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12-13-2012 , 07:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CHRONICFEVER
didnt see that one coming
I contemplated arsenal ML for a loong time but didnt want to lay the heavy price. took arsenal -1.5 instead. great game by bradford
And a shocking performance by Arsenal.
Football (soccer) betting thread Quote
12-13-2012 , 07:50 PM
Trying to get back into soccer. Using a regression system I have been tinkering with for a few years, on and odd. Here's what I came up with today:

Australia:
CentralCoast U2' +100 1/2u

Austria:
Neustadt O2' -102 1/2u

Belgium:
Club Brugge U3 +101 3/4u
Waasland B. O2' +110 1/2u

Belgium 2:
CSVise: U2',3 -110 1/4u
Dessel: O2.5 -108 1/4u
K.SV.Ou O2.5 +107 1/4u
KSKHeist O2.5 +109 1/4u

EPL:
Newcastle O2' -122 1/2u
Liverpool O2',3: -101 1/2u

England-Championship:
Hull O2' -113 1/2u
Bolton O2' -120 1/2u
Burnley U2',3 -116 1/2u
Leeds U2',3 -105 1/2u
Football (soccer) betting thread Quote
12-15-2012 , 09:16 AM
Today I've gone for

Stoke Everton Draw 1.5 Units @3.3
QPR Fulham Draw 1 Unit @ 3.4

YTD 22-17-0 +6.599 Units
Football (soccer) betting thread Quote
12-15-2012 , 11:48 AM
Bets I'm on today (bit late)

Norwich Wigan U2.5
Stoke win
Fulham win
Man Utd v Sunderland U3.5
Man Utd clean sheet

Also bet on Villa at 9/4 at 1-0
Football (soccer) betting thread Quote
12-15-2012 , 11:57 AM
Spain
Levant O2,2' -102 1/2u

Austria
Magna O2, 2' -111 1/2u
Salzburg U3 +104 1/2u

Portugal
Braga U2',3 -111 1/2u
Football (soccer) betting thread Quote
12-15-2012 , 04:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pascal-lF
Bets I'm on today (bit late)

Norwich Wigan U2.5
Stoke win
Fulham win
Man Utd v Sunderland U3.5
Man Utd clean sheet

Also bet on Villa at 9/4 at 1-0
Good job you got on Villa cos the rest were shocking
Football (soccer) betting thread Quote
12-15-2012 , 05:25 PM
Quote:
Australia:
WIN - +0.50u - CentralCoast U2' +100 1/2u

Austria:
LOS - -0.51 - Neustadt O2' -102 1/2u

Belgium:
WIN - +0.75u - Club Brugge U3 +101 3/4u
LOS - -0.45u - Waasland B. O2' +110 1/2u

Belgium 2:
WIN - +0.25u - CSVise: U2',3 -110 1/4u
LOS - -0.27u - Dessel: O2.5 -108 1/4u
LOS - -0.23u - K.SV.Ou O2.5 +107 1/4u
WIN - +0.25u - KSKHeist O2.5 +109 1/4u

EPL:
WIN - +0.50u - Newcastle O2' -122 1/2u
WIN - +0.5u - Liverpool O2',3: -101 1/2u

England-Championship:
LOS - -0.57u - Hull O2' -113 1/2u
LOS - -0.60u - Bolton O2' -120 1/2u
WIN - +0.50u - Burnley U2',3 -116 1/2u
WIN - +0.50u - Leeds U2',3 -105 1/2u
Overall: 8-6, +1.12u
Football (soccer) betting thread Quote
12-16-2012 , 11:53 AM
all 1/2u
Spain La Liga
Barcelona U3,3' -116

Spain Segunda
Mirandes O2,2; +103
Rec de Huelva U2,2' +109

Portugal
Pacos Ferreira O2,2' -114 1/4u**

Last edited by DMMx69; 12-16-2012 at 12:14 PM.
Football (soccer) betting thread Quote
12-16-2012 , 12:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mackem790
Good job you got on Villa cos the rest were shocking
Haha, just testing out some stuff. Ended up for yesterday with a treble on Stoke Everton U2.5, QPR Fulham O2.5 and Norwich win so meh.
Football (soccer) betting thread Quote
12-16-2012 , 01:35 PM
Asian handicap newbie math question:

1) Is it correct that if you have 2/3 of 1) the 1X2 line, 2) the AH line and 3) the total goals line, you can calculate the 3rd?

2) Is there a way you can convert 1X2 odds to Asian and visa versa? I've been led to believe that the juice is generally less in AH markets, which means I should focus my betting there?
Football (soccer) betting thread Quote
12-16-2012 , 03:46 PM
Greece
PAS Giannina O2 +109 1/2u

Netherlands
Stormvogels Telstar O2',3 -109

Last edited by DMMx69; 12-16-2012 at 04:03 PM.
Football (soccer) betting thread Quote
12-16-2012 , 04:09 PM
Hi together

For this evening, I play

FC Barcelona - Atletico Madrid (3Way - result) 1
SSC Napoli - Bologna (3Way - result) 1

1.84

Where do you bet usually ? I am registered on bwin and betfair, where can I get the best odds ?

