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MLB 2016 Betting Discussion MLB 2016 Betting Discussion

06-20-2016 , 08:32 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by hfrog355
L M's +185
L Cards -155
W ARI/PHI u9 -110
L WAS/SD u8 -105
5/19: 1-3 -2.6 units
YTD: 175-178-5 -7.38 units

I refuse to believe that the Rangers are this good.

Nats +174
Mariners -119
Rays +118
TB/CLE u8 +120
WAS/LAD u5.5 -115
MLB 2016 Betting Discussion Quote
06-20-2016 , 11:50 AM
Big stupid parlay to get a Monday going.

+700:
BAL/TEX o9. 5
CHW/BOS o10
Rox 1st 5 ML
MLB 2016 Betting Discussion Quote
06-20-2016 , 01:43 PM
1u plays
Tigers +128
Bosox -210
Texas +110

1.5u plays
Cubs -160
Astros -145
MLB 2016 Betting Discussion Quote
06-20-2016 , 01:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by hfrog355
Big stupid parlay to get a Monday going.

+700:
BAL/TEX o9. 5
CHW/BOS o10
Rox 1st 5 ML
Who doesn't love to watch someone else's parlay... GL!!
MLB 2016 Betting Discussion Quote
06-20-2016 , 02:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by hfrog355

I refuse to believe that the Rangers are this good.
I'm riding that wagon till the wheels fall off .
MLB 2016 Betting Discussion Quote
06-20-2016 , 02:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Parnish

-- 06-19 --

Marlins -130
Orioles -101
Rangers +127
Indians -162
Giants +125
06/19: 5-0 +5.52u
YTD: 22-17 +8.61u

--- 06/20 ----

Giants -1.5 (-115)
Indians -124
Cubs -160
Rangers +105
MLB 2016 Betting Discussion Quote
06-20-2016 , 02:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Parnish
06/19: 5-0 +5.52u
YTD: 22-17 +8.61u

--- 06/20 ----

Giants -1.5 (-115)
Indians -124
Cubs -160
Rangers +105
Nice day!
MLB 2016 Betting Discussion Quote
06-20-2016 , 02:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Parnish
06/19: 5-0 +5.52u
YTD: 22-17 +8.61u

--- 06/20 ----

Giants -1.5 (-115)
Indians -124
Cubs -160
Rangers +105
I know its the STL vs the Rays but Lackey at home is cheaper than Bumgarner on the road. Seems nuts to me. Granted MG is awesome, but Lackey has arguably been the Cubs' best starter.
MLB 2016 Betting Discussion Quote
06-20-2016 , 04:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Codebreaker
I know its the STL vs the Rays but Lackey at home is cheaper than Bumgarner on the road. Seems nuts to me. Granted MG is awesome, but Lackey has arguably been the Cubs' best starter.
Errr Pirates not Rays hosting SF...
MLB 2016 Betting Discussion Quote
06-20-2016 , 07:22 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Codebreaker
I know its the STL vs the Rays but Lackey at home is cheaper than Bumgarner on the road. Seems nuts to me. Granted MG is awesome, but Lackey has arguably been the Cubs' best starter.
Yeah .. Bumgarner, Kershaw and a few others are overpriced most of the time and I rarely find a spot to get value betting on them, but every once in a while a spot looks good (usually on the run line or vs another ace).
MLB 2016 Betting Discussion Quote
06-20-2016 , 07:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Parnish
Yeah .. Bumgarner, Kershaw and a few others are overpriced most of the time and I rarely find a spot to get value betting on them, but every once in a while a spot looks good (usually on the run line or vs another ace).
And just to be clear I wasn't knocking your bet. I really like MG, I was just surprised by the line on Lackey. His highs have been a notch lower than Arrieta but he's had much less process variance in his results. It's like he will give you an A grade every time, and while he won't give you an A+ he also will not give you below a B+.
MLB 2016 Betting Discussion Quote
06-20-2016 , 10:52 PM
Do steam moves ever win? Really is getting to the point where I'm going to just take the other side and lock in my 2% of 6000 every day.
MLB 2016 Betting Discussion Quote
06-21-2016 , 12:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by hfrog355
Cancel (Stras got scratched)Nats +174
L Mariners -119
L Rays +118
L TB/CLE u8 +120
Cancel WAS/LAD u5.5 -115
L +700:BAL/TEX o9.5-CHW/BOS o10-Rox 1st 5 ML
5/20: 0-4 -4.19 units
YTD: 175-182-5 -11.57 units

