I'm on under 1.5 in Mir-Hunt as well... and dear gawd I hope that bet gets up because if it goes over that mark, that fight is gonna be basically unwatchable.

Yeah i'm hoping for a Hunt KO or Mir Sub to make the fight exciting, if it goes 4-5 rounds it's very likely to suck as if either guy gets in significant offense in their best area they should finish their opponent

Anderson Silva vs Uriah Hall in the works for UFC 198; this one should be an easy win for Anderson although there's always a chance Hall catches him given Silva's chin has faded badly but you'd have to think Anderson wants this one after the Bisping loss. You never know with Anderson these days though when he's coming forward aggressively no one can touch his standup still but his chin is no longer solid and he can wander around the cage doing nothing on occasion although Hall is guilty of that too

Might be value on Anderson UD if its 3 rounds?

Decided to pull the trigger on a half unit on Andrade at -106 and added 0.4u more on Mir/Hunt u1.5 to make it 0.9u total

Nakai is going to be tiny compared to Smith; will wait for weigh ins to decide what bet if any to make there. No play on the Aussie debutant as we have no idea about his skillset other than assuming he's a BJJ guy and don't really want -241 on Alan Patrick either despite his better resume, logically at evens you'd fade the debuting Aussie but who knows, especially with home crowd judging if it's close.

Jouban should wreck O'Reilly but not keen to lay -450 or more on him so whatever on that fight.

Rawlings/Ham i'd probably lean Rawlings as a small dog but I want to cheer against her so not betting it. Rawlings sucks against wrestlers but Ham is a striker... that said Rawlings has power but little technique so Ham could outwork her technically, idk. No play for that one.

Carlos probably KO's Kelly in r1 the way Alvey did but not willing to take wins in r1 at evens. Have made a lot betting on Kelly as a dog but not sure this is the right spot even in Australia

Kelly decision is +855 which is somewhat tempting too because if he does get the upset I think it'll be by grinding a decision.

Also added 0.4u on Lombard straight up at +115 or so, so I don't really lose for the fight if it goes to a Lombard decision, although play is weighted towards Lombard finishing

Do we have confirmation of whether it's the full size octagon in Brisbane?

Mir can't not take hunt down thus hunt wins

I took a look and couldn't find anything. Does anyone know?

Lombard off the sauce looks like he should be in 155 lb division.

Lombard looked as ripped as ever. He only looked short standing next to Neil Magny who towered over him.

Magny is tall/long reach for the division

Bit of money coming now on Case, Lombard and Mir by the look of things

LOL! Richard Kelly just posting on the Sherdog forums...

http://forums.sherdog.com/threads/uf...d-how.3202553/

I CANNOT find out what size the octagon is for Brisbane. Nobody but those privy are letting anyone know for some reason. Ask someone on social media? Blank response.

25ft or 30ft!? It's not the Colonel's secret recipe! You'd think the fighters &/or their teams would know! No, apparently they don't know either! It's crazy!

Wound up with a half unit Mir +134, booking a bet for a friend so I have a main sweat as I don't really love either side. I would normally lean Hunt but Mir seems to be steaming in so whatever. Bigger play on under anyway and if Mir loses itll usually be in the first 7:30 so all good

Kinda hope Walsh does win even though I put a small bet on Andrade. Decent among has come on Nakai, might do last minute there idk

Why would the size of the octagon be such a big ****ing secret ?

Have honestly no idea. Was so incensed I got Richard Walsh's name wrong. Still no word about what the octagon size is for tonight.

