Football (soccer) betting thread - Page 82 - Sports Betting

ytd 18-15-1 +13.45u
bets on a 1-5u scale

Draw between Everton and Liverpool 1u to win 2.2u L
Over 2.5 goals in Blackburn and Man City 1.45u to win 1u W
Over 3.5 goals in Man United and Norwich 1.05u to win 1u L
Man United by 2 goals over Norwich 2.6u to win 2u P
Under 2.5 goals Sunderland and West brom 1.3u to win 1u L
Draw between Wolves and Newcastle 1u to win 2.25u L

1-4-1 -3.35u
ytd 19-19-2 +10.1u

Quote

10-01-2011 , 05:54 PM

#2027

TheVig

adept

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 940

ytd 19-19-2 +10.1u
bets on a 1-5u scale

Over 3 goals between Bolton and Chelsea 1u to win 1.15u
Draw between Fulham and QPR 1u to win 2.25u
Swansea to win 1u to win 1.5u
Over 3 goals between Gunners and Spurs 1u to win 1u

Quote

10-02-2011 , 01:00 PM

#2028

TheVig

adept

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 940

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheVig

ytd 19-19-2 +10.1u
bets on a 1-5u scale

Over 3 goals between Bolton and Chelsea 1u to win 1.15u W
Draw between Fulham and QPR 1u to win 2.25u L
Swansea to win 1u to win 1.5u W
Over 3 goals between Gunners and Spurs 1u to win 1u P

2-1-1 +1.65u

ytd 21-20-3 + 11.75u

Quote

10-04-2011 , 07:06 PM

#2029

prof3ta

banned

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 410

Hello, I dont usually post and im really new to this so i dont know how it works. But on pinny right now, for Brazil Serie B tonight I really really like ASA Arapiraca @ 10.80 . Its one of those reall super fun bets. I put 2u on it.

Quote

10-05-2011 , 01:07 AM

#2030

Donkson

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 1,583

Why was it super fun?

Quote

10-05-2011 , 01:35 AM

#2031

TheVig

adept

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 940

and why brazil serie B? do u live there?

Quote

10-05-2011 , 01:46 AM

#2032

HipsterDufes

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 2,309

This is probly super basic and obv but ..
Is it safe to assume that the book that offers the highest limits is closest to the 'true odds' ?

Quote

10-06-2011 , 06:04 PM

#2033

HipsterDufes

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 2,309

It's 3.5hrs till gametime and I'm amazed that the market still hasn't adjusted to the fact that RSL is missing 5/6 of their best players and Vancouver is missing their top goalscorer Eric Hassli. Vancouver is actually drifting ! WTF :S

A ton of value on Whitecaps +0.25 @ 2.19 and U 2.5 @ 1,86 IMO, both at ****** ..

Quote

10-06-2011 , 08:00 PM

#2034

cefis21

grinder

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 472

If Vancouver is missing their top scorer how does that give them value??

Quote

10-06-2011 , 08:03 PM

#2035

HipsterDufes

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 2,309

Vancouver is missing 1 player. RSL is missing their best 5.

Quote

10-07-2011 , 12:38 AM

#2036

HipsterDufes

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 2,309

Quote:

Originally Posted by HipsterDufes

A ton of value on Whitecaps +0.25 @ 2.19 and U 2.5 @ 1,86 IMO, both at ****** ..

Line closed at +0.25 @ 2.03 and U 2.5 @ 1.85.
Still way off imo. Especially the first. This will probly sound LOL but I had that as a 20% Kelly play and that's being generous ..

Quote

10-07-2011 , 07:57 AM

#2037

cefis21

grinder

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 472

Good pick. The red card helped a lot though. A little to good.

Quote

10-07-2011 , 08:33 AM

#2038

kevin21

SE Spokesman

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 62,020

Andorra vs Rep of Ireland - Under 2.5 - 7/4

I really don't see us scoring 3+ goals in this one. Either a 1-0 or 2-0 win.

Quote

10-07-2011 , 01:31 PM

#2039

prof3ta

banned

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 410

Ecuador vrs Venezuela (south america WC qualifiers)
Venezuela @ 8.12 on pinny.
Venezuela played a very good copa america and ecuador has been struggling the last official matches.

