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Better Bet for Bama/LSU?

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01-09-2012 , 02:09 PM

mavsfan4ever

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 1,541

I have money on Bovada. Right now they are offering the game as pick, with Bama -125, LSU +105. I am wanting to bet on Bama. However I could also bet a 7 point teaser, where I would take Bama +7 and over 34. This is -130.

Anyone have any opinions or analysis on which the actual better bet is? Going with the teaser seems logical to me, as it is still the usual -130 for the 7 point teaser, even though Bama is -125 (not to mention that Bama is favored in most books so it's like I am getting 8 or 9 points on this side of the teaser). Am I wrong here?

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01-09-2012 , 06:12 PM

mavsfan4ever

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 1,541

anyone?

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01-09-2012 , 06:19 PM

NegativeZero

veteran

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 3,358

Alabama is about 75% to cover +7, and over 34 is about 65%. -130 for that is ridic. bad.

Alabama -125 ML is actually a decent market bet. 5dimes has LSU +127, so you can arb it for zero risk.

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