Meanwhile...here's where the money's apparently going:



I don't even know which website this was screenshot from but I grabbed it off Joey Oddessa's Twitter feed.

https://twitter.com/MMAOdds/status/711259748679569408

UFN 85 Risk $2668.07

Frank Mir (+150) vs Mark Hunt $100.00 for $150.00
Frank Mir/Mark Hunt Over 1½ (-110) $110.00 for $100.00
Frank Mir wins by submission (+305) $50.00 for $152.50
Frank Mir wins by 5 round decision (+1416) $50.00 for $708.00
Neil Magny (-120) vs Hector Lombard $120.00 for $100.00
Neil Magny wins in round 3 (+1300) $10.00 for $130.00
Johnny Case (-115) vs Jake Matthews $115.00 for $100.00
Antonio Carlos Junior-3½ points (-375) vs Daniel Kelly $187.50 for $50.00
James Te Huna (-230) vs Steve Bosse $230.00 for $100.00
James Te Huna wins by submission (+568) $20.00 for $113.60
Seo Hee Ham (-120) vs Bec Rawlings $120.00 for $100.00
Seo Hee Ham wins by 3 round decision (+150) $66.67 for $100.00
Bec Rawlings scorecards = no action (-195) vs Seo Hee Ham $195.00 for $100.00

Brendan O'Reilly (+415) vs Alan Jouban $40.00 for $166.00
Brendan O'Reilly +3½ points (+240) vs Alan Jouban $40.00 for $96.00
Brendan O'Reilly wins by 3 round decision (+700) $40.00 for $280.00
Not Alan Jouban wins in round 1 (-140) $105.00 for $75.00
Dan Hooker/Mark Eddiva Over 2½ (-137) $54.80 for $40.00
Rin Nakai (+135) vs Leslie Smith $50.00 for $67.50
Rin Nakai wins by 3 round decision (+200) $50.00 for $100.00
Richard Walsh (-110) vs Viscardi Andrade $55.00 for $50.00
Richard Walsh/Viscardi Andrade Over 2½ (-147) $73.50 for $50.00

Ross Pearson (+100) vs Chad Laprise $100.00 for $100.00
Ross Pearson scorecards = no action (+105) vs Chad Laprise $75.00 for $78.75
Ross Pearson/Chad Laprise Over 2½ (-240) $120.00 for $50.00
Ross Pearson/Chad Laprise goes 3 round distance (-205) $102.50 for $50.00
Alan Patrick -3½ points (-150) vs Damien Brown $60.00 for $40.00
Alan Patrick wins in round 1 (+325) $25.00 for $81.25
Alan Patrick wins by submission (+528) $20.00 for $105.60
Alan Patrick wins inside distance (+150) $40.00 for $60.00

Fights to go distance over 5½ (-104) $41.60 for $40.00
Fights to go distance over 6½ (+266) $25.00 for $66.50
Fights to go distance over 7½ (+732) $15.00 for $109.80
Fights to go distance over 8½ (+2525) $10.00 for $252.50
Fights to go distance over 9½ (+11700) $5.00 for $585.00

Seo Hee Ham/Bec Rawlings FOTN award winner (+1000) $10.00 for $100.00

Parlay:
Seo Hee Ham/Bec Rawlings Over 2½ (-225) + Antonio Carlos Junior (-500) vs Daniel Kelly $136.50 for $100.10

Jimmy you adding to Magny now that the line has moved so much? This line is swinging around like crazy

Missed the move big on Hunt, I bet too early :/ I didn't think it would take till today to shift the line if it was gonna move this much. Fml


Also, are we allowed to offer lines in this thread?

I was tempted to add more when Magny climbed back up to +100 a little while ago, but I'm a little gun shy after UFC 196 when I had top loaded the co-main and main events with much bigger bets than the undercard fights which mostly lost and gave back all my earlier profits as a result. So I'm keeping it a little more even across the board pre-fight and will hopefully find some good live betting opportunities tonight.

Looks to my untrained eye that it's the 30ft cage being used.

https://twitter.com/ufc/status/711294768505085958

Definitely went to early, bovada put out props today. I'm pretty huge on Hunt

$1450 to win @-175
$300 to win inside distance at -115?
$100 to win in R1 at +250
$100 to win in R2 at +550

Wow - 10-10 score in round 3 from one judge in the Pearson fight

Walsh gave that fight away. Glad I bet him small.

Couldn't agree more. His TD defense was awful and his urgency to stand up was worse.

If Nakai gets this it's such a tardoff by Smith in the 3rd.

The oddsmakers had things right the first 3 fights. Very Close matches.

is it just me or does nakai seems ridiculously easy to hit....hmmm maybe its just cuz womens mma