Just woke up to watch the card.
For the sweats :

-Waterson
-Northcutt
-Faber
-Miller
-Barberena

Miller/Faber parlay


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Watching how useless Cole is, Sooooooooo wished BJ had fought him. Penn needed a can on his comeback fight.


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Can't believe I put money on perry. Dude has no idea how to deal with movemdnt

Just woke up, down 2.5u or so, will be back to 1.5u if Pickett survives the o2.5 rounds which is seeming likely

Tempted to bet KH by sub but just gonna keep the under for that fight I guess for a unit and I have 3u on Gall at an average of about -130 and 0.75u on Gall dec +733 average and 0.25u on Gall wins in r2 +500

Should be 20-17 going into 3rd

Added 1.5u total on KH SUB props at +2000 (r1) to +8000 (r5), got her to win in each round, weighted more heavily towards the middle rounds of the fight but with the longer odds for the later rounds

Let's go Gall and Waterson!

Was never a Faber fan but glad he gets a happy sendoff in his hometown with a win going out not on top, but without embarrassing himself by becoming a can

Yeah. Happy for Faber, he's a good dude.

Boom, r2 props hits, not as good as the dec prop but still +3.75u for the fight now and back in the black

Crazy that Gall dropped Sage standing, he still moves like a rookie on the feet but he's incredibly slick on the ground.

I hope we get another good post fight interview and callout from Gall, i'm a fan.

As long as he's training his striking with a top camp and keeps working towards his BJJ black belt he can definitely be top 15 in a couple years.

Gall did a mystic mac this time by calling the r2 sub

Now that's thinking outside the box, but he should have come up with a second 155 name in case Hardy isn't coming out of retirement

Count me in for Hardy vs Gall if Hardy's up for it. He's going to be a monster at 155 if he can make the weight and work on his takedowns

Added 1u on Waterson by sub or dec main event +160 to go with the sub props and the fight u4.5 rounds

Chasing.... Michelle Waterson (-119) vs Paige VanZant $833.00 for $700.00

Thought it was a bit odd to announce that he wa dropping to 155 from 170, then call out a 170 lbs welterweight. I give him credit for trying to find super relevant matchups that he can win, but don't think the call out was on point.

Congrats Jim

Boom, 0.3u of the 1.5u was on Waterson sub r1 so that hits at +2000 and 1.2u worth of my sub r2-5 props miss, and the under hits and Waterson by sub or dec hits

Nice card for me overall, up something like 9-10u for the card pretty big results for me in the main and comain

Also thanks to Jim for taking Waterson and the props convinced me to pull the trigger on Waterson sub props

http://www.bloodyelbow.com/2016/9/16...eight-division

Hardy wants to return at 155 if he does but yeah there's a risk Hardy isn't coming back and the callout is wasted

Touche, shows what I know lol, surprised Outlaw thinks he can make 155 at this stage, must have dropped some muscle because I recall him being a fairly solid 170er.

I still think Gall should have had a second name of an active fighter in case Hardy doesn't return but Hardy's still a big name and former title challenger plus after a few years off it could be a competitive fight, Gall is still green and Hardy coming off a long layoff etc

Added a unit on TJ -235, opening lines out

Kinda want to add more.

I don't see Cruz or TJ losing, 2u Cruz -188 1u TJ -235 so far

Also interested in the DHK line but havent fired it yet

My bookie opened lines
Holm 1.7 / Germaine 2.0
Aldo 1.7 / Holloway 2.0

Cruz + TJ +105 2u.

I'm actually considering firing this one too as well as both of them individually, I just don't see how either of them lose barring random super early r1 punchers chance. Cody's not ready or well rounded enough and only has a punchers chance and Cruz is the hardest guy to hit in the UFC arguably and TJ is just better at everything than Lineker except maybe power and chin and even thats probably close - he has better wrestling, footwork and movement and striking technique.

Got to go the fight night last night and was a lot of fun to see my first UFC event live. Also cashed on all 4 main card fights n parlayed them as well. Wish Faber would of gotten the finish cause the place was ready to explode but was still really fun nonetheless.

Completely agree. I think TJ and Cruz are just going to style both of them with footwork and movement.

I really want to bet them each seperately for 5u+ each. Just can't ever see how they win other than a random punch etc..

Yeah they're two of the highest ROI spots of the year I expect to have over 5u on both by the time all my bets are in between ml/minus points, might take Cruz ITD even if the price is reasonable as Cody may gas or get TKO'd or subbed if the skill gap is as big as I think after round one and its 5 rounds, -5.5 points seems good for Cruz too I doubt Cody gets more than one round very often at all. TJ -3.5 pts will probably be good too as I don't see Lineker winning a round unless he hurts TJ badly in the first which is unlikely.

Also probably going to play Rousey and DHK in some context, maybe props maybe straight up and Smolka is pretty tempting too

I'd love to see Werdum submit Cain again but less of a fan than I used to be after finding out about his 'friendship' with Kadyrov so if Cain knocks him out i'm okay with that too.

I'd be really curious to see how you'd fair taking any fighter like +190 n under long term. It feels like anytime a fight is like -165 to +120 or whatever your just better off taking the dog despite breakdowns in MMA. Would love to hear Swoop n Jim thoughts.