Don't normally do a lot of parlays unless I have guys who I think are damn near locks to win, but I'm trying a few for 149 (mostly involving lombard and ebersole), lets see if it pans out...
think i might be eating my words and switching to jordan. Kongo is one of those guys i ALWAYS lose money on, and thinking about it, guys at massive reach disadvantages have often found a way to hit him [insert head movement joke here].
My bellator plays for tonight (which mean nothing because they were all made simply because I'm a degen who wanted tonights card to be more interesting):
got back on barao and booked a couple of units a -190. I had watched some tape on both him and faber and wobbled a bit, then went back to my origional feelings that when the lesser known guy is a 2 to 1 favorite fighting in sort of the homeland of his opponent, there's probably a decent reason.
put 2u to win .5 u on TWAS at -400, hate the price, but sheesh, pretty sure this is free moneys.
ended up switching to jordan for a unit at -130...i realized that the +8 reach isnt' going to make much difference if Pat Barry nearly KO'd him. Jordan is young and hungry, while Kongo is gettin pretty close to retirement, imo. Also, the +17 pounds at weigh in gave me more reason to feel sorta comfortable laying -130 against the veteran.
Last but not least snagged lombard at a very reasonable, -325 for 3 units...i just think this guy has been sent here as a food rat for the spider, i dont think they're gonna give him a fight he can lose before then.
Don't mind the Amoussou bet but when did Spiritwolf drop to +125? I probably would have bet Zaromskis at -140 or whatever but he was north of -200 when I saw...
Don't mind the Amoussou bet but when did Spiritwolf drop to +125? I probably would have bet Zaromskis at -140 or whatever but he was north of -200 when I saw...
woop mixed the numbers up, would never have taken spiritwolf at 125.
Took Clarke, Kongo and Ring for a unit each. Heard Clarke is really good from a friend of mine who was an amateur wrestler etc. and apparently knows a bunch about his camp and he's a dog so figured why not, and I think Ring can decision McGee a lot so why not at evens, plus Kongo only loses to good fighters for the most part and Jordan hasn't proven he's a good fighter yet, and he's a dog so feels like an okay spot.
May also make an odds play on Boetsch, either way on main if the line moves and potentially on Caraway and/or Ebersole if the odds get better
Decided to take Clements too as he's a dog, the 411 guys (even though they are fish) picked him 6-0 over Riddle, and I was thinking to myself he's been more impressive than Riddle and thought I must have been missing something.
Might make it 2u on those four guys, given 3 are slight underdogs if I go 2/4 thats a win, and I think I get 3 slightly more than 1.
Clements, Ring, Kongo, Clarke it is I guess. I kinda want to pick Perosh too but I won't because he's, well, bad at striking, and not an elite wrestler for a ground specialist. Caraway and Ebersole are tempting but no real value and Boetsch should lose but i'm tempted since he's a dog, will prob skip it I guess. Sort of want to play the odds on Faber too but I dislike him and like Barao who should win over half the time and don't want to ruin my enjoyment of the fight in a marginal spot by betting on the guy I want to lose