Quote

10-07-2011 , 01:47 PM

#2040

HipsterDufes

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 2,309

Quote:

Originally Posted by kevin21

Andorra vs Rep of Ireland - Under 2.5 - 7/4

I really don't see us scoring 3+ goals in this one. Either a 1-0 or 2-0 win.

If youlike that you'd probly like ..
First goal to be scored after 18 mins @ 1.83 (Blue Sq.)

Quote

10-08-2011 , 03:48 AM

#2041

luegofuego

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 4,874

Quote:

Originally Posted by HipsterDufes

Vancouver is missing 1 player. RSL is missing their best 5.

Dunno much about MLS but I'd imagine that the benches are fairly deep. It's very easy to overestimate the importance of players in footy. Market will just shrug it off like it's nothing more often than you think. Just a friendly tip for the future.

Quote

10-08-2011 , 06:41 AM

#2042

kevin21

SE Spokesman

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 62,020

Quote:

Originally Posted by kevin21

Andorra vs Rep of Ireland - Under 2.5 - 7/4

I really don't see us scoring 3+ goals in this one. Either a 1-0 or 2-0 win.

After the fast start I didn't think this would hold up but it did so happy days.

Today is more of the same.

Lichtenstein vs Scotland - Under 2.5 - EVS

Quote

10-08-2011 , 07:09 PM

#2043

HipsterDufes

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 2,309

Quote:

Originally Posted by luegofuego

They're not .. RSL had a midfielder playing striker ..
Are you saying that you agree with the market then? From the looks of this post I don't think you do ..

Quote:

Originally Posted by luegofuego

Btw, anyone watch the line movements on todays friendly between Italy - Spain? I don't like to blame "public money" since it's most often bull****, but I can't explain the late money coming in on Spain in any other way. I thought Italy +0.25 @ 1.92 was a really REALLY good bet, but it closed at 1.98 I think.

Buffon
Criscito, Chiellini, Ranocchia, Maggio
De Rossi, Motta, Pirlo
Montolivo
Cassano, Rossi

Compare that squad to:

Casillas
Arbeloa, Piqué, Albiol, Iraola
Iniesta, Alonso, Martinez
Silva, Torres, Cazorla

How in gods name is Italy +0.25 at HOME justified there? Square monies?

Quote

10-09-2011 , 03:11 AM

#2044

luegofuego

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 4,874

Depends on the situation obv. Market might have been wrong in that instance. But I think exhausting all other possible explanations is generally best before retorting to "the market is ******ed", because if you find yourself blurting that out constantly, you've got a serious problem.

Quote

10-09-2011 , 03:09 PM

#2045

LivinOnSkill

centurion

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 165

whens the next come up fellas?!?!

Quote

10-09-2011 , 08:08 PM

#2046

Donkson

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 1,583

what?

Quote

10-09-2011 , 08:28 PM

#2047

HipsterDufes

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 2,309

Quote:

Originally Posted by luegofuego

Yea, I don't disagree with that ..

Quote

10-10-2011 , 11:00 AM

#2048

CRABFISH

journeyman

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 300

Hi, I'm a 27 year old bookie from England. I'm going to start blogging my football bets over the course of a season, with weekly total profit updates. Sometimes the odd horse tip as well.

Quote

10-11-2011 , 07:37 AM

#2049

kevin21

SE Spokesman

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 62,020

Standout bets for tonight;

Russia -3 @ 4/5 - Russia need a win + last game of group and Andorra were unbelievably bad against us. They haven't really got smashed by any side in this group but tonight will be the night they do.

Bulgaria v Wales Under 2.5 @ 5/7 - Neither side with anything to play for, players will be looking to avoid injury. I see this being a stalemate so might even be tempted to go with Under 1.5 @ 85/40.

Switzerland to win @ 4/6 - Montenegro already have their playoff spot secured so don't expect them to put up much of a fight which could result in suspensions or injuries. Switzerland are always good @ home so I fully expect a Swiss win.