Adding 0.5u on Taleb ITD just because I can get +1100 on b365 and thats a ridic price compared to everywhere else. Made it a half unit on Markos ITD +1000 as well and upped my Browne bet to 5u at evens, seems like some moneys starting to come on him now too.
Yeah that was kind of a quick stoppage, ten seconds early for a juicy over. Marshman looked good before the head kick. Santos POTN helps some if he gets it as expected.
Added 0.25u on McMann wins in r1 +450 to go with my 3u McMann ITD +175 and also added 0.1u Hendricks wins in r2 +1200, I prefer the r3 line but wanted a little something there so I can switch sides if Lombard doesn't finish in r1
Adding 0.5u on Taleb ITD just because I can get +1100 on b365 and thats a ridic price compared to everywhere else. Made it a half unit on Markos ITD +1000 as well and upped my Browne bet to 5u at evens, seems like some moneys starting to come on him now too.
Cashed out my Zahabi wins in r3 bet for 1.76u a few secs into r3 seems way too high even though he should win the fight from here don't think he gets it quite that often
Turns out I had 0.2u on it not 0.1u like I thought/intended so the cashout isnt as ridiculous as I thought in real time but still pretty obviously +EV imo even though he looked better in the opening seconds of r3 vs right now to get the finish, got back something like 8.7x the bet on a +2000 price seems pretty crazy even though he got the knockdown late in r2
edit: Fight doesn't go the distance bricks for a unit but given my live cash out i'll definitely take winning a half unit for the fight instead of losing 1.2
Damn. Was worried this might get scored against Zahabi after the fight ended. 30-27 seems generous. Both my parlays still live meaning I essentially have McMann @ -130 and Esparza @ -124. Looking good!
30-27 does seem iffy. Zahabi has potential but is very green and needs to be brought up very slowly.
I like both Esparza and Markos and I'd like to see both of them get a win, but gogo Markos ITD I guess. If i'm going to lose one I don't mind if it's this one though.
No idea how to score that round, several minutes of nothing, a takedown by Esparza, a weird crucifix and punches from the bottom from Markos then some GnP at the end from Esparza
I think it might be 10-9 Markos due to the not very close sub attempt + punches from bottom crucifix thing but could go either way
No idea how to score that round, several minutes of nothing, a takedown by Esparza, a weird crucifix and punches from the bottom from Markos then some GnP at the end from Esparza
I think it might be 10-9 Markos due to the not very close sub attempt + punches from bottom crucifix thing but could go either way
More fun grappling less bad striking plz
I live bet Markos at +295 after R1 as I hope 2 judges gave it to Markos... she's hometown.
29-28 Esparza imo, but a lot of that due to the maybe illegal knee in r3 being the biggest strike of the fight, if there are two 29-28 scorecards then +775 was amazing as Markos was probably winning the third until the knee
R1 and 3 were actually very close, and if the knee didn't count due to being illegal Markos did more damage in r1/3, if the knee does count though as I assume it does it has to win Carla r3 and with it the fight
I've seen worse robberies and don't hate the spot at +775 but expecting a UD for Carla
Oh wow we get there. I had it for Esparza but whatever it was close and if you discount the knee as illegal in r3 which I assume judges cant do then r3 was for Markos and with it the fight. I feel ******ed not to have fired a full unit now knowing we were live if we win r3 given the true line would have been like Markos +150 after r2 if that was the case and livebet line was +775
Calling Carla a bully in a backhanded way after winning an iffy decision is pretty low, she must really hate her.
Somehow I wind up winning something like 1.5u for the fight after the prefight bet bricks due to the livebet and iffy judging in our favour
I'll take the heater I guess we've all been on the other side of it.
