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college football LOCK of the week college football LOCK of the week

09-10-2011 , 05:01 PM
I go against my own team and call it a lock and this is what happens .Im glad I was wrong but at least i was right about the over.
09-11-2011 , 01:46 AM
What good is that for a parlay?
09-11-2011 , 10:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by doctorado
What good is that for a parlay?
parlays are really horrible bets.I only make straight bets
09-11-2011 , 02:52 PM
Parlays are better bets than 2 straight bets if you think both are a lock. DUCY?
09-13-2011 , 02:55 PM
sharky, any plays on miss this week?
09-14-2011 , 03:18 PM
Sharky made us all a lot of money last year and I had Miss St and the Over separately last week. Looking forward to any picks he has.
09-14-2011 , 09:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by sharky21222
I really like the over.I think the o/u should be at least 60 .Its too low.Im gonna pound the over

Ok for all the haters I did make this post ^^^ I still think miss state was suppose to win by 10 but I was dead on the o.u when I predicted 71 points. 74 points pretty close .Thats what I should have locked up instead of jixing myself locking up against my own team which I have never locked it up against them before .Ill be back in few with my picks
09-14-2011 , 09:36 PM
Here is my Lock of the week....Sorry for the late pick .My next lock of the week is the UNDER 50 on the miss state /Lsu game


I think Lsu has one of the top defenses in the league.Miss state loves to run the ball but they are going to struggle rushing against Lsu .Im also not too impressed with the Lsu offense .I think the only way this game goes over is if there is a few fluke defensive turnovers for touchdowns .


Im still sticking to following miss state all year .I like them getting 3 and a half points but I LOOOOOOVE the under in this game !

Good luck everyone !!!
09-14-2011 , 09:49 PM
Your "analysis" doesn't specifically state why the game would have under 50, just that you would expect to pick under whatever the spread is because LSU has a good defense. What if the o/u was 35?

I think Lsu has one of the top defenses in the league.Miss state loves to run the ball but they are going to struggle rushing against Lsu .Im also not too impressed with the Lsu offense .

That would still be true regardless of the spread. All you do is go by your gut feelings. Quit fooling noobs in this forum that you know what you're doing.
09-14-2011 , 09:59 PM
Thanks Sharky. I like LSU in this game. I'll roll with the under but I do think they have the capability to score 21 points on turnovers in this game.
09-14-2011 , 10:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by AngerPush
Your "analysis" doesn't specifically state why the game would have under 50, just that you would expect to pick under whatever the spread is because LSU has a good defense. What if the o/u was 35?

I think Lsu has one of the top defenses in the league.Miss state loves to run the ball but they are going to struggle rushing against Lsu .Im also not too impressed with the Lsu offense .

That would still be true regardless of the spread. All you do is go by your gut feelings. Quit fooling noobs in this forum that you know what you're doing.
you're missing the comedy
09-14-2011 , 10:49 PM
Iowa -3 over Pitt

Pitt was favored by over 28 points in each of its first two games and won them by a total of 25 points. They have moved to the no huddle and when they lose, they will lose big. Sunseri is horrible and Pitt falls behind by more than one score, it will only get worse.

There is virtually no home field edge at Heinz field, other than kicking, because the stands are only ever about 60% full and most students leave after the 3rd quarter because the shuttling system blows.

Iowa is a LOCK!
09-14-2011 , 10:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by AngerPush
Your "analysis" doesn't specifically state why the game would have under 50, just that you would expect to pick under whatever the spread is because LSU has a good defense. What if the o/u was 35?

I think Lsu has one of the top defenses in the league.Miss state loves to run the ball but they are going to struggle rushing against Lsu .Im also not too impressed with the Lsu offense .

That would still be true regardless of the spread. All you do is go by your gut feelings. Quit fooling noobs in this forum that you know what you're doing.

Dont you know the only way you can win at sportsbetting is following my picks! Stop hating .Im the greatest.....even greater than muhammid ali
09-15-2011 , 05:17 PM
Really pounding the under on this one .I really love this bet
09-15-2011 , 06:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by sharky21222
Here is my Lock of the week....Sorry for the late pick .My next lock of the week is the UNDER 50 on the miss state /Lsu game


I think Lsu has one of the top defenses in the league.Miss state loves to run the ball but they are going to struggle rushing against Lsu .Im also not too impressed with the Lsu offense .I think the only way this game goes over is if there is a few fluke defensive turnovers for touchdowns .


Im still sticking to following miss state all year .I like them getting 3 and a half points but I LOOOOOOVE the under in this game !

Good luck everyone !!!
That's a lock? That's more like confounding logic.

If Miss St can't run the ball but that's what they do... won't they be forced to pass the ball, thus stopping the clock and leading to more game time? And, if they can't run the ball like you said, won't they fall behind early and need to pass... and if they're behind, because they can't run, how would that logic lead to Miss St covering 3.5? Confounding, I say.

