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01-03-2015 , 03:03 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JimGunn
What sportsbook has POTN props available? I always bet a FOTN and Fastest KO & Fastest Sub props at 5Dimes.
888 sport.

Pretty terrible lines for the most part. Every once and a while there is a hidden gem to be found.

Can't check prop lines on mobile site, think Lombard POTN was +375 though
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01-03-2015 , 03:18 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mixt
Already have money on Jury, Cormier and Tavares (luckily got on Jury before the steam).

Do you guys think value is in Jury by Sub +1200?
No. Jury struggled to grapple with Ricci.

If you really want that bet I'll give it to you at +1500 though.
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01-03-2015 , 04:23 AM
I've got
1 unit on Tavares at +120
1.6 units Lombard vs Burkman inside the distance -160
0.5 units on Gaudinot at +550.

Got a small arb on Jury for 0.1 units due to the price change and a few Euro books holding at +160.

Can't wait for tonight hate that most UFC events start at 03.00 am in the UK but going to have to stay up for this one.
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01-03-2015 , 04:27 AM
Anyone want to give me +350 for POTN on Lombard? (me risking 50 vs your 175) - settle up on Stars or whatever other method

Just quote my post with booked before the start of the card if you're a regular poster ITT
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01-03-2015 , 04:32 AM
Just noticed Gaudinot wins in r3 has been bet in to +305, and Not Gaudinot R3 is -1115. Gaudinot R3 got bet in from +28xx.

... he's +500ish, surely if he wins it isn't in r3 anywhere near half the time, no idea wtf is going on there. Is that line actually live? By comparison, Gaudinot wins in r2 is +1900 lol
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01-03-2015 , 06:27 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SwoopAE
Just noticed Gaudinot wins in r3 has been bet in to +305, and Not Gaudinot R3 is -1115. Gaudinot R3 got bet in from +28xx.

... he's +500ish, surely if he wins it isn't in r3 anywhere near half the time, no idea wtf is going on there. Is that line actually live? By comparison, Gaudinot wins in r2 is +1900 lol
Probably just an error I think, Wins fight of the night has come in from +900 to +500 as well.
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01-03-2015 , 10:00 AM
Bad Blood Picks :

4u Cannonier +190
3,4u Tavares +125
2,6u Jury +138
1,2u Jones -175
1,2u Castillo -225
1,2u Dufresne -188
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01-03-2015 , 04:14 PM
can anyone explain the late movement on the cowboy line? i expected it to keep climbing towards cerrone, not for all the late money to come in on jury?

i like the -150ish a lot, but im a lil scurred to fade the late steam as if maybe everyone knows something i dont?
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01-03-2015 , 04:15 PM
Regarding those POTN props- Unibet has them for every fighter on the card tonight, many at really good odds. Plus some other special props like over/unders on how many decisions, submissions and KOs there will be on the main card. Sucks many of us can't play there.
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01-03-2015 , 06:03 PM
Speaking of special props, 5Dimes just this afternoon opened up some new markets for special props for this card with over/unders and exact props on the number of fights to go the distance as well as end by sub and by KO. I made a couple of bets:

Fights to go Distance over 5½ (+141) $40.00 for $56.40
Fights to end in Submission over 2½ (+358) $15.00 for $53.70
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01-03-2015 , 06:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by yoyobo
No. Jury struggled to grapple with Ricci.

If you really want that bet I'll give it to you at +1500 though.
Nah that's ok, I've been making some decent money off method of victory props lately (unsure if it's variance or real) and was unsure about that line. I'm aware of cerrone's guard but thought Jury might end up with something sneaky since he has a pretty solid BJJ game.

I just chucked it into a small parlay to at least have something on it.
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01-03-2015 , 07:08 PM
Hey guys

I'm at MGM and have a spare ticket section 3 row p on ticketmaster $530

I'm anyone's in town pm me and make offer. If not I'll sell in poker room

Can't wait for this one!
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01-03-2015 , 07:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by elliot10181
Hey guys

I'm at MGM and have a spare ticket section 3 row p on ticketmaster $530

I'm anyone's in town pm me and make offer. If not I'll sell in poker room

Can't wait for this one!
Man, UFC tickets are expensive. I went to an Elite XC event here in Miami years ago just for the experience and it was fun and all but I'd rather watch on tv most of the time.
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01-03-2015 , 07:19 PM
Thanks for the find. Signed up for an account just then.

