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Betting Question: Series Line Lakers vs Celtics Betting Question: Series Line Lakers vs Celtics

06-04-2008 , 12:08 AM
So the line at most sportsbooks is Lakers -180 for the series but there is another betting line that you can bet on the number of games the Lakers win it in and the odds go something like
Lakers in 4 11/2
Lakers in 5 7/2
Lakers in 6 3/1
Lakers in 7 7/2

so what is there to stop me from betting on this line instead, and paying about
even money to win the series?
Betting Question: Series Line Lakers vs Celtics Quote
06-04-2008 , 12:21 AM
Quote:
so what is there to stop me from betting on this line instead, and paying about
even money to win the series?
Please show the math to support this statement.
Betting Question: Series Line Lakers vs Celtics Quote
06-04-2008 , 12:30 AM
OK these are slightly diff odds from a diff sportsbook but these are the actual odds I would be betting on. I would'nt even necessarily need to bet on them to win 4-0 because that is very unlikely in my view.

4-0 46 to win 300
4-1 100 to win 300
4-2 80 to win 300
4-3 67 to win 300

so 293 to win 300 instead of the series line of 580 to win 300.
Betting Question: Series Line Lakers vs Celtics Quote
06-04-2008 , 01:16 AM
that's interesting, what site are you betting on?
Betting Question: Series Line Lakers vs Celtics Quote
06-04-2008 , 02:06 AM
Rethink your logic. You don't get the 293 back if you win, only the part you won.
Betting Question: Series Line Lakers vs Celtics Quote
06-04-2008 , 02:26 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ImNew
that's interesting, what site are you betting on?
Im betting on bodog but have found similar lines on the web.
Betting Question: Series Line Lakers vs Celtics Quote
06-04-2008 , 02:42 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jesse Kidd
Rethink your logic. You don't get the 293 back if you win, only the part you won.
Jesse's right.

4-0, you net $53
4-1, you net $107
4-2, you net $87
4-3, you net $74

Boston wins, you lose $293.

Unfortunately, the book's not giving out $$$.
Betting Question: Series Line Lakers vs Celtics Quote
06-04-2008 , 02:46 AM
alright so new math:
(am I doing this right now?)

4-0 Win 346 Lose 247 +99

4-1 Win 400 lose 193 +207

4-2 Win 380 Lose 203 +177

4-3 Win 367 Lose 226 +141

After risking $293

2 of those (4-1 and 4-2) would make me more money than the current line

While 4-3 would be slightly lower and 4-0 would be much lower, but like I said I don't think 4-0 is very plausible so If I take that bet out I think? this would work out better. Maybe I'll do the math again without them winning 4-0
Betting Question: Series Line Lakers vs Celtics Quote
06-04-2008 , 02:47 AM
Don't I count the wager that I get back if I win the bet?
Betting Question: Series Line Lakers vs Celtics Quote
06-04-2008 , 06:24 AM
now i know that you are betting on bodog, i'll pass.

if u think ur right, go bet it.
Betting Question: Series Line Lakers vs Celtics Quote
06-04-2008 , 01:31 PM
what do you mean why not bet on bodog?
Betting Question: Series Line Lakers vs Celtics Quote
06-04-2008 , 01:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by el-producto
alright so new math:
(am I doing this right now?)

4-0 Win 346 Lose 247 +99

4-1 Win 400 lose 193 +207

4-2 Win 380 Lose 203 +177

4-3 Win 367 Lose 226 +141
Still wrong.

You've placed $293 on total wagers. If the series goes 4-0, you'll get a return of $346 for a net of $53, etc for the rest of the series.

Quote:
Originally Posted by el-producto
After risking $293

2 of those (4-1 and 4-2) would make me more money than the current line
Wrong.

As currently constructed, none of your bets will net you more money than if you simply placed $293 on BoDog's -180 LAL line.

Quote:
Originally Posted by el-producto
While 4-3 would be slightly lower and 4-0 would be much lower, but like I said I don't think 4-0 is very plausible so If I take that bet out I think? this would work out better. Maybe I'll do the math again without them winning 4-0
Gluck with that.
Betting Question: Series Line Lakers vs Celtics Quote
06-05-2008 , 02:40 AM
Believe me I have been trying to outthink the linesmakers for years and you won't do it. If you really like the lakers and think they will sweep then def bet the 11/2 shot to sweep. Bet em all and you will net lose somehow I am sure.

Anyhow I really like the Celtics in this series and think it is a no brainer and the extra money is a bonus. You heard it here first.

My best middle ever was when the celtics were playing the sixers in 2003(pretty sure) and I had the celtics plus five for four dimes and philly minus two for two dimes. .07 seconds left(less than one second) and Derek Coleman on the line up three points(philly) shooting two. He is a seventy percent free throw shooter and he hit them both. Celts lost by five. Pushed the four dimer and won the two dimer. Very exciting.

I really like the Celts in this series and have been pretty right about them so far. I bet Cleveland three times in that series and was right twice. I bet the celtics twice last series and was right both times. GO CELTS!
Betting Question: Series Line Lakers vs Celtics Quote

      
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