MMA Thread - Page 1094 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

Jones has it ***** all, he can fight at distance, close range, get takedowns vs olympic caliber wrestlers, clinch and rest when winning. The size advantage he has helps a bit too, just so hard to get in and land punches vs him.

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01-04-2015 , 02:00 AM

#27327

Sect7G

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Quote:

Originally Posted by JN8

rly impressive perfomance by jon

Absolutely. His skills are on par with the very best in nearly all aspects of MMA. What allows him to win is the size/reach.

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01-04-2015 , 02:01 AM

#27328

SwoopAE

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Great fight, probably the second closest anyone's come to beating Jones... it makes Gustafsson's performance even more impressive given he was going to win the fight until the elbow at the end of r4.

Can't wait to bet Gustafsson over Rumble now, we will not be denied a rematch to 2014's fight of the year.

Don't know exactly how I ended up but it'll be up or down less than a unit.

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01-04-2015 , 02:01 AM

#27329

OMGmartingale

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 440

cormier looked gassed in rounds 4-5.

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01-04-2015 , 02:03 AM

#27330

Exothermic

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Gusta or rumble vs bones will be gr8 regardless of who wins.

I think jones beats cain as well.

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01-04-2015 , 02:04 AM

#27331

SwoopAE

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So who does Cormier fight from here? I doubt he can make 185 to fight Weidman and he won't go back to HW while Cain is champ (although I assume he will if Werdum wins the belt)

Beat 2-3 contenders and try and get another shot at Jones I guess. Probably make most sense for him to fight the Gustafsson/Rumble loser while the winner gets Jones for the belt.

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01-04-2015 , 02:06 AM

#27332

Exothermic

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Quote:

Originally Posted by SwoopAE

He's good as an announcer for fox sports 1, he probably retires, the guy is 35 & he will only get slower etc from here.

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01-04-2015 , 02:06 AM

#27333

TomCowley

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Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 5,649

Jones looked gassed in the 2nd and Cormier gassed in the 3rd, but gassed Jones >> gassed Cormier

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01-04-2015 , 02:09 AM

#27334

SwoopAE

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I hope they make the Jones/Cain superfight (if cain still holds the belt) after the Gustafsson/Rumble winner. After this performance i'm starting to believe Jones can win that fight (especially if it's at a catchweight of 220 or whatever)

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01-04-2015 , 02:09 AM

#27335

SwoopAE

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Exothermic

He's good as an announcer for fox sports 1, he probably retires, the guy is 35 & he will only get slower etc from here.

Depends if he wants to get paid, I mean he's still clearing six figures a fight and while he probably won't be champ, he can earn one more title shot with 2-3 wins which let's face it he should get (I can't see anyone except Jones and maybe Gustafsson beating him at LHW). Probably depends how much money he has, if he wants to make another couple mill he can fight another year and a half or so, work his way back to another title shot and then retire if he loses a rematch to Jones (or whoever the champ is)

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01-04-2015 , 02:11 AM

#27336

TomCowley

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Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 5,649

Rematch might be interesting if DC basically abandons spending energy on takedowns and just tries to mix it up on the feet. He was actually doing just fine before he gassed.

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01-04-2015 , 02:12 AM

#27337

JN8

journeyman

Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 257

gus rumble is going to be awesome at the very big tele2 arena, got nice seats as well, rly looking forward to it now, my friend has been rly big on gus for a long time, and now im rly into a rematch....

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01-04-2015 , 02:12 AM

#27338

Exothermic

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Quote:

Originally Posted by SwoopAE

^^^ Bro did you really just state that rumble has no shot at beating DC?, rumble could potentially beat them all. I think it's close between all 4 of them tbh. Difference is DC is out of his prime athletically n by the time he gets another shot he is like 37 or so & he won't be the same. Time to hang it up imo.

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01-04-2015 , 02:13 AM

#27339

JN8

journeyman

Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 257

retirement is certainly out of the question, i feel pretty certain he will stay at lhw and go for another shot at jon for some years more

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01-04-2015 , 02:15 AM

#27340

Sect7G

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Quote:

Originally Posted by SwoopAE

That's probably his best game plan.

