MMA Thread - Page 1140 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

Added another quarter unit on Mir +191

I think I like what you're doing here Tom. Alcantara wins, take all the dogs, and profit assuming Poogs prices aren't good enough to beat you, and take the 2nd biggest fav if you need to?

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02-22-2015 , 09:32 PM

#28477

SwoopAE

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This really is day of the underdogs

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02-22-2015 , 09:36 PM

#28478

yoyobo

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 4,140

This is getting ugly for me. What I deserve for waiting until the last minute to make all my picks.

Need to go near perfect on my next couple of bets just to break even.

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02-22-2015 , 09:40 PM

#28479

SwoopAE

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Putting a quarter unit on over 2.5 for this one, Alcantara is a human blanket with occasional cardio issues so i'm betting on Saenz surviving 12:30 at +135

Usually I prefer unders on fights with a big fav, but I think Alcantara is a bit of a decision machine and his opponent's only been finished once, by KO and Alcantara is more likely to finish by sub if he does

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02-22-2015 , 09:52 PM

#28480

TomCowley

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Adding Martins +375, Alvey +310, Johnson +131 for the challenge

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02-22-2015 , 09:54 PM

#28481

SwoopAE

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Was so close to firing Saenz. lol at all of the squares on Alcantara at -900

Alcantara should win but he has the fight IQ of a peanut

In before he loses all 3 rounds and gets decision anyway, it's 1-1 in brazil prob but could be 2-0 as r1 was a flip with the end

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02-22-2015 , 09:55 PM

#28482

SwoopAE

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Quote:

Originally Posted by TomCowley

Adding Martins +375, Alvey +310, Johnson +131 for the challenge

I like your strat but im going to laugh so hard at the failure if the -900 fav manages to throw this fight away

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02-22-2015 , 09:59 PM

#28483

yoyobo

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Lol at me changing my mind last minute on betting Saenz. Opened the bet and typed in my bet amount, then second thought it..

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02-22-2015 , 10:02 PM

#28484

SwoopAE

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ffs now the judges have an excuse to give Alcantara the decision.

In before 30-27 Alcantara x3

I kinda hope Saenz gets the nod because Alcantara sucks. I'd love to see Alcantara get crushed by a top 5 BW too though

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02-22-2015 , 10:05 PM

#28485

SwoopAE

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So Poogs, did you bet any dogs this card? LOL

Khabilov should break the streak though

I think Poogs winning this hard means we have a standing Poogs vs Thread prop every card from now on?

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02-22-2015 , 10:05 PM

#28486

yoyobo

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There is no excuse to give the third to Alcantara. 30-27. No other scores could possibly be defended

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02-22-2015 , 10:05 PM

#28487

yoyobo

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Quote:

Originally Posted by SwoopAE

So Poogs, did you bet any dogs this card? LOL

Khabilov should break the streak though

I hope not. Got Martins. Think this is a really close fight.

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02-22-2015 , 10:05 PM

#28488

TomCowley

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LOLFFS pm me the info.

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02-22-2015 , 10:07 PM

#28489

SwoopAE

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I'm still shocked we didn't get a SD Alcantara there

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02-22-2015 , 10:07 PM

#28490

yoyobo

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Pennington +600 vs Holm??

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02-22-2015 , 10:08 PM

#28491

SwoopAE

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Quote:

Originally Posted by yoyobo

I hope not. Got Martins. Think this is a really close fight.

I think Khabilov ragdolls him. He's not on Khabib's level but he's good enough. Masvidal is WAY better than he gets credit for.

Going to be annoyed if he wins but doesnt cover the spread but I think it's a good line, way better than ML (if anything Martins side is better for ML)

I think Khabilov will stick to him like glue and not lose rounds but who knows

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02-22-2015 , 10:15 PM

#28492

LasFuentes

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 1,889

Martins looks good on the feet but even if he does get suplexed he's got good bjj and wouldn't be surprised to see him pull off a sub. Imo he's the most +ev bet of the card for me, but then again maybe Khabilov does to him what Khabib did to Dos Anjos.

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02-22-2015 , 10:20 PM

#28493

SwoopAE

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wow that takedown is so awful for my -3.5 bet

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02-22-2015 , 10:22 PM

#28494

SwoopAE

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Looks like I need a finish or a 10-8 round. I'd have probably laid +800 on Martins landing the first TD the fight

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02-22-2015 , 10:25 PM

#28495

SwoopAE

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Khabilov seems to have forgotten he is a grappler fighting a striker

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02-22-2015 , 10:27 PM

#28496

SwoopAE

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If this ends up 29-28 Khabilov x3 on my first -3.5 HCP bet ever i'm going to be so sad

This fight is so awful so far

Not sure if that shot stole the round for Martins in r2, possibly. Hopefully Khabib fights for a finish

I wonder what parlaying Martins with the last 5 dogs would have paid lol if he wins

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02-22-2015 , 10:28 PM

#28497

yoyobo

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Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 4,140

Quote:

Originally Posted by SwoopAE

Khabilov seems to have forgotten he is a grappler fighting a striker

Martins BJJ > his striking.

Makes me really upset I didn't bet more. I knew it was a great bet.

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02-22-2015 , 10:31 PM

#28498

SwoopAE

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Looks like Benson stole Khabilov's soul. I've never seen him scared and tentative like this.

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02-22-2015 , 10:32 PM

#28499

SwoopAE

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I have literally never won a prop on 5d. Ever. I'm like 0/8 now.

On this plus side I could be down a lot more if Reneau hadn't won and can still win for the card if Barboza and Mir win.