Quote:
Originally Posted by kolotoure2.0
How liquid are these markets? Obviously if these are small markets than the Pinnacle line data isn't going to be too valuable
Have you tried looking at historic HT and FT scores?
500 € max bet, but I can circumvent this limit quite easily.
Euroleague Basketball is not a small market, it is the most popular
Basketball competition in Europe and IŽm pretty sure that it
has the highest betting limits in Basketball apart from the NBA.
I know that the Pinnacle lines arenŽt as sharp as they used to be and I also know that
they recently increased their vig. However, I was just using Pinnacle as an example benchmark, I could just as easily use any other bookmaker as a benchmark.
I have not yet looked at the historical data, because IŽm still trying to figure out
how big the correlation is (or rather how to calculate it).
Quote:
Originally Posted by daringly
This is a monster correlation. If you are getting close to 2.6:1, you probably end up betting most of them.
I get less than 2.6:1.
Nevertheless I still think that the bets could potentially be +EV as I donŽt have to bet every game
and I can pick certain spots.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Like
which by the way is even worse than nonsense. Those bets are massive +EV
I hope so.
IŽll give you guys another example from the NBA.
Pinnacle has:
Celtics +2,5 @ 1.869 (american odds: -115)
My bookie offers:
Celtics half time +1,5 / Celtics full time +2,5 @ 2.40 (american odds: +140)
Is this bet potentially +EV?
How big would the odds need to be to make this a +EV bet?
Remember that I need to hit both the +1,5 half time spread as well as the full time +2,5 spread in order to win this bet.