MMA Thread - Page 957 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

Just caught up. Locked a guaranteed profit with Sterling and smith.

Lineker looked good, hopefully he gets the next crack at the belt after Carasio.

Also really surprised how poorly White did. Knew he needed to improve his striking defence, but that was terrible.

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07-16-2014 , 10:33 PM

#23902

yoyobo

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 4,140

Was going to bet Mafra in this fight, until he weighed in at 165. Not even sure what to take from that lol.

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07-16-2014 , 10:37 PM

#23903

Doge2016

grinder

Join Date: May 2014 Posts: 456

Parlay

Story + Cerrone.

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07-16-2014 , 10:39 PM

#23904

SwoopAE

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Quote:

Originally Posted by yoyobo

Was going to bet Mafra in this fight, until he weighed in at 165. Not even sure what to take from that lol.

Wait he weighted 165?

1.5u Story then. Mafra was one of the worst guys on the original TUF Brazil, has no wins over good fighters and if Story's bigger than him too he just won't win barring random fluke

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07-16-2014 , 10:44 PM

#23905

SwoopAE

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Yeah feeling really good about my 1.5u bet even at -310 now seeing how small Mafra is and how easily Story took him down

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07-16-2014 , 10:51 PM

#23906

SwoopAE

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Total mismatch Mafra is just dead here

Would take Story -2000 in live betting

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07-16-2014 , 10:53 PM

#23907

SwoopAE

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and there's the finish. Nice performance by Story, he should get a top 15 guy next especially after how close the Gastelum fight was.

I actually think Story vs Woodley/Kim loser would be a decent fight to make or the Thatch/Mein winner could work

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07-16-2014 , 10:56 PM

#23908

Doge2016

grinder

Join Date: May 2014 Posts: 456

Completely out of his league in there.

Hopefully Cerrone pulls through to ship my last one for me.

Thinking about getting in on Dunham/barboza u2.5 at -120

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07-16-2014 , 10:57 PM

#23909

SwoopAE

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Got a half unit sweat on Barboza at -23x here early w/ a friend, I like both guys here and don't really want to see either of them lose.

I think I like the under on this one but not quite enough to fire it

Remainder of my card rests on Miller taking advantage of a Cerrone mistake though, price is just too good

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07-16-2014 , 11:04 PM

#23910

SwoopAE

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Hmm line's 1.5 rounds on Pinny now, over 1.5 is -183, tempting but not quite enough to fire

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07-16-2014 , 11:10 PM

#23911

SwoopAE

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I can't help but want to see Barboza vs Pettis even if Barboza's chin means he'll probably never get a title shot

If Pettis loses the title at any stage the next fight they should make is Barboza/Pettis

Dunham is absurdly unlucky that his record is as bad as it is in the UFC, hopefully he gets an easy fight or two next

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07-16-2014 , 11:20 PM

#23912

Doge2016

grinder

Join Date: May 2014 Posts: 456

With a bit of blind luck today ended up okay after being on the wrong side of a few big upsets at the ATP, if Cerrone manages to pull one out I might even break even overall.

All the more to punt off tomorrow

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07-16-2014 , 11:30 PM

#23913

RB87

old hand

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 1,210

Hope that Miller can pull out the win seems like a good dude. Think he'll struggle to find his range though. Only bet for the card was Dunham so will be -1 for the night.

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07-16-2014 , 11:42 PM

#23914

elliot10181

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 2,720

Really happy with my miller bet at +225

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07-16-2014 , 11:42 PM

#23915

SwoopAE

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Good first round, 10-9 Miller, got the better of the standup plus two takedowns

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07-16-2014 , 11:44 PM

#23916

SwoopAE

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That should be a point he threw the knee after the ref called time

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07-16-2014 , 11:47 PM

#23917

elliot10181

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 2,720

bugger.....

to be fair cerrone should have had the finish on the body shot

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07-16-2014 , 11:47 PM

#23918

SwoopAE

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Impressive by Cerrone, Miller never really recovered from the maybe low blow maybe body shot

I think there's value fading Cerrone vs anyone in the top 6, I don't think he can beat any of them. I hope they give him Khabib. Khabib will destroy him.

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07-16-2014 , 11:51 PM

#23919

elliot10181

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 2,720

I must be missing something, Cerrone just looks so terrible early in the fights and then gets the job done.

He gets hit and hurt every fight,

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07-16-2014 , 11:54 PM

#23920

JN8

journeyman

Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 257

no low blow. filthy running tonight but a small save there, gj cerrone

khabib is a beast and will destroy most opponent most probably, been a big fan since his first ufc fights

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07-16-2014 , 11:54 PM

#23921

SwoopAE

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We got it in good at +225 despite the result, I would assume Miller wins just under half the time based on what we saw. Would happily take him at +225 again in a rematch.

We're going to win next time we fade Cerrone, I think the only guy in the top 6 he can beat is RDA and he already failed to beat him as we saw. Khabib will ragdoll him and hold his own standing, we saw what Pettis and Bendo have done to him, Melendez would just out-MMA him as the fight went on.

He could beat TJ Grant I guess but who knows when if ever he's coming back

Cerrone is just the #6-8 guy who will beat everyone ranked lower than him and lose to everyone ranked higher.

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07-16-2014 , 11:56 PM

#23922

JN8

journeyman

Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 257

never been knocked out and hes a crazy man who tunes up by getting hit, been something for the coaches to remind him of, was said in the broadcast

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07-17-2014 , 12:22 AM

#23923

yoyobo

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 4,140

Any idea on what is going on with the Tor fight?

Moved from -260 to -180. This fight has props available when no other fight does...all props available are for when/how Smith finishes, nothing to do with Tor.