Added 0.5u Lombard wins Performance of the Night +400

Seems like if he finishes Burkman he's 50%+ to get it and I think he does about half the time so good spot imo
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01-03-2015 , 07:19 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JimGunn
Man, UFC tickets are expensive. I went to an Elite XC event here in Miami years ago just for the experience and it was fun and all but I'd rather watch on tv most of the time.
I always buy the cheapest ones available then relocate to a better unused seat if it's not a sellout. I'd imagine that's not the cheapest tier of ticket

Have fun at the event Elliot

fwiw i've been to I think 5 events (110 116 132 UFN Brisbane and 162) and average price i've paid is $200ish (ranging from 100-300)

It's worth it though nothing beats the atmosphere live, unless the event sucks (UFN Brisbane was awful but the Hunt vs Bigfoot main event kinda saved it, other than that i've been lucky and all 4 events were exciting)

Planning to do UFC 189 this year when i'm in Vegas (unless i'm deep in the main event), any TUF finale card if there's one on in Vegas plus the November Melbourne PPV (193 I think?) if the card is decent as well.

Last edited by SwoopAE; 01-03-2015 at 07:32 PM.
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01-03-2015 , 07:30 PM
My pre-fight action tonight:

UFC 182 Risk $1012.30

Jon Jones (-155) vs Daniel Cormier $155.00 for $100.00
Daniel Cormier +4½ points (-135) vs Jon Jones $54.00 for $40.00
Jones/Cormier Over 4½ rounds (-115) $57.50 for $50.00
Jon Jones wins by 5 round decision (+235) $25.00 for $58.75
Donald Cerrone (-185) vs Myles Jury $74.00 for $40.00
Myles Jury +3½ points (-150) vs Donald Cerrone $45.00 for $30.00
Nate Marquardt (-135) vs Brad Tavares $67.50 for $50.00
Louis Gaudinot (+600) vs Kyoji Horiguchi $25.00 for $150.00
Louis Gaudinot wins by submission (+1450) $10.00 for $145.00
Hector Lombard wins inside distance (-137) $54.80 for $40.00
Lombard/Burkman Under 1½ rounds (+135) $30.00 for $40.50

Paul Felder (+200) vs Danny Castillo $40.00 for $80.00
Cody Garbrandt (+170) vs Marcus Brimage $40.00 for $68.00
Shawn Jordan wins by TKO/KO (-125) $37.50 for $30.00
Dunham/Damm Over 2½ rounds (-175) $70.00 for $40.00

Nilsson/Akhmedov won't start round 3 (-135) $54.00 for $40.00
Mats Nilsson wins by submission (+475) $10.00 for $47.50
Alexis Dufresne (-170) vs Marion Reneau $68.00 for $40.00
Alexis Dufresne wins by TKO/KO (+350) $10.00 for $35.00

Jones/Cormier FOTN award winner (+255) $10.00 for $25.50
Alexis Dufresne wins Fastest KO (+4000) $10.00 for $400.00
Mats Nilsson wins Fastest SUB (+700) $10.00 for $70.00

Fights to go Distance over 5½ (+141) $40.00 for $56.40
Fights to end in Submission over 2½ (+358) $15.00 for $53.70
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01-03-2015 , 07:43 PM
Updated mine w last minute bets etc

5u Jones -159
3.5u Castillo -211
1u Marquardt -129
1u Gaudinot +566
1u Garbrandt +170
1u Jury +141
0.8u Lombard ITD -130
0.5u Lombard wins Performance of the Night +400
0.5u Castillo ITD +236
0.5u Dufresne -172
0.5u Jordan -180
0.35u Akhmedov -165
0.25u Cannonier/Jordan u1.5 -146
0.25u Lombard -512
0.05u All 10 of my fighter picks +44000 (this is going to be a fun sweat if it gets to Gaudinot)
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01-03-2015 , 08:03 PM
Here we go, let's get hyped!

Feeling good about this card
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01-03-2015 , 08:04 PM
So pumped! Hopefully Dufresne starts is off well.
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01-03-2015 , 08:12 PM
Dufresne looks absolutely terrible
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01-03-2015 , 08:13 PM
i'm kinda big on bones, cowboy, and a little on nasty nate and castillo, as well as some degen parlays.

also feel like the prices on lombard and horiguchi got a lil out of control and had to fade for a fun lil sweat.

looking forward to this card more than any in months.

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01-03-2015 , 08:19 PM
Dufresne might be the worst female fighter in the UFC does not look UFC caliber at all plus missed weight twice, I think she's cut after this
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01-03-2015 , 08:19 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SwoopAE
Dufresne looks absolutely terrible
It really looks like she's never fought before.
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01-03-2015 , 08:20 PM
Dufresne is just insanely bad, wtf

How did Moras almost lose to her
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01-03-2015 , 08:22 PM
haha oh wow. this line for this fight. whats true line reneau -2000? 3000? i cant think of a way this lanky chick ever wins.
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