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HORSE RACING THREAD HORSE RACING THREAD

01-14-2016 , 06:19 PM
At Gulfstream - Securitiz - Race 8 tomorrow and Juba - R2 Saturday- both should run OK.
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01-15-2016 , 03:21 PM
LostWeekend,

How confident are you that Securitiz runs well? Do you have a tip or have you just been studying hard? 7/2ML, resident capper at GP has this to say:


"SELECTIONS: 8

RACE 8:
1 SECURITIZ
is making his 4 year old debut the first start since following his impressive maiden score over 3 rivals at Belmont in October with a chase and fade performance in an allowance race won by Marketing, who went on to finish 2
nd in the Grade 1 Malibu Stakes. Trainer Jimmy Jerkens, 30% with the 61-180 days layoff, has the son of Tiznow working well at Palm Meadows."

I see Pletcher is running is live 5-1 shot w/ Velasquez in the irons in the 8th as well..

Any chance this horse stays around 7/2 and isn't fired down to 2-1?? If he stays around 7/2 - 3-1, to start my weekend off right gonna lay a $25 win and key a $1 tri and $1 exacta on this horse. Cant take too much stock into a msg board fulla' degens like myself

GL ALL!
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01-15-2016 , 06:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PJC0420
LostWeekend, How confident are you that Securitiz runs well? Do you have a tip or have you just been studying hard?
I saw a short Periscope from Palm Meadows yesterday and an asst trainer from Centennial Farms was just saying how these should do OK today and tomorrow. Securitiz ran 2nd today at GP R8.
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01-15-2016 , 06:40 PM
I felt like they let paco run away with that. Once he turned for home I knew it was over, #6 horse was gassed good.

Oh well


Heading up Parx tonight for the first time in a few months, wish me luck. could use a mini score.

GL ALL!
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01-15-2016 , 09:03 PM
Been over at DW in tourneys so have not posted my 3 to fade and glad it sounds like the mess with daily junk is in enough turmoil and bs i believe it safe to play again plus it pisses FS off Like competing against the top players in shorter fields and found a 7 man today and a cap horse caught me in the 2nd to last race but still took 2nd and got paid...What ya going to do...Live games advantage i believe me well believe that in anything because of capping but mostly my eye but have to play against a capper catching you because player behind ya only has driver in the bag at this point so swingin the big dog and sometimes you catch the short grass...Lockdown style advantage me because of capping but can not change selection when your eye does not lie. Like to compete! Hope everyone has a great weekend and makes some coin
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01-16-2016 , 04:38 PM
OK WTF just happened here in the 1st at SA? I liked the appearance of the #7 on track was not happy to see front 1/4's were wet and worked up but notes said this is typical for horse and no kidney lather so i lay at 3-1 1 minute to post...I get 8/5 at 1st turn...ugggg F'n ugggggg.....Off to football this has me a little ticked.
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01-17-2016 , 02:51 PM
Santa Anita 1/17/16

1.) 3-4-2
2.) 5-4-1
3.) 4-1-5
4.) 6-9-7
5.) 2-3-1
6.) 4-2-5
7.) 9-2-4
8.) 7-9-3
9.) 3-2-7

Tough races today at SA with some value through the card.
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01-19-2016 , 11:28 PM
So got my butt kicked all day Monday at SA and could not justify spending another dime on my capping and lying eye on the day and stopped in the 8th...Look at results last evening to see my top choice in the last a firster out of Informed hitting at 25% 1st time out at 19-1.....Do not think it can not get any worse that chapped my butt BUT again got attacked by the same F'n pitbul again tonight walking and there will not be a 3rd! Too pist to go to the homeowners door tonight but am going to make a police report tomorrow.

Carryover Friday at SA and i am certain to donate to it and i am so glad FS brought the lets walk the horses for 45 minutes on track till we reach the guarantee crap from Gulfstream to So Cal such a classy thing to do. You struggle to make the PK6 Guarantee daily but exceed the guarantee on the late PK4 with ease daily...seems to damn easy to figure out.
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01-20-2016 , 05:37 PM
Made the pr with one of the many police officers in my community who are stand up individuals. Took my glove as evidence where the dog bit through that first time back in Nov...Feel like an a-hole to have to go this route but no one should have to go through that and many kids in neighborhood hopefully will not either. Had a guy ask me walking back in whats up and said the same dog did it to him as well,and a female neighbor told me the same story almost as mine so feel like i did the right thing. I am a vegan but got to think if i ever eat meat again dog is 1st on the menu Through a little taco seasoning and hot sauce and it is a TJ slider huh Grenzen

