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04-09-2011 , 12:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by M.Honcho
Good luck Kev on the rainbow 6,capping the late pk 4's at Aqueduct,and SA right now
Thanks.

Punch this ticket five times...

AQUEDUCT $1 pick four (x5)

7) 5
8) 2-3
9) 3-4-6-7-10
10) 5

$50

ytd (-1,528)

Last edited by Kevroc; 04-09-2011 at 12:24 PM. Reason: Let's Go Devils!!!!
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04-09-2011 , 01:04 PM
Aqueduct 4/9/11 500k Late PK4

7.) 2-5-6-7
8.) 3-6-7-8
9.) 3-6-7-10
10.) 5

Ticket $64

I really like Apriority the #7 horse in the 9th,and have the conditional set at 7/2 for $100 to win at 2 min to post.

Also to answer the ? earlier in the week Najd,most def yes!,there will be a neg show pool today on UM.

Last edited by M.Honcho; 04-09-2011 at 01:24 PM. Reason: added info for Najd
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04-09-2011 , 03:44 PM
Santa Anita 4/9/11 Late PK4

8.) 2-4-7-8-10
9.) 7
10.) 3-6-9-10
11.) 2-9-10-13

Ticket $80
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04-09-2011 , 04:46 PM
Aqueduct - Race 9

#7 Apriority (7/2 ml)

Another case of the wrong favorite here, imo. The afore-mentioned Morning Line will be taking a ton of money here coming off his second-place effort in the Grade 1 Donn Handicap, but he's now moving back to one turn (where he has never won a race in his entire career) to face the razor-sharp sprinter Apriority, whom you may remember we were on last time. As i said then, i'm not sure what's gotten into this guy lately, (maybe he just likes dirt?), but he has improved by leaps and bounds over the last few months, and based on his last couple of starts he's definitely one of the top sprinters in the country right now. Looked downright sensational last time out when stumbling badly from the rail and then getting up to destroy the highly-regarded Tahitian Warrior, and prior to that was right there on the wire with Cost of Freedom and Amazombie, two of the best sprinters on the SoCal circuit. Just no reason this horse shouldn't be favored here. Big value if he's not.
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04-09-2011 , 05:14 PM
Preaching to the choir here DC,still have $100 to win on him,trying to get back the failed pk4 coin.

Well he got caught up in blistering early fractions,and i knew....Well ok then,still up $50 from thursday pk4,and we will take that into next week,and hope going against the favs at SA my pk4 hits.

Last edited by M.Honcho; 04-09-2011 at 05:22 PM.
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04-09-2011 , 05:30 PM
already 338k to show on MO. Bridge jumpers are out in force. Still 20 mins. to post.
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04-09-2011 , 05:31 PM
Uncle Mo at 1-9 now, did some trifectas as well with him singled on top [obvs].
Hrm, maybe I should do 1-2 with him not winning?
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04-09-2011 , 05:40 PM
$2 to show on every horse other than UM.....$16 total invested......Yes i expect to lose it,but its a cheap risk vs reward play.
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04-09-2011 , 05:53 PM
damn was so close to cleaning up in show pool had $100 on every horse cept mo
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04-09-2011 , 05:54 PM
bridgejumpers prolly didn't breathe that entire stretch
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04-09-2011 , 05:57 PM
Holy ****, after it was apparent he wasn't going to romp I was hoping he would run out.
745k almost down the tubes. Oh well back to the Derby drawing board for me. I'd be willing to bet with the state of racing today, he doesn't even run in the Derby now. He'll come up with swelling somewhere which causes him to miss the race.
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04-09-2011 , 05:58 PM
Bet Details
Aqueduct R10 April 9, 2011 5:49:00 PM EDT
Horse Racing - Exacta Box 2,4
Stake: US$ 2.00 Amount: US$ 4.00
Reference ID: 211613531

Guess I shouldn't have been such a p@ssy on the save bet. Nice to win Show + Exacta though!
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04-09-2011 , 05:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rsigley
damn was so close to cleaning up in show pool had $100 on every horse cept mo
Rsigley like the way you think,obv went way less than yourself,but like i said i didnt feel comfortable jumping that bridge at the Big A....

And Vet you got that right ,lots of fast beating tickers im sure.

Congrats Najd !!
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04-09-2011 , 05:59 PM
awesome apparently my ticket got processed too late and was cancelled

78010841-1 4/9/11 5:50pm $800.00 $0.00 $800.00 Cancelled Aqueduct [ 4/9/2011 ] Race #10 $800.00 Straight (1: X/X/100 , 2: X/X/100 , 4: X/X/100 , 6: X/X/100 , 7: X/X/100 , 8: X/X/100 , 9: X/X/100 , 10: X/X/100)

aka winning

normally in this scenario uncle mo would finish out of the money and i'd cry
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04-09-2011 , 06:06 PM
Horrible ride by Domingez on Arthurs Tale, he thought he had the race locked up and stopped working on the horse, he didnt even see the 2 closing on the inside
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04-09-2011 , 06:16 PM
Rsigley thats some funny stuff there,shewww huh

Bklyn,what did you expect from Ramon? Not a big time rider,why Simon likes him so much is beyond me
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04-09-2011 , 06:32 PM
2,3,5,6,10 ex box for SA Derby
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04-09-2011 , 07:01 PM
also late p4 santa anita (KD prep week is kinda like the KD):

8) 1,5
9) 1,3,4,6,7
10) 2,3,5,6,10
11) 2,3,4,9,13

$0.50 x 250 = $125

YTD -1.5kish
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04-09-2011 , 07:08 PM
Harness boy's 0.50 pick-4 at SA.