First of all... NEVER bet a college under. That's the cardinal rule of college football betting. If you truly think the game will go under... take a pass and find something better.

With college football, the game always has a chance to hit the over, especially in games that are predicting to be so close, because of never ending overtime.

Next, I could go on about my analysis, but simply put, LSU is too much for Miss St to handle right now. The strength of the LSU defense is against the run and the strength of the Miss St offense is the run. Those tend to cancel each other out. On the other hand, the Miss St defense is pretty porous. Which means a steady does of running for LSU.

Furthermore, Oregon (who is supposed to be a PAC-12 offensive powerhouse, only managed to score 27 on LSU and NWST scored 3. But, if you look at Miss St, the allowed Mem to score 14 points and Memphis is ranked almost dead last in offense (and defense). YIKES!

And, if I were to bet it, I like the over in this battle since both teams are averaging close to 90 points combined.
09-15-2011 , 07:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by undathesea
That's a lock? That's more like confounding logic.

If Miss St can't run the ball but that's what they do... won't they be forced to pass the ball, thus stopping the clock and leading to more game time? And, if they can't run the ball like you said, won't they fall behind early and need to pass... and if they're behind, because they can't run, how would that logic lead to Miss St covering 3.5? Confounding, I say.

First of all... NEVER bet a college under. That's the cardinal rule of college football betting. If you truly think the game will go under... take a pass and find something better.

With college football, the game always has a chance to hit the over, especially in games that are predicting to be so close, because of never ending overtime.

Next, I could go on about my analysis, but simply put, LSU is too much for Miss St to handle right now. The strength of the LSU defense is against the run and the strength of the Miss St offense is the run. Those tend to cancel each other out. On the other hand, the Miss St defense is pretty porous. Which means a steady does of running for LSU.

Furthermore, Oregon (who is supposed to be a PAC-12 offensive powerhouse, only managed to score 27 on LSU and NWST scored 3. But, if you look at Miss St, the allowed Mem to score 14 points and Memphis is ranked almost dead last in offense (and defense). YIKES!

And, if I were to bet it, I like the over in this battle since both teams are averaging close to 90 points combined.

Nobody cares what you think son. This is all about the Shark. Lock it up.
09-15-2011 , 08:29 PM
I know tehre is a lot of game left but

gogogogogoogogo shark
09-15-2011 , 08:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by undathesea
First of all... NEVER bet a college under. That's the cardinal rule of college football betting. If you truly think the game will go under... take a pass and find something better.
you could have written the rest of your post as wise and well as goethe or shakespeare but i wouldn't have taken it seriously after this bit
09-15-2011 , 08:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SnotBoogy
you could have written the rest of your post as wise and well as goethe or shakespeare but i wouldn't have taken it seriously after this bit
Unders are -EV in college football. Noobs bet college football unders. Sharps don't, noob.
09-15-2011 , 08:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by undathesea
Unders are -EV in college football. Noobs bet college football unders. Sharps don't, noob.
tell me you are leveling, please
09-15-2011 , 08:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by undathesea
Unders are -EV in college football. Noobs bet college football unders. Sharps don't, noob.
Im pretty sure this is the only game I have locked it up on the UNDER .Game is looking good.I hope miss state can pull it out .I know they can beat any team in the country
09-15-2011 , 09:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by undathesea
That's a lock? That's more like confounding logic.

If Miss St can't run the ball but that's what they do... won't they be forced to pass the ball, thus stopping the clock and leading to more game time? And, if they can't run the ball like you said, won't they fall behind early and need to pass... and if they're behind, because they can't run, how would that logic lead to Miss St covering 3.5? Confounding, I say.

First of all... NEVER bet a college under. That's the cardinal rule of college football betting. If you truly think the game will go under... take a pass and find something better.

With college football, the game always has a chance to hit the over, especially in games that are predicting to be so close, because of never ending overtime.

Next, I could go on about my analysis, but simply put, LSU is too much for Miss St to handle right now. The strength of the LSU defense is against the run and the strength of the Miss St offense is the run. Those tend to cancel each other out. On the other hand, the Miss St defense is pretty porous. Which means a steady does of running for LSU.

Furthermore, Oregon (who is supposed to be a PAC-12 offensive powerhouse, only managed to score 27 on LSU and NWST scored 3. But, if you look at Miss St, the allowed Mem to score 14 points and Memphis is ranked almost dead last in offense (and defense). YIKES!

And, if I were to bet it, I like the over in this battle since both teams are averaging close to 90 points combined.
Spoiler:
09-15-2011 , 09:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by undathesea
Unders are -EV in college football. Noobs bet college football unders. Sharps don't, noob.
sharky is loling at you right now. This isn't your thread.
09-15-2011 , 09:22 PM
Square on my friends...
09-15-2011 , 09:33 PM
6-3 at half time sharky looking like a genious right now. no jynx.

      
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