Lets take down that carryover going into Friday at SA...I have been more interested in their PK5 lately but as a competitive person i like the challenge of it. The easy answer imo is either lower the guarantee because you can not meet it or reduce the cost from $2 to $1 because you are only appealing to certain punters anymore going after the PK6 where as every punter is going after the late PK4 and it is meeting is guarantee easily. I know good ideas are not just unique to myself but i do believe i have unique good ideas of my own that could really motivate a horseplayer but we know the game is deaf to any of that talk plus Festivus is over and i need to stop with my airing of grievances.
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01-20-2016 , 06:52 PM
You did the right thing honcho. It's obvious the dogs owner does not have the brains to maintain an animal in your community.
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01-20-2016 , 07:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Honcho
Made the pr with one of the many police officers in my community who are stand up individuals. Took my glove as evidence where the dog bit through that first time back in Nov...Feel like an a-hole to have to go this route but no one should have to go through that and many kids in neighborhood hopefully will not either. Had a guy ask me walking back in whats up and said the same dog did it to him as well,and a female neighbor told me the same story almost as mine so feel like i did the right thing. I am a vegan but got to think if i ever eat meat again dog is 1st on the menu Through a little taco seasoning and hot sauce and it is a TJ slider huh Grenzen

Lets take down that carryover going into Friday at SA...I have been more interested in their PK5 lately but as a competitive person i like the challenge of it. The easy answer imo is either lower the guarantee because you can not meet it or reduce the cost from $2 to $1 because you are only appealing to certain punters anymore going after the PK6 where as every punter is going after the late PK4 and it is meeting is guarantee easily. I know good ideas are not just unique to myself but i do believe i have unique good ideas of my own that could really motivate a horseplayer but we know the game is deaf to any of that talk plus Festivus is over and i need to stop with my airing of grievances.
if people can't control their animals, screw 'em... being an avid runner/biker I run into this crap at least two times a month. many of these dog owners are completely oblivious to their responsibilities and/or their surroundings. i especially like the incredulous looks or responses when i dare say something... after their dog has come after me on public streets or trails. haven't had to call the cops/animal control yet but i have been tempted.

as for that pick six...i completely agree. at $2 it gets way to expensive for us average joes. a few weeks back i was "invited" to join a group who were going to play a rather large ticket. it ended up that i couldn't make it, but i guess they made a $4k plus ticket between 6 of them. well they still missed, on what turned out to be a totally hittable pick 6. i think it paid around $22k and change that day. another friend played $1800+ that same day and missed.

way more money than I'm willing to spend...
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01-21-2016 , 01:32 AM
Thanks Grenzen and that was my thoughts last night too because i was obv pist at dog but i guess the poker instinct still in me says it was about 2 degrees outside the homeowner was too lazy to toss coat and shoes on to leash up dog to take care of his business but not too lazy to open the door so he does not crap on carpet knowing their dog is oobatz and not leashing is as you said.

Jacksquat nice to see your post and love those 'invites' too i use to get but never took anyone up on them myself because for myself i treat being a horse player an individual thing and also like you i do not care to ever lay that kind of coin going after whats at the end of the rainbow. I like the challenge of the under $100 PK6 and most times $54 PK6 on carry days betting into free $$ but the value at SA has been the PK5's imo. You will get guys like Hoover who is a PK6 player and is his bet flat refuse to want to ever lower it to $1 because he is in that small crowd who does play this but at the same time i do understand why $2 will not change at SA. They may rainbow it or get rid of the alive to 5 and only pay to players who hit all 6 but never the $2 base imo anytime soon.

SGV around BC time itt i said you were not my friend and i believe at the time my thinking was to squash whatever nonsense was going on back and forth itt so we could concentrate on the races in whole and that was a real dik thing for me to say and i hope you accept my apology for saying that. I know i can not be the only person who takes positive info from what you post itt and i hope you will continue to do so. Been bothering me and wanted to address it because i was a hot head and did not act fairly in that instance.
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01-21-2016 , 02:29 PM
No harm no foul mr honcho. Hope your feeling well. Rip to arch and sorry to clibourn farms. Hope blame and uncle mo do his name justice. Ill have another from his blood lines also.
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01-21-2016 , 03:13 PM
Thanks SGV and i am still trying to get after it daily...Just clicked Bloodhorse and saw that and just can not believe the run of equine deaths here of late.

Jacksquat can not run at all started out in a walker after the surgeries from cancer but wore a path around my yard with the damn thing and only thing i can do now to try to keep my leg w/o as much pain from extensive radiation that i had it gets stiff as hell (what she said ) if i do not walk some each day but agree we should not have to fight off animals on a public path ever and keep getting after it man.

