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04-03-2010 , 11:13 PM

NajdorfDefense

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I wonder what the open will be...I predict Duke -5.5.

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04-03-2010 , 11:16 PM

NajdorfDefense

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....and Pin just posted -6-110.

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04-03-2010 , 11:30 PM

gmcarroll33

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I predicted -5

God damnit, dook is winning the fkn national title

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04-03-2010 , 11:31 PM

atrainpsu

old hand

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 1,840

Up to 6.5. Hard to touch this without knowing whats up with the Butler injuries, even though I'd guess Mack and Howard will both play...

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04-03-2010 , 11:59 PM

PerpetualCzech

adept

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 871

Mack is probable, Howard questionable

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04-04-2010 , 12:03 AM

PerpetualCzech

adept

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 871

Quote:

Originally Posted by NajdorfDefense

....and Pin just posted -6-110.

Pinn opener was 5.5 flat, a little more than 30 mins before you started thread.

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04-04-2010 , 12:14 AM

atrainpsu

old hand

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 1,840

Quote:

Originally Posted by PerpetualCzech

Pinn opener was 5.5 flat, a little more than 30 mins before you started thread.

So you're claiming pinnacle opened that line ~30 min before the game ended?

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04-04-2010 , 12:15 AM

PerpetualCzech

adept

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 871

Quote:

Originally Posted by atrainpsu

So you're claiming pinnacle opened that line ~30 min before the game ended?

Isn't that what I just said?

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04-04-2010 , 12:23 AM

atrainpsu

old hand

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 1,840

Quote:

Originally Posted by PerpetualCzech

Isn't that what I just said?

Basically, though you made me get my timeline out to make sure. I guess there's no harm in Pinny doing that, even though Duke was 'only' up 10-12 points at the time.

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04-04-2010 , 12:36 AM

#10

PerpetualCzech

adept

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 871

Quote:

Originally Posted by atrainpsu

Basically, though you made me get my timeline out to make sure. I guess there's no harm in Pinny doing that, even though Duke was 'only' up 10-12 points at the time.

It's not uncommon. e.g. the Saints/Vikings line was up in the 4th Q as the Vikings were blowing out Dallas.

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04-04-2010 , 01:26 AM

#11

Your Mom

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howard sucks either way

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04-04-2010 , 02:19 AM

#12

loosekanen

USA#1, Oh Yeah!

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 27,838

Is square underdog money gonna cancel out square Duke money?

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04-04-2010 , 02:23 AM

#13

wiper

still catching up

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 42,642

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04-04-2010 , 10:42 AM

#14

NajdorfDefense

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Not with a 5.5 open and it's already at 7, nope.

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04-04-2010 , 12:14 PM

#15

gmcarroll33

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Butler might actually have something going for them with their dREB%. Keep dook off the offensive glass for the 2nd chance kick out 3 that's killed every team in the tournament, and they might cover

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04-04-2010 , 01:42 PM

#16

loosekanen

USA#1, Oh Yeah!

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 27,838

They're killing the defensive boards the last two games in the tournament. Their guards have been crashing like crazy. The two games they've played against well-coached teams have come down to the wire, but neither one of those teams shot the ball very well. That's why I'm reluctant to fade Duke. They have more than 2 guys that can shoot the ball unlike KSU and obv have way more healthy talent than MSU.

I guess for me it's whether or not I think their perimeter D is quick/smart enough to keep a hand in the faces of Duke's shooters. For +7 I think it is.

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04-04-2010 , 02:19 PM

#17

LogistX

grinder

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 480

I have some Duke at 15:1 that I intend to hedge. Do you guys think it is best to hedge now or to wait until as close to tip as possible?

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04-04-2010 , 03:56 PM

#18

gmcarroll33

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I don't see it getting to 8, and Howard news will swing it half a point maybe

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04-04-2010 , 06:29 PM

#19

gringo_grinder

journeyman

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 303

Quote:

Originally Posted by LogistX

I have some Duke at 15:1 that I intend to hedge. Do you guys think it is best to hedge now or to wait until as close to tip as possible?

Got the same bet - planning on just letting it ride. I was more nervous about being a 2 pt favorite over WVu than I am about being a 7 point favorite tomorrow.

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04-05-2010 , 10:09 AM

#20

LogistX

grinder

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 480

I hedged out with some Butler +325.

Edit: If the spread hits 8, I'm coming in on Butler.

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04-05-2010 , 11:43 AM

#21

gmcarroll33

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Quote:

Originally Posted by gmcarroll33

I don't see it getting to 8, and Howard news will swing it half a point maybe

It it's currently reached 8 at bodog. Expert prediction on my behalf

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04-05-2010 , 01:15 PM

#22

PerpetualCzech

adept

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 871

Quote:

Originally Posted by gmcarroll33

It it's currently reached 8 at bodog. Expert prediction on my behalf

Bodog doesn't really count.

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04-05-2010 , 01:28 PM

#23

LogistX

grinder

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 480

It looks like just before tip might have been the best time to hedge.

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04-05-2010 , 04:19 PM

#24

MyTurn2Raise

Drug Free MVP

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 40,622

When is the last time that this many white guys played for the title?

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04-05-2010 , 04:24 PM

#25

gmcarroll33

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Utah and UK 1998 was pretty white. Andre Miller was the only black guy I rememeber on Utah (FML that they even were playing in it). UK had Padgette, Cameron Mills, Jeff Sheppard. Pretty white

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