Quote:
Originally Posted by PaiDaMorte
Defenses are way more tougher to analyze than offenses. You should start wiht a baseline or a strong assumption and go from there.
That's what I've been doing, problem is that Yahoo's pricing algo is all recency and matchup. So teams and goalies who've historically been great plays like bobrovsky/rinne/vasilevsky are usually among the cheapest options despite being at home and in a favorable matchup but then I'll play them and wham they live up to their pricing.
Beginning to rethink tapering off my historical weight for defensive stats because at this point in the season I feel like its acting less as a luck neutralizing element and more of something driving false narratives.
Furthermore, at what point do we concede the Lightning are no longer a dominant team?
Will definitely be reading more about hockey sample size reliability in next few days because this has been driving me crazy.
Just wish they had something like this for hockey the same way they have it for baseball, which was crucial for accurately weighing historical results
Will report back if I learn anything
Last edited by rickroll; 12-20-2019 at 07:45 AM.