Football (soccer) betting thread - Page 197 - Sports Betting

thevig,

you seem to do quite well, do you have a spredsheet/graph of your year so far? if you wish to disclose ofc.

what does the +125 mean in 'city-1.5 goals +125 1u'?

It means he's betting Man C wins by 2 goals or more and getting +125.

$10 wins $12.50 for a return of $22.5

Nearly 8,000 posts and you did not know this. Are you a sportsbetter at all or just a chat guy?

Last edited by cefis21; 03-04-2013 at 11:40 AM. Reason: mistake

Quote

03-04-2013 , 11:37 AM

#4902

YouFaiil

Concept of the Week Author

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 13,505

srry im a fish at this, +125 is +125 what? i thought the 1u is like the amount hes betting so 1u = 1 unit (i.e. £100 or w/e)

is that correct?

Quote

03-04-2013 , 11:48 AM

#4903

cefis21

grinder

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 472

Migraine Monday.

Quote

03-04-2013 , 11:54 AM

#4904

YouFaiil

Concept of the Week Author

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 13,505

aha what? :/

Quote

03-04-2013 , 12:43 PM

#4905

TN Cletus

centurion

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 153

1u is 1 unit. +125 is American odds. It's all in relation to 100. +125 means bet 100 to win 125. -125 would mean bet 125 to win 100.

Quote

03-04-2013 , 12:48 PM

#4906

YouFaiil

Concept of the Week Author

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 13,505

oh ok thanks

Quote

03-04-2013 , 01:54 PM

#4907

TheVig

adept

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 940

Looks like they answered your question. Good ole American odds. The 7-4-1 is my ytd for this current season. I was in Canada the last six months and didn't bet at all. I did watch and follow the EPL while there, just didn't start betting it til I got back to the States.

Quote

03-04-2013 , 02:12 PM

#4908

YouFaiil

Concept of the Week Author

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 13,505

oh ok im from the UK, we use fractions or decimals.

what does 7-4-1 = in terms of ROI?

Quote

03-04-2013 , 02:50 PM

#4909

TheVig

adept

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 940

7-4-1 is my record. Wins,losses,ties. I'm +3.85u so far. So say a unit =$100, then you would be up $385 so far. Everybody has different sized units when they bet be it anywhere from $10 to $1000 and so on.

Quote

03-04-2013 , 02:58 PM

#4910

TheVig

adept

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 940

7-4-1(current record, w,l,t) +3.85u(how many units I'm up or down)

Liverpool +225(American odds, so 1u(my normal bet) would return me 2.25u)

1-0+ 2.25u(how I did on that day)

8-4-1 +6.1u( my updated record)

Just an example of a day
Hope that makes it easier for you

Quote

03-04-2013 , 04:16 PM

#4911

YouFaiil

Concept of the Week Author

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 13,505

thevig,

yeah of course, im just used to writing it out differently was all.

Quote

03-04-2013 , 04:24 PM

#4912

TheVig

adept

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 940

No problems mate! Lets go City

Quote

03-04-2013 , 04:46 PM

#4913

TheVig

adept

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 940

Thanks for the gift Villa

Quote

03-04-2013 , 06:30 PM

#4914

TheVig

adept

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 940

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheVig

7-4-1 +3.85

City-1.5 goals +125 1u

0-1 -1u

7-5-1 +2.85u

Quote

03-04-2013 , 08:52 PM

#4915

teamnofriends

stranger

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 6

So I'm new to sports betting and mostly doing it because I love watching soccer....

In the first player to score props for Man U/Real Ronaldo would pay out at 13/5 while Varane would pay out at 33/1. I assume that the timing of a particular player's goal is more or less random? Ronaldo is as likely to score at minute 5 as he is in 85. Ronaldo has scored this season at a rate of 37 in 35. Meanwhile Varane has scored at 2 in 17. Based on these numbers Varane should pay out about 9 times as Ronaldo. Instead he pays out 12.7 times as much. So it seems to me that on this particular prop, Varane should be great value?

Quote

03-04-2013 , 09:31 PM

#4916

Pascal-lF

old hand

Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 1,997

Going to guess Ronaldo is way more likely to start than Varane/Varane won't have the same confidence or ability as Ronaldo to attack Man Utd defence

Quote

03-04-2013 , 09:33 PM

#4917

pbowenroe

old hand

Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 1,831

i'm not sure, but i don't think you should look at a player's relative chance of scoring compared to another player. what's important is what you think their absolute chance of scoring is and whether the bookies odds reflect that

Quote

03-04-2013 , 11:16 PM

#4918

teamnofriends

stranger

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 6

Quote:

Originally Posted by pbowenroe

Fair point. Thanks for the input

Quote

03-05-2013 , 01:28 AM

#4919

ERGOPHOBIA

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 2,301

I have $20 free in play bet on Manchester United vs Real Madrid.

Rules are that I need to place $20 bet pregame and then they will match $20 in game bet.

What are my best arbing options? Bet365 btw

Quote

03-05-2013 , 05:34 AM

#4920

Donkson

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 1,583

totals

Quote

03-05-2013 , 06:03 AM

#4921

YouFaiil

Concept of the Week Author

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 13,505

in for

borussia dortmund @ 1.61
real madrid @ 2.3

Quote

03-05-2013 , 09:59 AM

#4922

ERGOPHOBIA

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 2,301

@donkson

ok, I figured that would be the easiest one, thank you

Quote

03-05-2013 , 10:01 AM

#4923

Pascal-lF

old hand

Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 1,997

Quote:

Originally Posted by ERGOPHOBIA

I have $20 free in play bet on Manchester United vs Real Madrid.

Rules are that I need to place $20 bet pregame and then they will match $20 in game bet.

What are my best arbing options? Bet365 btw

it's £50 and £50 isnt it?

Quote

03-05-2013 , 11:07 AM

#4924

Donkab0mber

old hand

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 1,569

Where do u guys see the value in today's CL clash? I'm pondering on making my 1st ever football bet and what better match to start with than this. At first, I was leaning towards Real but I'm not so sure now given United's home record and the fact that they've been playing well too. Real do seem to be in better form currently though with their 2 thumping victories over Barca. This 1's obv a risky bet and with money coming in on United right now, I'm rly at a fix. Thoughts guys?

And any props u guys see good value in?