Thanks.
Football (soccer) betting thread Quote
12-17-2012 , 01:27 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DMMx69
Overall: 8-6, +1.12u
Quote:
Spain
LOS - -0.51u - Levant O2,2' -102 1/2u
LOS - -0.58u - Barcelona U3,3' -116

Austria
WIN - +0.50u - Magna O2, 2' -111 1/2u
LOS - -0.48u - Salzburg U3 +104 1/2u

Portugal
WIN - +0.50u - Braga U2',3 -111 1/2u
WIN - +0.25u - Pacos Ferreira O2,2' -114 1/4u**

Spain Segunda
WIN - +0.50u - Mirandes O2,2; +103
WIN - +0.50u - Rec de Huelva U2,2' +109
Quote:
Pending:

Greece
monday PAS Giannina O2 +109 1/2u

Netherlands
monday Stormvogels Telstar O2',3 -109
13-9, +1.80u, ROI: 16%
Football (soccer) betting thread Quote
12-17-2012 , 10:20 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Allvell
Best football tips ever!!!

www.arrowtips.edicy.co
LOL martindale...and see you next time on your next SN
Football (soccer) betting thread Quote
12-17-2012 , 12:05 PM
Australia
Brisbane O2' -114 3/4u
Newcastl U.5,3 -103 3/4u

Belgium
KAA Gent O2',3 -118 3/4u
Std Liege U2',3 +104 1/4u
Racing Genk U3 -123 1/2u

Eng
ManC U3' -101 3/4u
Newcastle O2' -103 1/2u
WBA O2' -114 1/4u
Swansea U3 -108 1/4u
Football (soccer) betting thread Quote
12-17-2012 , 03:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ERGOPHOBIA
LOL martindale...and see you next time on your next SN
I was about to send funds via paypal but they have given away this can't-lose system for free!
Football (soccer) betting thread Quote
12-17-2012 , 05:09 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DMMx69
13-9, +1.80u, ROI: 16%
Quote:
Greece
WIN | +0.50u | PAS Giannina O2 +109 1/2u

Netherlands

LOS | -0.52u | Stormvogels Telstar O2',3 -109
14-10, +1.78u. ROI: 15%
Football (soccer) betting thread Quote
12-18-2012 , 01:17 AM
Netherlands
AZAlkmaar O2',3 -103 1/2u

England Championship
Brighton/Mill O2' +110 1/4u
Blackburn/Brighton O2' +105 1/4u
Bristol/Ips U2',3 -111 1/4u
Leeds/Middle U2' -101 1/4u

Last edited by DMMx69; 12-18-2012 at 01:29 AM.
Football (soccer) betting thread Quote
12-19-2012 , 10:58 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DMMx69
Netherlands
WIN - AZAlkmaar O2',3 -103 1/2u

England Championship
WIN - Brighton/Mill O2' +110 1/4u

Pending
Blackburn/Brighton O2' +105 1/4u
Bristol/Ips U2',3 -111 1/4u
Leeds/Middle U2' -101 1/4u
16-10, +2.53u. ROI: 19%
Football (soccer) betting thread Quote
12-20-2012 , 08:29 AM
Any tipps for today ?

And could please someone explain me whet f.e. O2',3 -103 1/2u means ?

Thanks.
Football (soccer) betting thread Quote
12-20-2012 , 08:30 AM
A League, Roar v Glory.

Glory look stupid good value to win at 4.20. Thoughts?
Football (soccer) betting thread Quote
12-20-2012 , 08:44 AM
Not sure about that. Perth have scored 2 goals away from home in 5 matches this season. lol sample size I know but that is pretty brutal.

My guess is the price is about right, gun to head I take Perth but I doubt there's a lot of value there.
Football (soccer) betting thread Quote
12-20-2012 , 08:44 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Thalo
A League, Roar v Glory.

Glory look stupid good value to win at 4.20. Thoughts?
Yeah that seems like great value. I just put 2 units on @4.15.
Football (soccer) betting thread Quote
12-20-2012 , 10:47 AM
Nothing today yet, I'll look through the matches today and see if anything jumps out.

Quote:
Pending:
Australia
FRI Brisbane O2' -114 3/4u
SAT Newcastl U.5,3 -103 3/4u

Belgium
SAT KAA Gent O2',3 -118 3/4u
SUN Std Liege U2',3 +104 1/4u
SUN Racing Genk U3 -123 1/2u

Eng
SAT ManC U3' -101 3/4u
SAT Newcastle O2' -103 1/2u
SAT WBA O2' -114 1/4u
SUN Swansea U3 -108 1/4u

England Championship
SAT Blackburn/Brighton O2' +105 1/4u
SAT Bristol/Ips U2',3 -111 1/4u
SAT Leeds/Middle U2' -101 1/4u
Edit: not today, but more stuff:
Spain Segunda
SAT BarcaB U2',3 +100 1/2u
SAT CDSabadel O2,2' -118 1/2u
SAT Hercules O2' +100 1/2u

Last edited by DMMx69; 12-20-2012 at 11:03 AM. Reason: Spain Segunda
Football (soccer) betting thread Quote
12-20-2012 , 10:52 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by eglifish
Any tipps for today ?

And could please someone explain me whet f.e. O2',3 -103 1/2u means ?

Thanks.
Glossary:
O = Over (as in total goals)
2' = 2 and a hook; 2 and a half; 2.5; 2 1/2, 5/2, two-and-a-half; two point five; etc
3 = 3
2',3 = (over) 2 and a half and 3. This means if the game lands at 2, its a full loss. if it ends at 4, it is a full win. if it ends at 3, you win half the wager and push the other half. Essentially you are splitting the wager evenly between O2' and O3. This is common in soccer as it makes the odds closer to 1:1.
-103 = -103 american odds; 1.97 decimal, 100/103 fraction, etc. (http://www.sbrforum.com/betting-tools/odds-converter/) So here we risk 1.03 units to win 1 unit; or risk $103 to win $100, for example.
1/2u = one-half unit. this is the "to win" amount. So, in this example, with -103 odds, we are going to risk 1.03 x 1/2u = 0.515u to win 0.500u
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