MMA Thread - Page 307 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

Lines!

Already grabbed Cisco Rivera -190, also going to be betting Dunham at + money but Tibau's already getting backed so I'm gonna wait there. Thinking bout a Volkmann/Edwards parlay as well.

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01-29-2013 , 08:42 PM

#7652

SwoopAE

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Quote:

Originally Posted by kingofcool

No, the bet is cleared right after the fight, and no comission work can change it.

confirmed, ive bet both on and against fighters who tested positive for something or had wins overturned to NC due to headbutt ref missed etc, every time bet has stood

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01-29-2013 , 08:46 PM

#7653

SwoopAE

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im not on maia as i said a few times i just dont think theres value in the fitch line anymore

oveereem inside distance, edgar and dunham are probably the plays imo although the edgar odds are getting worse

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01-29-2013 , 08:48 PM

#7654

kingofcool

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Hieron is tough but i gotta love Woodley at -141.
Seems like money is coming in on Hieron aorn tho so i'll wait.

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01-29-2013 , 08:48 PM

#7655

kingofcool

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Not on Maia either, but i will be if the line keeps getting better.
Would definitely have bet Fitch at opening lines.

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01-29-2013 , 08:55 PM

#7656

grumpy64

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Quote:

Originally Posted by just_mo

What makes you think Evans is a much better striker? I think striking's pretty close here. Evans has tightened up some of the defensive issues that used to plague him back when Machida embarrassed him but he still tries to go for way too many home runs.

Hits harder and has quicker hands imo. On top of that he is quicker and btter at slipping a punch.

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01-29-2013 , 09:05 PM

#7657

just_mo

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He definitely hits harder but Nog is more technical with his strikes. Evans throws his punches too wide, which mitigates his quicker hands quite a bit.

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01-29-2013 , 11:34 PM

#7658

Nick Diaz

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Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 1,317

5u Reem v Big Foot (-350 @ ******)

I think horsemeat is delicious and Big Foot is slow. So yeah...

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01-30-2013 , 12:08 AM

#7659

just_mo

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Overeem ITD -230. Looks nice.

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01-30-2013 , 01:23 AM

#7660

theguy123

grinder

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 435

are most USA ppl betting parlays here using 5 dimes?

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01-30-2013 , 01:28 AM

#7661

just_mo

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Yes here.

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01-30-2013 , 01:39 AM

#7662

ruken

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Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 1,765

Fitch might actually finish Maia. Maia has a propensity to gas and isn't particularly durable. Maia has no functional advantage over Fitch since it's highly unlikely the fight will hit the floor, and Fitch has servicable striking and powerhouse wrestling.

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01-30-2013 , 01:27 PM

#7663

elliot10181

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 2,720

Quote:

Originally Posted by just_mo

He definitely hits harder but Nog is more technical with his strikes. Evans throws his punches too wide, which mitigates his quicker hands quite a bit.

+1

Both nogs are excellent amateur boxers and there was talk at one time of them trying out for the olympics. He lacks the power of Evans but his punches will be much straighter and therefore should land faster.

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01-30-2013 , 03:22 PM

#7664

grumpy64

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Quote:

Originally Posted by just_mo

He definitely hits harder but Nog is more technical with his strikes. Evans throws his punches too wide, which mitigates his quicker hands quite a bit.

Wouldn't you say evans has better defense? Nog gets hit a lot.

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01-30-2013 , 05:05 PM

#7665

just_mo

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Both of them get hit a lot, but Nog has the better chin. Evans' last four fights he's faced 4 decent to great strikers. All four either knocked him out or rocked him badly to the point where he was in danger of being finished.

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01-30-2013 , 06:26 PM

#7666

mulebennett

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Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 1,886

Lines moved really heavily against me today before I could bet them, ugh.

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01-30-2013 , 08:23 PM

#7667

traz

Werewolf Super*

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 33,259

Thoughts on Reem/Bigfoot u1.5 rounds (-183)? Looks pretty tempting to me, Reem's probably better than 65% to finish it there? Cormier and Cain both finished him in the first but I'm a little scared Reem will derp it up ala the Werdum fight.

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01-30-2013 , 08:35 PM

#7668

just_mo

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Ya I'm tempted by Overeem in round 1 at +100, thinking about arbing out of Overeem ITD as that will probably continue to climb and taking that instead.

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01-30-2013 , 10:02 PM

#7669

Nick Diaz

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Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 1,317

Quote:

Originally Posted by traz

but I'm a little scared Reem will derp it up ala the Werdum fight.

+1 here

If Reem decides to play rd 1 very safe you gonna sweat.

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01-31-2013 , 03:58 AM

#7670

SwoopAE

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overeem r1 is +130 now, starting to like it a lot

i'm on him straight up but i think r1 may be better value even if significantly riskier

also gonna get on dunham at evens since it isnt moving anymore once my sc2 bets for today clear and i have the funds free

feels like Edgar, Overeem and Dunham are the plays, although theres much less value on Edgar now than when I bet last week

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01-31-2013 , 03:59 AM

#7671

kingofcool

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Overeem play it kind of safe against good fighters though. Do not like that bet, but good luck if you put money on it!

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01-31-2013 , 04:59 AM

#7672

just_mo

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Silvas chin is just so awful tho.

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01-31-2013 , 06:05 AM

#7673

anteatereater

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Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 1,977

Dana White‏@danawhite

Verbal agreements are in for a heavyweight matchup with Cheick Kongo and Roy ‘Big Country’ Nelson at UFC 159 April 27 in Newark, New Jersey.

Also, Bisping/Belcher will fight that night - same night as jones-sonnen.