Any chance u can book me 100 on that on 5d? Haven't got any $ there, can give you cash at the rio whenever?

+2565 is just ridiculous considering he's probably going to finish the fight half the time when he wins and he wins like 80-85%

Current bets:
Weidman 3U
Silver 1U
Gracie 1U

Also a couple of 5 fight accumulators .25U each

Can we go 50?

Machida should run through Davis. On one side you got like +10 years of someone doin karate succesfully in MMA and pretty much demolishing everyone in the standup except an excellent in shape Muay Thai specialist in Shogun(and maybe jones, but he got dropped due to the work Jones did on the ground) and on the other hand you got a very good wrestler but with very limited standup. I think Davis, just like Baders standup has hit a plateau, don't see them getting much better even if they train for 5 years. I mean, I can't think of anyone putting in like 3-4 years in the standup game, being average and then all of a sudden getting to that next level.
If he was going to have any good standup, we would have seen potential in his early years.

Swanson KO +280
Boetsch ITD +270

Both half unit plays.

Either Swanson by finish or Dennis Siver via dec imo.

50 would have been fine but it's +11xx now so the +26xx value is gone, if you got the bet on awesome let me know but assuming you didn't

I agree w/ swanson ko and siver dec double play being good although I personally only have a Siver straight up play

Pierce -370 looked good at the opener but missed it and it's like -650 now so whatever - this is basically a gimme for Pierce for some reason, I mean he goes from split decisions with the number one contender and beating mid level guys to fighting a total nobody, weird.

So far I have 5u on Anderson, 2.5u parlay on Anderson/Edgar/E.Silva who already won and 3u on Siver

Was hoping to get the Edgar sub prop at +26xx but guessing it's gone now

Was going to bet Boetsch but didn't get it on in time and probably going to leave it alone now that Munoz is in shape.

Barboza by KO seems tempting when the line opens, Pierce ITD seems tempting at +160 even though he's a decision machine he has power and it's likely to be one sided.

Yeah that Pierce ITD could be a value play. And yeah I didn't hop on that.

Silva looked great at the public training session,

Much more muscular than usual and very fast, not ideal for my 3U.....

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature...&v=6M9TVQwwm34

If you're looking to bet Anderson, the only thing that makes sense to me is ITD. Shouldn't this be like -175 given the fight line? How often is he winning by decision here?

Wow Jacare -210 def higher than I expected.

Yeah, don't really see AS winning by dec. Though, we maybe could be seeing a similar situation as the Demian Maia fight when AS won by decision. Idk though.

Adding:
Swanson by tko +425
Barboza by tko -130
Faber/Alcantara under 2.5r +140
Benavidez/Formiga under 2.5r +120

Also taking Silva by tko +125, and Baczynski ITD +210.

Silva by tko +125 is a vastly better line than -220 for the win.

All over Siver-Silva parlayed as I mentioned awhile ago. Frankie's too expensive now, gonna pass on him.

Small straight bets on:
Herman
Munoz

Bigger bets:
Siver
Silva

Siver/Silva are my two fav bets of the card too, may add more on both instead of bets all over the card this time - originally liked Boetsch line but its meh now, so are all of the other lines really, have Edgar in a decent sized parlay and might do a Barboza ITD play too, maybe Munoz/Boetsch under if it's still a decent dog on fight day

Couple small props:

0.25u Do Bronx dec +1275
0.5u Herman KO +330

Is Edgar even worth betting? He's such a huge favorite, beside Oliveira has a dangerous sub game and he has okey standup and is active on the feet, his problem has been he seems to fold a bit easy to strikes. Though that was at lw, he should fare better at featherweight. Though, Edgar is elite fighter. Iron will, good boxing game, cardio for days, he's pretty much beat 5 round i every 5 rounder. Also very important, he has good wrestling and good defensive wrestling/sub game, though only attempt I remember was a guillotine choke that bendo put him in, but he got out of that. Still, when does Oliviera become relevant to bet?

I got small bet on Oliveira. Would never bet Frankie at current odds.

I like anyone at +450 against a fighter who always goes the distance. loljudges

Was going to bet Boetsch, but I'm staying away from what fight I think, Munoz looks to be in very good shape. Also, AS down at a -224 at pinn. Ya'll on Silva should have waited, though, I think everyone predicted regular ppl would have bet on AS closer to the fight.

silva is probably one of the best bets of the year prediction silva waits and dodges what weidman throws then counters and kos him in one of the biggest mismatches of the year

0.5 on Oliviera at +450.
Munoz/Boetsch 2u at -152, over 2.5r
1u on siver at +190
3u on Andrew Craig at -155.
2u on Herman at +205. High variance match, gotta go with the underdog, feel both guys can finish each other.
1u Herman/gonzaga under 1.5r at -171. Also don't love it, since both guys coming off tko/sub loss, so they maybe will pace themselves, but then again, both guys are active on the feet, both have questionable chins.
Pierce/Mitchell
2u over 2.5 at -171. Both guys haven't been finished in their careers, and we have a wrestler vs a what I assume is grappling guy. Ought to go to decision.

Like Craig but wont pull the trigger since im going live and want to cheer for Leben

Might add more on Anderson, idk yet