It's so good to be back on the grind in the thread.
MLB 2016 Betting Discussion Quote
06-21-2016 , 08:24 AM
Pads +182
Snakes +175
Mets -172
Reds +178
COL/NYY u9./5 -110
MLB 2016 Betting Discussion Quote
06-21-2016 , 09:09 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by The IRS
Do steam moves ever win? Really is getting to the point where I'm going to just take the other side and lock in my 2% of 6000 every day.
Yes they do, more like 20% win and 80% lose. Like the Giants today for example, they will win.
MLB 2016 Betting Discussion Quote
06-21-2016 , 09:16 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by hfrog355

I refuse to believe that the Rangers are this good.
Don't get your emotion involved in picking games. Any team will have a fair chance of winning and losing. If I was you, I would stay outside and observe Rangers from now on, their winning streak is about to snap, doesn't look like today is the day for me. But would I play that game? I don't think so.
MLB 2016 Betting Discussion Quote
06-21-2016 , 01:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Codebreaker
1u plays
Tigers +128
Bosox -210
Texas +110

1.5u plays
Cubs -160
Astros -145
Day 3-2 -.62u
Ytd: 38-28 +6.345
MLB 2016 Betting Discussion Quote
06-21-2016 , 01:27 PM
2u Giants -144
1u LAD -120
1u Tigers -124
1u Bosox -108
1u Stros -164
1u Phils +125
MLB 2016 Betting Discussion Quote
06-21-2016 , 04:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Codebreaker
And just to be clear I wasn't knocking your bet. I really like MG, I was just surprised by the line on Lackey. His highs have been a notch lower than Arrieta but he's had much less process variance in his results. It's like he will give you an A grade every time, and while he won't give you an A+ he also will not give you below a B+.
I think I was knocking my own bet as soon as I placed it.

Normally I look for opportunities to bet against an "elite" ace and I always feel dirty when I pay a steep price to bet on one.
MLB 2016 Betting Discussion Quote
06-21-2016 , 04:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Parnish

--- 06/20 ----

Giants -1.5 (-115)
Indians -124
Cubs -160
Rangers +105
06/20: 2-2 -0.7u
YTD: 24-19 +7.54u

--- 06/21 ----

Whitesox -105
Brave +225 (great value here imo)
Tigers -127

Last edited by Parnish; 06-21-2016 at 04:09 PM. Reason: corrected YTD record
MLB 2016 Betting Discussion Quote
06-22-2016 , 02:58 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by fansrajoke
Don't get your emotion involved in picking games. Any team will have a fair chance of winning and losing. If I was you, I would stay outside and observe Rangers from now on, their winning streak is about to snap, doesn't look like today is the day for me. But would I play that game? I don't think so.
It wasn't emotional. I'm just looking at a pitching staff, that even when Yu returns still runs out Martin Perez, Colby Lewis, Derek Holland and Nick Martinez a few times a week. Their bullpen is also terrible. It's hard to knock the cover off the ball all season long, so the dip is definitely coming.

Quote:
Originally Posted by hfrog355
W Pads +182
W Snakes +175
W Mets -172
W Reds +178
L COL/NYY u9./5 -110
5/21: 4-1 +5.25 units
YTD: 179-183-5 -6.32 units
MLB 2016 Betting Discussion Quote
06-22-2016 , 08:00 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by hfrog355
It wasn't emotional. I'm just looking at a pitching staff, that even when Yu returns still runs out Martin Perez, Colby Lewis, Derek Holland and Nick Martinez a few times a week. Their bullpen is also terrible. It's hard to knock the cover off the ball all season long, so the dip is definitely coming.



5/21: 4-1 +5.25 units
YTD: 179-183-5 -6.32 units
Hehehe it was a terrible reminder from me actually. I know you know way more mlb than I do. After I posted it, I was like wait a minute it's actually time to double or nothing on the opposite team. Good job catching that Rangers loss.
MLB 2016 Betting Discussion Quote
06-22-2016 , 11:34 AM
Braves +146
Braves +0.5 1st 5 innings -104
MLB 2016 Betting Discussion Quote
06-22-2016 , 12:43 PM
Yankees -137
MLB 2016 Betting Discussion Quote
06-22-2016 , 01:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Parnish

--- 06/21 ----

Whitesox -105
Brave +225 (great value here imo)
Tigers -127
06/21: 3-0 +4.25u
YTD: 27-19 +11.79u

--- 06/22 ---

K.C / Mets UNDER 6.5 (-125)
A's -125
Giants -110
Indians -115
White Sox +109
Detroit -120

Last edited by Parnish; 06-22-2016 at 01:10 PM. Reason: added Detroit
MLB 2016 Betting Discussion Quote

      
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