As for Jones obv. he will have to fight Gus or Johnson next... if he defends I think the UFC should offer him more money to fight as a HW as the LHW will start to look like the flyweight/HW division where no one really thinks a challenger has a chance in hell which is bad for business.

Jones fighting 1-2 times as a HW before fighting Cain makes good business sense. Or Weidman steps up to the plate at lhw... which I think is a bad move from his perspective as there is a ton of MW's to give him a go.

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01-04-2015 , 02:17 AM

#27341

SwoopAE

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Exothermic

I'll snap take DC against Rumble for any fight that happens in next 12 mths at -150 if you want

Rumble is good, but his best win is Phil Davis. I don't think he beats any of Jones/Gustafsson/Cormier. I don't think he'd beat Machida either if he was still at LHW and i'm skeptical he can even beat past his prime Evans.

If he beats Gustafsson he'll make me a believer

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01-04-2015 , 02:19 AM

#27342

WSPreadHead

old hand

Join Date: Sep 2010 Posts: 1,426

so I had a prop bet with Cormier (+4.5 points) at 5Dimes and it was graded a loss, why? If all 3 judges had it 49-46?

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01-04-2015 , 02:20 AM

#27343

anteatereater

old hand

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 1,977

two judges gave cormier r2 and one gave him r3

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01-04-2015 , 02:24 AM

#27344

anteatereater

old hand

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 1,977

Quote:

Originally Posted by WSPreadHead

so I had a prop bet with Cormier (+4.5 points) at 5Dimes and it was graded a loss, why? If all 3 judges had it 49-46?

Because he lost by 9?

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01-04-2015 , 02:26 AM

#27345

Nick Diaz

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 1,317

I had it 2-2 going into the 5th but Was very ok with the final scorecards.

Great main event, props to Jon he has beaten the who is who of his division and continues to evolve.

Wow Cardo Urso gave Jones the 2nd. that's pretty bad.

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01-04-2015 , 02:33 AM

#27346

yoyobo

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Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 4,140

Quote:

Originally Posted by SwoopAE

Ill take it for $100.

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01-04-2015 , 02:42 AM

#27347

PhatPots

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Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 3,986

Quote:

Originally Posted by JN8

rly impressive perfomance by jon

Impressive? I thought they both looked awful. Both fighters seemed gassed in the second round.

The fight seemed like it would go the distance in the middle of the second round, and I really hate fights like that.

I think as someone else stated, that gassed jones > gassed DC

I am not as good as judging fights as other people on this forum, but I honestly thought DC might and I stress might (because I could have gone either way) have won the first 3 rounds (but they were very close).

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01-04-2015 , 02:44 AM

#27348

Joe Pulaski

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dc never ever ever wins 1 or 3.

cerrone saved my card, was down then went huge on him when the line dipped to -120 and below. was gonna bet big on jury if it got to +200. Profitable card but could have gone pretty south for me if cerrone didnt win.

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01-04-2015 , 02:51 AM

#27349

OTPCook

centurion

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 132

Quote:

Originally Posted by Joe Pulaski

dc never ever ever wins 1 or 3.

Except one of the judges gave Cormier round 3.

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01-04-2015 , 03:05 AM

#27350

yoyobo

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Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 4,140

Quote:

Originally Posted by yoyobo

Dufresne -175 (3u)
Nilsson +145 (1u)
Castilio -230 (2u)
Burkmam +550 (0.5u)
Gaudinot +550 (1u)
Tavares +115 (4u)
Cerrone -190 (1u)
Jones -165 (3u)

Damn via dec +850 (1u)
Tavares via KO +430 (1u)
Cerrone via KO +375 (1u)
Jones via sub +600 (0.5u)
Dufresne/Reneau u1.5 +300 (0.5u)

o1.5 subs on main card +375 (0.5u)
Tavares POTN +1200 (0.5u)
Jones/Cormier FOTN +200 (0.5u)

Feel really good about this one.

ufc 182: 4-12, -4.04u

YTD: 4-12, -4.04u

****ty way to start 2015. Going to try and keep track of all bets this year with the aim of 50u+. Hopefully this keeps me more focused on making only +ev bets. Hopefully UFN 59 will put me in the black.

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