8) 5
9) 1,3,4,5,6,7,8,9
10) 4
11) 2,3,4,9,13

$20.
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04-09-2011 , 07:46 PM
watch mr. commons in the sa derby, a huge step up in company, lightly raced, but looked really good his last two. might be in over his head, but with the scratches and any move forward he could/should be in the mix.

also, you have to like the team.
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04-09-2011 , 09:13 PM
Well Vet,nice 1 with the exacta,and you didnt lose much with the pk4 hit,and glad your back with us. Kev hit the late PK4 and cost him a couple bucks still too...I left some $$ on the table not following up with a $16 late pk3,but thats how it goes. Got my single home in the 9th today,and a $50 win wager on him,but with all my plays today i ended up -$200...So up for the week about $100,woo hoo ,LOL.

The Ky Derby is right now up for grabs fellas thats for dang sure,and should make for some good convo in the thread till may!

I will be making my yearly important announcement tomorrow here in the thread.
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04-09-2011 , 09:13 PM
not often you hit a p4 with 20:1 ML choice that pays < $100 shame the #4 in the last race stumbled bad out of the gate... gave up about 8 lengths to start and came back to finish 2 lengths behind, she would have paid $1400.
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04-10-2011 , 04:18 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DiscreetCat
I posted this on another forum in response to the ramblings of some Uncle Mo zealot who thinks there's no way the horse can possibly lose, and thought you guys might enjoy reading it. It basically sums up the problems that the likely raceday favorite is facing:

Is Uncle Mo a very good (possibly even great) horse? Sure, of course he is. I don't think anyone is disputing that.

Ask yourself how winter-book favorites have fared in the Derby over the years though. Not real well, and that's putting it mildly. It doesn't have anything to do with talent, it's just that there a TON of extraneous factors in play. More than any other race in the world, probably. I could spend ten minutes listing them all, and still miss some probably. That would just be a waste of time though, anyone who's been following horses as long as you have should know what i'm talking about (though you choose to just ignore it).

The main problem i'm having with Uncle Mo at this point is something you yourself mentioned in the above post:

"The Derby is just 6 weeks away"

What has Uncle Mo done to prepare for it? Win a one-turn mile vs. a tiny field, while racing alone on a ridiculously soft pace? Sure he finished fast, but he had zero excuse not to. It doesn't prove anything. The distance up the Wood will help in his development, but again, he figures to get little-to-no pressure while racing against a tiny field. The horse just hasn't been pushed at all, which isn't going to help when he's asked to run 1 1/4 miles vs. a huge field vs. what figures to be some very serious pace pressure. And while he might be able to rate, the Derby isn't the place you want to start experimenting with those things.

That's the other big problem i have with his Derby chances, his running style. If you like Uncle Mo, you had better pray that The Factor doesn't make the race. Is Uncle Mo better than The Factor? Who knows, maybe, but that's not even the issue. The issue is that The Factor (and perhaps a few others) will undoubtedly be applying serious pace pressure to a horse that hasn't faced it in a very long time, and who will be racing 1 1/4 miles for the first time, with over 15 horses in hot pursuit. Even if he puts away The Factor (or whomever), it's a long way to the wire dude, and he's probably going to be softened up. That's why frontrunners are a notoriously bad bet in that race. Maybe Uncle Mo has the talent and the stamina to overcome all this, it wouldn't be the biggest shock in the world. But he's really up against it, in my opinion.

And for all he has to overcome, he'll offer what, 3/1 or less? You can have him.
Ouch. Wasn't expecting the flop to come just yet.
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04-13-2011 , 12:25 AM
Harness boy is bored. So let's hit every pick-3 at Monticello on Wednesday.

Go.

1) 3
2) 1 2 3 6
3) 4
4) 1 2 4 5 7
5) 1 3 6
6) 2 6
7) 1 3 4 5 6
8) 2 3 7
9) 6
10) 1 2 3 4 5 6

Singles:

Race 1) Maiden race includes 0 for 19, 31, 8, 8, 16. Hell these five horses have only 7 seconds combined. So we will single to the 0-for-2 horse with the best trainer in the race. What? You need a better reason?

Race 3) OSMOSIS is dropping to the bottom level after two hard tries for owner/trainer/driver Gregory Decker Jr. It is time they let him win one.

Race 9) MICHAEL C HANOVER has been leaving and should see little pressure from the gate in this one. In his best form the rail horse would crush him, but the rail has some kind of problem that needs figuring out. Go MICHAEL go.
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04-13-2011 , 01:08 PM
Here is an example of my good handicapping/terrible betting...

My 3 horse got off at 12:1 and ran second by a half length closing from last. Paid 10.40 to place. Exacta paid $78.50 in a six horse field!!!

I was on the nose only.
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