B3 what you doing this weekend? Oh thats right shoveling snow ...Be safe man looks like an ugly one headed your way. Any one to the south of Philly now and get caught without a shovel you can always go to the Georgia snow shovel...This is your broom and ideally a metal dust pan where you can wedge the end of the broom in and walla you got yourself a GA snow shovel....not that i was ever redneck enough to do this
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01-22-2016 , 09:34 AM
Just started looking at the card at SA today and throwing some coffee in me but my best bet today would be in one of the legs in the PK6 sequence go ALL Holy Cow going to be a tough one at 1st glance...Prickly your not off the hook here you know your looking at it as well today so give the thread a few to include.
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01-22-2016 , 01:38 PM
Basic this is just Punters ?
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01-22-2016 , 03:50 PM
Santa Anita 1/22/16

1.) 2-7-5
2.) 7-3-8
3.) 2-5-4
4.) 6-5-1
5.) 3-7-2
6.) 9-2-8
7.) 2-9-5
8.) 10-5-8

Tough one today at SA. Could not get a competitive ticket in my comfort zone so going to pass on PK6 but will give a go to the late PK4
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01-22-2016 , 09:49 PM
I had no idea every horse player was going to play my 3 to fade today and produce the massive 307K carryover in the PK6 tomorrow

Fine print (Josh Rubenstein) in the PK6 guarantee says if the guarantee is cancelled they have to do it before 10:30am pst i believe i read and with rain expected during tomorrow's card and the 4th and 6th being on grass atm this is an angle on a non carry day i watch careful because lets say they decide to keep it on grass because they think like LD did that the weather man is fos and just wants no traffic on the course so calls for rain and lets it ride BUT the rain does come and in good amounts and they have to take the 4th and 6th off turf you would get ALL runners in the 6th race by CA rules because the PK6 seq had started. This being a carry and such no clue how it will affect it or if it pans but an angle to always watch for imo. Best of luck on everyone's plays this weekend.
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01-23-2016 , 10:31 AM
Hope all the horse players itt are dug or digging out of the snow and safe...that said i do not feel an ounce of empathy for all y'all Last 3 winters up here besides this year have been freaking insane...This year they just put lead in the water which not sure if that explains a lot of my 3 to fade over the last year or not but i am using it as my excuse Switched coffee's and had not looked at today's card at SA but will shortly because i was not having yesterday's lying eyes looking at today's PP's.
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01-23-2016 , 01:08 PM
15 inches and counting, Honcho, lemme see your winning SA picks today!

Parx sent out an email that they're open....I doubt anyone can get there though.
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01-23-2016 , 03:50 PM
Santa Anita 1/23/16

4.) 11-4-7
5.) 6-4-11
6.) 9-2-7
7.) 4-6-1
8.) 9-3-1
9.) 12-9-1

Not sure if it will carry again but the difficulty is there for it to because this is a sob of a card today and will the bad weather and cancellations out east i would guess this PK6 pool will get to 1-1.5 million.

Hey Najd hope everyone is safe and lots of guys itt from your area and those should be 3 to fade Very tough card today imo.
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01-24-2016 , 12:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Honcho
Santa Anita 1/23/16

4.) 11-4-7
5.) 6-4-11
6.) 9-2-7
7.) 4-6-1
8.) 9-3-1
9.) 12-9-1

Not sure if it will carry again but the difficulty is there for it to because this is a sob of a card today and will the bad weather and cancellations out east i would guess this PK6 pool will get to 1-1.5 million.

Hey Najd hope everyone is safe and lots of guys itt from your area and those should be 3 to fade Very tough card today imo.
Can not do a lot better than this...I go 50% with stewards and i get 5/6 and i get both calls and i hit PK6 on $54 ticket.....Still pist about the 4th because the #11 was the best horse all day and not so much in the 8th but have saw the same taken down. Also because you throw the rule on the TV screen making it look official and all does not make it right...the #11 was winning the 4th hands down. Did still have a very good day in whole but if it goes to the stewards and i am on them just tear that ticket up fellas
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01-27-2016 , 08:59 PM
The newest issue of Horseplayer Monthly, the free e-magazine from HANA is out now http://horseplayersassociation.org/feb16issue.pdf Really good handicapping info and a lot more.
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01-28-2016 , 01:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Honcho
Saw the mega millions was hit by someone on Staten Island hoping it was the threads long lost friend Kevroc...The Staten Island guy with the Brooklyn accent
Don't play lotteries, but....

https://www.betamerica.com/extra/kev...g-in-a-bottle/
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01-28-2016 , 10:00 PM
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Originally Posted by Kevroc
Could not be happier for you Kev congrats my friend!!! Look how big this thread is with some flat out great posters itt and horse friends when you just wanted to stop me from cluttering up the thread Again i am very happy to read that and i could not believe it has been since 2000 in LV for you. I was sitting on the wall at the end of the Riviera looking across at Slots O Fun and read your post where you hit one night on DW and got a big smile while i was waiting for a crazy hot gal i was bs'ing with who worked at the Krispy Kreme stand inside Circus Circus. Now back in the snow and leaded water crazy life...sent you a PM also.

HPWS a tough one because of so many entries allowed and several teams to go against as well but know you have a punchers chance in every tourney your in. Look out Kev heads to Vegas
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