improve. nd may be better on D than western, but then i doubt i'm the only one looking at the following pictures.
this is totally stolen from mgoblog, and is only 1 play. notice picture #3 where if he throws the easy bubble route it's probably a huge gain...
he 'only' gained 4, but decision-making wise, he will only get better. which after watching last week is probably terrifying for ND and the rest of the big 10.
/homer rant
also, brian at mgb is a God.
this is totally stolen from mgoblog, and is only 1 play. notice picture #3 where if he throws the easy bubble route it's probably a huge gain...
he 'only' gained 4, but decision-making wise, he will only get better. which after watching last week is probably terrifying for ND and the rest of the big 10.
/homer rant
also, brian at mgb is a God.
09-12-2009
, 12:53 AM
09-12-2009
, 02:40 AM
but seeing how this thread was specifically dedicated to this game, i figured that column would be an additional resource, regardless of affiliation.
plus, i liked it.
09-12-2009
, 10:25 AM
Wiper, I also think Brian runs a great blog, but sometimes his football analysis is really off the mark.
His claim that the pass out wide is set up for a huge gain is wrong - imo. It's an illusion. It relies (erroneously) on the defenders not changing their positions in milliseconds. I see this commonly when I watch tennis matches with people who don't play tennis. They always think shots are open when they are not in fact. They think "down the line!" or "drop shot!" without accounting for how quickly the other player's position will change to such an attempt.
The third screen is the moment when Tate has the option to throw or run.
The slot receiver is 4.5 yds from the LOS. The safety is 6.5 yds from the LOS. Let's presume that Tate throws a good pass, thus leading the slot another 2 yds to the LOS. In the time that Tate clocks back his right arm, starts his forward motion, passes the ball through the air, slot catches it, cradles it, and glances downfield for his run, the safety moves up at least 3 yds. [I know that this offensive transaction happens fast in real time but so does a safety stepping forward 3 yds.]
End result, I would predict about a 2.5 yd gain. It's an illusion. It's easy to see players as open in camera still shots, imo. I've noticed that Brian does this quite a bit w/ his UFR's in the past. But overall, I think it's a great blog.
(The analysis on this specific play could go on ad nauseum: for example, would the wide out lay a good block on the safety thus springing slot outside, as likely intended? But I still maintain my point.)
His claim that the pass out wide is set up for a huge gain is wrong - imo. It's an illusion. It relies (erroneously) on the defenders not changing their positions in milliseconds. I see this commonly when I watch tennis matches with people who don't play tennis. They always think shots are open when they are not in fact. They think "down the line!" or "drop shot!" without accounting for how quickly the other player's position will change to such an attempt.
The third screen is the moment when Tate has the option to throw or run.
The slot receiver is 4.5 yds from the LOS. The safety is 6.5 yds from the LOS. Let's presume that Tate throws a good pass, thus leading the slot another 2 yds to the LOS. In the time that Tate clocks back his right arm, starts his forward motion, passes the ball through the air, slot catches it, cradles it, and glances downfield for his run, the safety moves up at least 3 yds. [I know that this offensive transaction happens fast in real time but so does a safety stepping forward 3 yds.]
End result, I would predict about a 2.5 yd gain. It's an illusion. It's easy to see players as open in camera still shots, imo. I've noticed that Brian does this quite a bit w/ his UFR's in the past. But overall, I think it's a great blog.
(The analysis on this specific play could go on ad nauseum: for example, would the wide out lay a good block on the safety thus springing slot outside, as likely intended? But I still maintain my point.)
Quote:
not betting it, but as a UM fan, i'm glad it's his 'lock of the week'...makes me feel pretty good about tomorrow.
LOL at tate not being able to improve. nd may be better on D than western, but then i doubt i'm the only one looking at the following pictures.
this is totally stolen from mgoblog, and is only 1 play. notice picture #3 where if he throws the easy bubble route it's probably a huge gain...
he 'only' gained 4, but decision-making wise, he will only get better. which after watching last week is probably terrifying for ND and the rest of the big 10.
/homer rant
also, brian at mgb is a God.
LOL at tate not being able to improve. nd may be better on D than western, but then i doubt i'm the only one looking at the following pictures.
this is totally stolen from mgoblog, and is only 1 play. notice picture #3 where if he throws the easy bubble route it's probably a huge gain...
he 'only' gained 4, but decision-making wise, he will only get better. which after watching last week is probably terrifying for ND and the rest of the big 10.
/homer rant
also, brian at mgb is a God.
09-12-2009
, 11:11 AM
09-12-2009
, 12:06 PM
09-12-2009
, 12:59 PM
Quote:
Wiper, I also think Brian runs a great blog, but sometimes his football analysis is really off the mark.
His claim that the pass out wide is set up for a huge gain is wrong - imo. It's an illusion. It relies (erroneously) on the defenders not changing their positions in milliseconds. I see this commonly when I watch tennis matches with people who don't play tennis. They always think shots are open when they are not in fact. They think "down the line!" or "drop shot!" without accounting for how quickly the other player's position will change to such an attempt.
The third screen is the moment when Tate has the option to throw or run.
The slot receiver is 4.5 yds from the LOS. The safety is 6.5 yds from the LOS. Let's presume that Tate throws a good pass, thus leading the slot another 2 yds to the LOS. In the time that Tate clocks back his right arm, starts his forward motion, passes the ball through the air, slot catches it, cradles it, and glances downfield for his run, the safety moves up at least 3 yds. [I know that this offensive transaction happens fast in real time but so does a safety stepping forward 3 yds.]
End result, I would predict about a 2.5 yd gain. It's an illusion. It's easy to see players as open in camera still shots, imo. I've noticed that Brian does this quite a bit w/ his UFR's in the past. But overall, I think it's a great blog.
(The analysis on this specific play could go on ad nauseum: for example, would the wide out lay a good block on the safety thus springing slot outside, as likely intended? But I still maintain my point.)
His claim that the pass out wide is set up for a huge gain is wrong - imo. It's an illusion. It relies (erroneously) on the defenders not changing their positions in milliseconds. I see this commonly when I watch tennis matches with people who don't play tennis. They always think shots are open when they are not in fact. They think "down the line!" or "drop shot!" without accounting for how quickly the other player's position will change to such an attempt.
The third screen is the moment when Tate has the option to throw or run.
The slot receiver is 4.5 yds from the LOS. The safety is 6.5 yds from the LOS. Let's presume that Tate throws a good pass, thus leading the slot another 2 yds to the LOS. In the time that Tate clocks back his right arm, starts his forward motion, passes the ball through the air, slot catches it, cradles it, and glances downfield for his run, the safety moves up at least 3 yds. [I know that this offensive transaction happens fast in real time but so does a safety stepping forward 3 yds.]
End result, I would predict about a 2.5 yd gain. It's an illusion. It's easy to see players as open in camera still shots, imo. I've noticed that Brian does this quite a bit w/ his UFR's in the past. But overall, I think it's a great blog.
(The analysis on this specific play could go on ad nauseum: for example, would the wide out lay a good block on the safety thus springing slot outside, as likely intended? But I still maintain my point.)
Also... THIS is why it's nice to fade ND:
09-12-2009
, 01:29 PM
09-12-2009
, 01:58 PM
09-12-2009
, 02:28 PM
09-12-2009
, 10:00 PM